Test Tactical Allocation Models

Model Configuration

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Risk Adjustment Levels
Trade Rule Threshold Change
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Lookback Periods
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Lookback Period #5
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Volatility Period
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Asset 2
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Asset 3
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Asset 4
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Asset 5
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Asset 6
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Asset 7
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Asset 8
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Asset 9
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Model Simulation Results (Jan 2007 - Sep 2026) Save

Tactical asset allocation model results from Jan 2007 to Sep 2026 are based on relative strength model holding the top 2 best performing assets. Selected assets use equal weight weighting. The model uses a single performance window of 5 calendar month(s). Tactical asset allocation model trades are executed using the end of month close price each month based on the end of month signals. The time period was constrained by the available data for Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC) [Mar 2006 - Sep 2026].

Performance Summary

Performance statistics for the timing portfolio and benchmark portfolios
MetricMomentum ModelState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Start Balance$10,000$10,000
End Balance$53,988$77,238
Annualized Return (CAGR)8.91%10.91%
Standard Deviation14.22%15.37%
Best Year30.15%32.31%
Worst Year-14.19%-36.81%
Maximum Drawdown -23.67% -50.80%
Sharpe Ratio0.560.65
Sortino Ratio0.910.98
Active Return-1.99%N/A
Tracking Error15.98%N/A
Information Ratio-0.12N/A
Benchmark Correlation0.42N/A

Portfolio Growth

   

Annual Returns

Trailing Returns

Trailing Returns
NameTotal ReturnAnnualized ReturnAnnualized Standard Deviation
3 MonthYear To Date1 year3 year5 year10 yearFull3 year5 year
Momentum Model-4.00%1.05%6.38%8.46%4.20%7.09%8.91%13.77%14.26%
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF2.38%12.71%15.71%22.76%13.70%15.24%10.91%12.43%15.67%
Trailing return and volatility are as of last calendar month ending September 2026

Active Returns Chart

Annualized Active Return

Rolling Active Return

Up vs. Down Market Performance

Up vs. Down Market Performance - Model vs. State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Market TypeOccurrencesAverage Active Return
Above BenchmarkBelow BenchmarkTotal% Above BenchmarkAbove BenchmarkBelow BenchmarkTotal
Up Market589915737%2.03%-3.46%-1.43%
Down Market49318061%5.13%-2.13%2.31%
Total10713023745%3.45%-3.14%-0.17%

Active Return Confidence

Risk and Return Metrics

Portfolio return and risk metrics
MetricMomentum ModelState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Arithmetic Mean (monthly)0.80%0.97%
Arithmetic Mean (annualized)10.00%12.22%
Geometric Mean (monthly)0.71%0.87%
Geometric Mean (annualized)8.91%10.91%
Standard Deviation (monthly)4.10%4.44%
Standard Deviation (annualized)14.22%15.37%
Downside Deviation (monthly)2.47%2.90%
Maximum Drawdown-23.67%-50.80%
Benchmark Correlation0.421.00
Beta(*)0.391.00
Alpha (annualized)5.08%0.00%
R217.51%100.00%
Sharpe Ratio0.560.65
Sortino Ratio0.910.98
Treynor Ratio (%)20.6510.01
Calmar Ratio0.563.00
Modigliani–Modigliani Measure10.20%11.58%
Active Return-1.99%N/A
Tracking Error15.98%N/A
Information Ratio-0.12N/A
Skewness0.09-0.55
Excess Kurtosis0.391.02
Historical Value-at-Risk (5%)6.14%7.15%
Analytical Value-at-Risk (5%)5.95%6.33%
Conditional Value-at-Risk (5%)7.72%9.72%
Upside Capture Ratio (%)52.49100.00
Downside Capture Ratio (%)47.09100.00
Safe Withdrawal Rate11.57%7.56%
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate6.02%7.77%
Positive Periods143 out of 237 (60.34%)157 out of 237 (66.24%)
Gain/Loss Ratio1.090.89
* State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF is used as the benchmark for calculations. Value-at-risk metrics are monthly values.

Annual Returns

Annual returns for the timing portfolio and various benchmark portfolios
YearInflationMomentum ModelState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETFiShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
ReturnBalanceReturnBalance
20263.37%1.05%$53,98812.71%$77,2380.38%-8.01%9.39%13.65%12.20%-3.90%9.89%22.69%44.54%
20252.68%21.61%$53,42917.72%$68,5284.95%4.25%3.16%12.66%17.18%63.68%31.55%33.98%8.06%
20242.89%7.09%$43,93624.89%$58,2153.92%-8.06%7.72%11.39%24.32%26.66%3.51%6.50%2.18%
20233.35%-3.19%$41,02826.19%$46,6154.16%2.77%13.78%16.84%26.41%12.69%18.40%8.99%-6.22%
20226.45%-8.71%$42,381-18.17%$36,941-3.88%-31.24%-26.08%-20.48%-19.19%-0.77%-14.35%-20.56%19.34%
20217.04%29.58%$46,42628.75%$45,144-0.71%-4.60%45.46%14.54%26.32%-4.15%11.46%-3.62%41.36%
20201.36%25.13%$35,82818.37%$35,0653.03%18.15%-11.34%20.03%20.77%24.81%7.59%17.03%-7.84%
20192.29%8.69%$28,63231.22%$29,6223.38%14.12%22.73%25.39%31.06%17.86%22.03%18.20%11.84%
20181.91%-14.19%$26,342-4.56%$22,5741.46%-1.61%-4.40%-11.11%-4.88%-1.94%-13.81%-15.31%-11.62%
20172.11%20.95%$30,69721.70%$23,6520.26%9.18%3.46%14.59%21.53%12.81%25.10%37.28%4.86%
20162.07%-3.26%$25,38012.00%$19,4350.82%1.18%6.41%21.60%12.03%8.03%1.37%10.87%18.56%
20150.73%-12.61%$26,2351.25%$17,3520.43%-1.79%4.12%-4.47%0.79%-10.67%-1.00%-16.18%-27.59%
20140.76%8.26%$30,02113.46%$17,1380.45%27.30%31.82%5.03%13.08%-2.19%-6.20%-3.92%-28.10%
20131.50%18.98%$27,73132.31%$15,1040.22%-13.37%0.93%38.69%32.78%-28.33%21.39%-3.70%-7.63%
20121.74%-3.39%$23,30815.99%$11,4160.28%2.63%16.87%16.69%16.50%6.60%18.82%19.10%3.50%
20112.96%22.82%$24,1251.89%$9,8421.44%33.96%8.97%-4.44%1.23%9.57%-12.25%-18.82%-2.58%
20101.50%4.81%$19,64315.06%$9,6602.28%9.05%27.96%26.93%16.06%29.27%8.15%16.51%11.90%
20092.72%25.43%$18,74126.37%$8,3960.35%-21.80%28.32%28.51%28.34%24.03%26.95%68.93%16.19%
20080.09%14.79%$14,941-36.81%$6,6446.62%33.93%-38.83%-34.15%-37.40%4.92%-41.04%-48.88%-31.77%
20074.08%30.15%$13,0155.14%$10,5147.35%10.29%-19.41%-1.76%5.32%30.45%9.94%33.31%31.59%
Annual return for 2026 is from 01/01/2026 to 09/30/2026

Monthly Returns

Monthly returns for the timing portfolio and various benchmark portfolios
YearMonthMomentum ModelState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETFiShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
ReturnBalanceReturnBalance
20269-2.78%$53,988-0.33%$77,238-0.55%-5.38%-5.49%-5.21%-0.65%-6.75%-3.31%-0.34%3.26%
202683.61%$55,5292.68%$77,4940.17%0.73%-3.37%0.94%2.82%9.93%1.77%4.57%6.28%
20267-4.70%$53,5950.03%$75,4710.16%-4.47%2.63%-3.08%-0.27%0.86%1.64%-6.31%10.47%
20266-4.67%$56,236-1.03%$75,4450.06%1.17%3.74%3.69%-0.62%-11.68%0.68%0.22%-9.57%
202651.00%$58,9915.26%$76,2320.08%0.53%0.23%4.48%5.11%-1.54%2.42%7.20%-5.21%
202642.94%$58,40810.51%$72,4200.19%-0.84%8.54%12.08%10.17%-1.54%5.34%12.68%7.43%
20263-10.15%$56,739-4.93%$65,536-0.47%-4.23%-6.07%-4.96%-5.01%-11.05%-7.83%-9.25%15.34%
202627.30%$63,149-0.86%$68,9370.53%4.63%7.16%0.68%-0.58%8.72%4.61%5.89%2.74%
2026110.15%$58,8511.47%$69,5380.21%-0.03%2.74%5.48%1.34%12.27%4.90%8.02%9.26%
2025120.73%$53,4290.08%$68,5280.29%-2.65%-2.50%-0.71%0.03%2.17%2.72%2.17%0.19%
2025111.80%$53,0400.19%$68,4750.44%0.27%3.34%1.02%0.20%5.37%0.74%-1.77%0.79%
2025102.66%$52,1032.38%$68,3420.33%1.38%-1.60%1.76%2.25%3.56%1.20%3.56%1.55%
202593.24%$50,7523.56%$66,7510.29%3.59%0.92%3.18%3.31%11.76%2.07%7.10%1.44%
202583.83%$49,1572.05%$64,4560.89%0.01%4.85%7.19%2.12%4.99%4.52%2.68%-1.07%
20257-1.35%$47,3432.30%$63,160-0.09%-1.14%-0.74%1.67%2.29%-0.61%-2.09%0.66%2.93%
202561.40%$47,9925.14%$61,7380.59%2.67%-0.46%5.51%5.05%0.41%2.39%6.99%4.45%
202552.37%$47,3316.28%$58,720-0.25%-3.21%1.85%5.24%6.37%-0.06%4.79%4.02%1.51%
20254-1.58%$46,236-0.87%$55,2480.81%-1.36%-3.15%-2.32%-0.67%5.42%3.70%0.14%-8.58%
202531.84%$46,977-5.57%$55,7310.44%-1.21%-3.64%-6.85%-5.77%9.45%0.18%1.13%2.27%
202520.04%$46,128-1.27%$59,0200.74%5.69%3.73%-5.22%-1.74%1.82%2.95%1.15%0.14%
202514.94%$46,1092.69%$59,7790.38%0.49%0.92%2.50%3.10%6.79%4.80%2.15%2.76%
202412-7.76%$43,936-2.41%$58,2150.25%-6.38%-7.15%-8.37%-2.82%-1.41%-2.95%-1.69%1.72%
2024110.75%$47,6345.96%$59,6530.30%1.99%4.62%11.07%6.50%-3.12%-0.32%-2.68%-1.99%
2024100.52%$47,280-0.89%$56,296-0.62%-5.46%-3.25%-1.42%-0.68%4.30%-5.27%-3.07%1.44%
202493.88%$47,0342.10%$56,8030.77%1.99%2.67%0.71%2.07%5.09%0.78%5.74%0.72%
202480.20%$45,2772.34%$55,6340.89%2.11%6.26%-1.69%2.37%2.09%3.26%0.98%-2.08%
202473.42%$45,1861.21%$54,3641.18%3.64%5.91%10.34%1.47%5.37%2.59%0.85%-2.80%
202461.56%$43,6933.53%$53,7130.54%1.81%2.68%-1.12%3.26%-0.13%-1.81%2.62%-0.17%
202453.14%$43,0215.06%$51,8830.72%2.88%4.75%5.04%4.67%1.62%5.06%1.95%-0.30%
20244-5.52%$41,710-4.03%$49,385-0.44%-6.45%-7.27%-6.85%-4.18%2.99%-3.24%-0.22%1.61%
202433.37%$44,1443.27%$51,4600.34%0.78%1.98%3.48%3.26%8.67%3.38%2.73%4.46%
202424.13%$42,7045.22%$49,829-0.39%-2.26%1.77%5.63%5.27%0.46%2.99%4.17%-1.52%
20241-0.04%$41,0111.59%$47,3580.32%-2.25%-4.16%-3.90%1.34%-1.42%-0.45%-4.53%1.32%
202312-1.02%$41,0284.57%$46,6151.10%8.67%10.12%12.13%5.00%1.28%5.36%3.60%-3.32%
2023110.04%$41,4519.13%$44,5801.05%9.92%10.79%9.20%9.33%2.53%8.22%7.79%-2.45%
202310-2.09%$41,434-2.17%$40,8480.33%-5.46%-4.53%-6.91%-2.38%7.37%-2.90%-3.29%-1.80%
20239-5.32%$42,320-4.74%$41,755-0.08%-7.95%-7.08%-5.85%-4.79%-4.76%-3.65%-3.11%1.50%
20238-4.18%$44,697-1.63%$43,8320.41%-3.14%-3.23%-5.08%-1.74%-1.28%-3.93%-6.63%-0.36%
202373.08%$46,6483.27%$44,5560.30%-2.54%2.94%6.11%3.46%2.29%2.70%6.04%8.72%
202365.59%$45,2546.48%$43,144-0.49%0.22%5.11%8.06%6.70%-2.22%4.49%4.40%2.95%
20235-2.67%$42,8570.46%$40,518-0.38%-3.01%-2.81%-0.82%0.47%-1.34%-4.01%-2.40%-6.41%
202341.90%$44,0351.60%$40,3320.24%0.34%0.71%-1.79%1.23%0.86%2.94%-0.84%-0.76%
20233-0.86%$43,2143.71%$39,6971.65%4.84%-2.69%-4.85%3.17%7.92%3.13%3.22%-0.08%
20232-4.22%$43,589-2.51%$38,276-0.81%-4.85%-4.93%-1.72%-2.38%-5.37%-3.07%-7.57%-4.46%
202317.38%$45,5106.29%$39,2640.78%7.64%10.89%9.82%6.64%5.76%9.00%9.13%0.89%
202212-6.14%$42,381-5.76%$36,9410.12%-2.63%-5.15%-6.52%-5.75%2.93%-1.82%-2.65%-2.71%
2022111.45%$45,1515.56%$39,1970.69%7.15%5.63%2.20%5.35%8.49%13.17%15.59%1.47%
2022105.52%$44,5078.13%$37,133-0.13%-5.97%4.51%11.16%7.90%-1.78%5.89%-1.98%5.06%
20229-4.11%$42,179-9.24%$34,342-1.19%-8.23%-12.26%-9.65%-9.17%-2.89%-9.22%-11.54%-7.04%
20228-1.15%$43,989-4.08%$37,839-0.81%-4.56%-6.27%-2.00%-3.84%-2.94%-6.12%-1.33%-1.49%
20227-2.29%$44,5019.21%$39,4480.41%2.43%8.89%10.56%9.27%-2.59%5.17%-0.35%-1.99%
20226-4.53%$45,544-8.25%$36,122-0.59%-1.27%-7.72%-8.36%-8.37%-1.57%-8.72%-5.14%-7.50%
202250.68%$47,7060.23%$39,3690.60%-2.25%-6.98%0.19%-0.23%-3.26%2.00%0.61%4.61%
202241.79%$47,386-8.78%$39,280-0.50%-9.42%-4.80%-9.90%-8.86%-2.07%-6.74%-6.14%5.64%
202235.22%$46,5553.76%$43,059-1.40%-5.45%6.97%1.16%3.35%1.27%0.52%-3.38%9.17%
202221.55%$44,244-2.95%$41,501-0.43%-1.63%-3.38%1.03%-2.74%6.12%-3.43%-4.32%6.47%
20221-6.15%$43,571-5.27%$42,763-0.69%-3.91%-6.67%-9.53%-5.63%-1.68%-3.63%-0.02%7.89%
2021126.44%$46,4264.63%$45,144-0.21%-2.01%8.91%2.28%3.97%3.30%4.41%1.53%6.67%
202111-4.70%$43,617-0.80%$43,147-0.06%2.77%-0.63%-4.33%-1.27%-0.69%-4.53%-4.08%-8.76%
2021104.13%$45,7667.02%$43,496-0.34%2.46%8.14%4.25%6.90%1.48%3.18%1.07%5.80%
20219-0.14%$43,950-4.66%$40,644-0.10%-2.91%-5.50%-2.88%-4.60%-3.22%-3.26%-3.87%5.21%
202180.07%$44,0142.98%$42,630-0.03%-0.34%1.78%2.20%2.86%-0.08%1.45%1.57%-1.64%
202173.27%$43,9822.44%$41,3980.16%3.72%5.24%-3.63%2.09%2.53%0.77%-6.44%1.30%
202162.89%$42,5892.25%$40,411-0.17%4.42%2.28%1.87%2.44%-7.15%-1.08%0.95%3.49%
202152.06%$41,3940.66%$39,5230.06%0.00%0.95%0.27%0.46%7.68%3.48%1.65%3.85%
202144.81%$40,5575.29%$39,2650.06%2.49%8.01%1.79%5.34%3.56%2.95%1.20%7.83%
202130.34%$38,6974.54%$37,292-0.06%-5.24%4.79%1.39%3.84%-1.14%2.51%-0.73%-0.72%
202123.50%$38,5672.78%$35,672-0.06%-5.73%5.26%6.20%2.89%-6.26%2.24%0.79%10.14%
202114.01%$37,265-1.02%$34,7070.02%-3.63%-0.17%4.85%-0.79%-3.22%-0.78%3.17%3.33%
2020127.89%$35,8283.71%$35,0650.04%-1.23%3.11%8.65%4.12%7.01%5.02%7.13%5.45%
20201113.62%$33,20810.88%$33,8110.02%1.66%12.34%18.24%11.69%-5.41%14.27%8.99%10.20%
202010-0.87%$29,228-2.49%$30,494-0.05%-3.39%-2.54%2.20%-2.30%-0.52%-3.55%1.41%-3.14%
20209-3.47%$29,483-3.74%$31,274-0.00%0.77%-3.21%-3.25%-3.69%-4.17%-2.05%-1.01%-3.55%
202083.49%$30,5436.98%$32,489-0.02%-5.05%0.68%5.48%7.30%-0.32%4.72%2.89%4.64%
202077.61%$29,5135.89%$30,3690.09%4.44%3.41%2.92%5.94%10.79%1.94%8.25%5.12%
202061.54%$27,4261.78%$28,6800.02%0.34%1.72%3.42%2.27%2.74%3.50%6.61%4.50%
202050.41%$27,0104.76%$28,180-0.08%-1.76%-0.61%6.59%5.16%2.59%5.43%2.97%8.07%
202044.24%$26,89912.70%$26,8980.27%1.22%7.85%13.85%13.20%7.26%5.82%7.35%-3.11%
202033.08%$25,805-12.46%$23,8681.24%6.38%-22.37%-21.48%-13.35%-0.22%-14.11%-15.77%-17.34%
20202-8.46%$25,035-7.92%$27,2660.88%6.63%-8.36%-8.85%-8.07%-0.64%-7.77%-3.78%-6.65%
20201-4.49%$27,347-0.04%$29,6100.58%7.69%0.46%-3.10%0.12%4.50%-2.82%-6.15%-8.59%
201912-0.20%$28,6322.90%$29,6220.15%-3.20%-1.03%2.78%2.80%3.66%2.98%7.71%5.85%
2019110.30%$28,6893.62%$28,786-0.05%-0.41%-1.39%4.07%3.81%-3.21%1.13%-0.09%-0.13%
2019100.72%$28,6032.21%$27,7810.31%-1.11%1.11%2.72%2.10%2.56%3.39%4.18%1.93%
20199-3.04%$28,3981.95%$27,180-0.13%-2.68%2.66%2.04%1.79%-3.39%3.16%1.69%1.42%
201984.59%$29,287-1.67%$26,6610.78%11.04%2.37%-4.93%-1.87%7.91%-1.92%-3.78%-4.63%
201970.95%$28,0021.51%$27,115-0.06%0.26%1.56%0.68%1.63%0.01%-1.95%-2.66%-1.14%
201964.09%$27,7406.96%$26,7110.46%0.95%1.31%6.98%6.87%8.00%5.91%6.21%3.97%
20195-0.25%$26,650-6.38%$24,9730.72%6.84%-0.31%-7.85%-6.33%1.76%-5.03%-7.33%-5.97%
201940.18%$26,7154.09%$26,6740.18%-1.99%-0.24%3.40%3.93%-0.66%2.93%2.35%1.19%
201930.61%$26,6671.81%$25,6270.63%5.57%2.81%-2.09%1.77%-1.60%0.92%1.13%-0.38%
20192-0.99%$26,5063.24%$25,1720.09%-1.38%0.99%5.18%3.40%-0.61%2.54%-1.53%2.84%
201911.63%$26,7728.01%$24,3810.25%0.38%11.41%11.32%8.21%2.89%6.63%10.34%7.11%
201812-8.76%$26,342-8.79%$22,5740.76%5.85%-8.61%-11.97%-8.91%4.94%-5.35%-3.50%-3.99%
2018113.41%$28,8711.85%$24,7510.38%1.79%4.90%1.73%1.92%0.34%0.50%4.90%-9.85%
201810-9.04%$27,919-6.91%$24,3000.15%-2.93%-2.54%-10.99%-7.09%2.12%-8.13%-8.76%-5.62%
20189-2.53%$30,6940.59%$26,104-0.14%-2.86%-2.74%-2.32%0.38%-0.66%0.97%-0.58%3.39%
201883.65%$31,4913.19%$25,9490.35%1.31%2.99%4.31%3.39%-2.14%-2.24%-3.77%0.75%
201870.98%$30,3813.70%$25,147-0.06%-1.44%0.32%1.65%3.45%-2.24%2.85%3.53%-2.43%
20186-0.66%$30,0860.58%$24,2480.04%0.65%4.33%0.61%0.63%-3.61%-1.57%-4.54%-1.94%
201850.03%$30,2872.43%$24,1100.35%2.01%4.02%6.16%2.57%-1.20%-1.89%-2.62%2.68%
201840.30%$30,2780.52%$23,537-0.23%-2.09%1.45%0.98%0.26%-0.95%1.52%-2.82%3.42%
20183-0.84%$30,188-2.74%$23,4160.25%2.86%3.97%1.22%-2.23%0.63%-0.84%0.54%2.29%
20182-4.80%$30,444-3.64%$24,076-0.10%-3.04%-7.23%-3.84%-3.70%-2.08%-4.83%-5.90%-2.92%
201814.18%$31,9805.64%$24,985-0.29%-3.26%-4.10%2.56%5.41%3.23%5.02%8.30%2.95%
2017123.28%$30,6971.21%$23,652-0.02%1.81%0.04%-0.40%1.23%2.11%1.35%3.77%2.78%
2017111.28%$29,7233.06%$23,369-0.22%0.74%3.14%2.94%3.02%0.36%0.69%-0.39%0.94%
2017102.48%$29,3482.36%$22,676-0.09%-0.04%-1.12%0.73%2.31%-0.75%1.68%3.28%3.96%
201791.16%$28,6382.01%$22,154-0.19%-2.32%0.22%6.30%2.06%-3.37%2.36%-0.04%1.99%
201781.15%$28,3100.29%$21,7170.20%3.41%-0.79%-1.26%0.32%4.20%-0.04%2.35%0.40%
201774.24%$27,9872.06%$21,6540.19%-0.66%0.87%0.86%1.91%2.31%2.65%5.82%4.08%
201760.62%$26,8490.64%$21,218-0.08%0.79%2.47%3.37%0.71%-2.16%0.31%0.93%-0.96%
201753.19%$26,6841.41%$21,0830.07%1.89%-0.63%-1.97%1.28%-0.12%3.54%2.85%-1.42%
201741.09%$25,8580.99%$20,7900.19%1.57%-0.21%1.15%1.04%1.73%2.42%1.70%-2.70%
201730.06%$25,5780.13%$20,5850.06%-0.65%-2.90%0.03%0.09%-0.43%3.23%3.69%-3.24%
201720.87%$25,5643.93%$20,5600.04%1.59%3.47%1.93%3.82%3.18%1.19%1.74%-0.19%
20171-0.14%$25,3431.79%$19,7820.11%0.81%-0.95%0.28%1.93%5.42%3.29%6.66%-0.57%
2016122.38%$25,3802.03%$19,4350.07%-0.46%4.73%2.89%1.87%-1.91%2.71%-0.25%4.14%
201611-6.39%$24,7903.68%$19,048-0.47%-8.21%-1.35%11.06%4.04%-8.36%-1.78%-4.42%1.67%
201610-2.71%$26,482-1.73%$18,371-0.05%-4.38%-5.66%-4.60%-1.98%-2.94%-2.22%-0.83%-0.33%
201692.69%$27,2200.01%$18,6960.13%-1.51%-2.06%1.08%0.11%0.69%1.34%2.52%4.31%
20168-1.27%$26,5060.12%$18,694-0.23%-1.01%-3.44%1.78%0.11%-3.26%0.54%0.90%0.77%
20167-2.49%$26,8473.65%$18,672-0.05%2.10%4.38%5.87%3.79%1.98%3.97%5.37%-6.97%
201666.66%$27,5340.35%$18,0140.60%6.93%6.46%-0.02%0.27%8.97%-2.42%4.56%4.35%
20165-2.67%$25,8151.70%$17,952-0.12%0.81%1.98%2.24%1.67%-6.14%-0.09%-3.69%0.89%
201642.19%$26,5210.39%$17,6520.04%-0.74%-2.96%1.67%0.53%5.11%2.22%0.41%9.71%
20163-0.47%$25,9546.72%$17,5820.14%-0.09%10.37%8.02%6.99%-0.84%6.58%12.96%4.24%
201621.12%$26,076-0.08%$16,4750.11%3.09%-0.85%-0.22%0.00%10.93%-3.33%-0.82%-0.23%
20161-1.70%$25,788-4.98%$16,4880.65%5.57%-4.06%-8.58%-5.44%5.41%-5.52%-5.03%-4.34%
2015120.96%$26,235-1.72%$17,352-0.15%-0.30%2.21%-5.03%-1.92%-0.45%-2.34%-3.83%-5.85%
201511-0.74%$25,9860.37%$17,655-0.26%-0.87%-0.61%3.26%0.41%-6.75%-0.75%-2.52%-6.64%
201510-0.28%$26,1808.51%$17,591-0.14%-0.41%5.79%5.62%8.11%2.28%6.61%6.38%0.33%
20159-1.24%$26,252-2.54%$16,2120.29%1.97%3.39%-4.91%-2.77%-1.80%-4.42%-3.02%-3.44%
20158-6.88%$26,582-6.10%$16,635-0.05%-0.69%-5.91%-6.33%-6.06%3.71%-7.43%-8.94%-0.25%
201570.47%$28,5452.26%$17,7150.04%4.55%5.91%-1.10%1.96%-6.62%2.03%-6.31%-12.61%
20156-3.02%$28,413-2.03%$17,3240.03%-4.07%-4.40%0.78%-1.89%-1.52%-3.12%-2.93%1.64%
20155-1.95%$29,2981.29%$17,6820.04%-2.37%-0.03%2.24%1.27%0.56%0.20%-4.10%-3.17%
20154-4.66%$29,8820.98%$17,4580.03%-3.43%-5.89%-2.56%0.81%-0.17%3.65%6.85%7.15%
201531.48%$31,342-1.57%$17,2880.25%1.10%1.86%1.78%-1.30%-2.15%-1.43%-1.50%-6.05%
20152-4.90%$30,8865.62%$17,564-0.29%-6.14%-3.67%5.95%5.66%-5.91%6.34%4.41%4.43%
201518.19%$32,478-2.96%$16,6300.63%9.82%6.56%-3.28%-2.69%8.69%0.62%-0.69%-5.69%
2014122.57%$30,021-0.26%$17,138-0.29%3.25%1.88%2.89%-0.29%1.31%-4.00%-3.99%-9.65%
2014112.56%$29,2692.75%$17,1820.10%2.97%2.15%0.11%2.71%-0.49%0.06%-1.54%-8.51%
2014102.60%$28,5392.36%$16,7220.26%2.81%10.60%6.59%2.39%-3.05%-0.27%1.42%-3.88%
20149-4.94%$27,814-1.38%$16,337-0.07%-2.11%-5.82%-5.93%-1.72%-6.18%-3.88%-7.77%-7.23%
201482.80%$29,2593.95%$16,5660.19%4.72%2.78%4.83%4.07%0.38%0.18%2.83%-1.15%
201470.75%$28,461-1.34%$15,937-0.08%0.67%0.14%-6.05%-1.62%-3.63%-2.60%1.36%-4.74%
201460.33%$28,2482.06%$16,154-0.08%-0.25%0.91%5.27%2.29%6.32%0.92%2.40%2.11%
201452.70%$28,1552.32%$15,8270.18%2.95%2.45%0.79%2.27%-3.05%1.60%2.95%-1.44%
20144-1.64%$27,4160.70%$15,4680.11%2.10%3.72%-3.75%0.46%0.49%1.67%0.78%1.11%
20143-0.10%$27,8740.83%$15,362-0.11%0.73%0.79%-0.75%0.55%-3.14%-0.46%3.88%-0.04%
201424.79%$27,9024.55%$15,2350.04%0.52%5.23%4.78%4.81%6.27%6.13%3.38%5.02%
20141-3.98%$26,626-3.52%$14,5720.20%6.30%3.89%-2.77%-3.24%3.42%-5.19%-8.63%-3.04%
2013122.09%$27,7312.59%$15,104-0.18%-1.87%0.46%2.02%2.70%-3.79%2.15%-0.44%0.59%
2013112.25%$27,1642.96%$14,7230.09%-2.70%-5.52%3.96%2.73%-5.51%0.55%-0.25%-0.93%
2013103.39%$26,5664.63%$14,2990.07%1.43%4.04%2.42%4.35%-0.34%3.26%4.17%-0.04%
201395.05%$25,6963.17%$13,6660.22%0.66%3.28%6.49%3.62%-4.78%7.83%7.19%-3.38%
20138-2.96%$24,460-3.00%$13,247-0.10%-1.34%-6.93%-3.16%-2.77%5.20%-1.96%-2.54%2.82%
201376.11%$25,2075.17%$13,6560.16%-2.26%0.72%7.33%4.88%7.43%5.32%1.32%3.18%
20136-0.68%$23,757-1.33%$12,985-0.10%-3.27%-1.71%-0.82%-0.54%-11.06%-2.70%-5.34%-2.82%
20135-1.01%$23,9192.36%$13,161-0.13%-6.76%-5.96%3.93%1.74%-6.20%-3.02%-4.84%-1.56%
201340.78%$24,1641.92%$12,8570.07%4.68%6.78%-0.35%1.90%-7.57%5.02%1.22%-3.81%
201332.99%$23,9783.80%$12,6150.03%-0.42%2.58%4.66%3.95%0.96%1.31%-1.01%0.66%
20132-1.79%$23,2831.28%$12,1540.06%1.24%0.81%1.00%1.06%-5.09%-1.30%-2.28%-4.71%
201311.71%$23,7075.12%$12,0000.01%-3.19%3.43%6.24%5.37%-0.51%3.73%-0.30%2.48%
2012121.61%$23,3080.90%$11,4160.02%-2.49%3.71%3.61%1.18%-2.43%4.37%6.81%-1.14%
2012112.17%$22,9380.57%$11,3150.05%1.38%-0.48%0.55%0.88%-0.47%2.79%1.54%1.96%
201210-1.71%$22,451-1.82%$11,251-0.07%-0.49%-0.89%-2.17%-1.77%-2.94%1.08%-0.42%-3.91%
20129-2.28%$22,8432.54%$11,4590.02%-2.53%-2.03%3.26%2.62%4.67%2.71%5.21%-0.38%
20128-0.80%$23,3762.51%$11,1760.01%-1.32%-0.28%3.54%2.46%4.94%3.20%0.41%5.65%
201272.85%$23,5641.18%$10,9030.22%3.81%1.88%-1.52%1.01%0.84%0.08%-0.04%5.83%
201261.91%$22,9124.06%$10,775-0.10%-1.68%5.50%5.05%3.84%2.35%7.11%5.10%2.02%
20125-5.35%$22,483-6.01%$10,3550.06%9.03%-4.59%-6.58%-6.10%-6.34%-11.14%-10.70%-11.16%
20124-1.09%$23,753-0.67%$11,0170.20%4.83%3.04%-1.62%-0.56%-0.15%-2.08%-1.70%-1.35%
20123-0.32%$24,0153.22%$11,091-0.08%-4.23%5.18%2.48%3.15%-1.32%0.42%-3.12%-1.77%
20122-0.01%$24,0924.34%$10,746-0.14%-2.59%-1.07%2.57%4.29%-2.97%4.83%5.27%5.35%
20121-0.12%$24,0954.64%$10,2990.08%-0.33%6.35%7.15%4.90%11.40%5.27%10.99%3.69%
201112-3.61%$24,1251.04%$9,8420.05%3.44%4.64%0.51%0.91%-10.66%-2.21%-4.30%-2.89%
2011111.82%$25,028-0.41%$9,7400.05%1.98%-3.95%-0.38%-0.36%1.67%-2.18%-1.97%-0.29%
2011101.02%$24,58010.91%$9,7800.03%-3.84%14.52%15.10%10.97%5.87%9.63%16.30%7.65%
201191.07%$24,332-6.94%$8,818-0.10%13.20%-11.13%-11.15%-7.31%-11.06%-10.81%-17.91%-14.62%
2011810.97%$24,075-5.50%$9,4760.34%9.66%-5.40%-8.89%-5.83%12.27%-8.75%-9.25%-0.40%
201175.06%$21,695-2.00%$10,0270.29%4.41%1.71%-3.41%-2.12%8.42%-2.38%-1.03%4.56%
20116-3.80%$20,649-1.69%$10,232-0.00%-2.33%-3.33%-2.40%-1.77%-2.43%-1.19%-0.93%-4.26%
20115-3.48%$21,464-1.12%$10,4080.36%3.42%1.45%-1.79%-1.09%-1.79%-2.21%-2.94%-5.17%
201143.60%$22,2392.90%$10,5260.53%2.34%5.96%2.64%2.95%8.94%5.63%2.73%4.56%
201132.59%$21,4670.01%$10,229-0.13%0.03%-1.60%2.52%0.22%1.60%-2.39%6.29%2.66%
201124.86%$20,9253.47%$10,228-0.12%1.65%4.76%5.54%3.53%6.00%3.55%-0.04%4.17%
201111.59%$19,9562.33%$9,8850.13%-3.08%3.36%-0.37%2.32%-6.38%2.10%-3.85%3.56%
2010127.65%$19,6436.68%$9,660-0.16%-3.68%4.71%8.03%6.81%2.44%8.30%7.27%9.89%
201011-3.86%$18,2470.00%$9,055-0.21%-1.69%-1.77%3.49%0.20%2.11%-4.82%-2.91%-0.44%
201010-0.39%$18,9803.82%$9,0550.22%-4.47%4.39%4.15%3.86%3.68%3.81%3.02%4.44%
201091.13%$19,0558.96%$8,7210.12%-2.51%4.43%12.45%9.14%4.78%9.97%11.76%8.60%
201083.57%$18,842-4.50%$8,0040.24%8.40%-1.27%-7.44%-4.44%5.71%-3.80%-3.24%-3.01%
20107-3.02%$18,1936.83%$8,3820.19%-0.95%9.92%6.74%7.02%-5.09%11.61%10.93%6.12%
20106-1.49%$18,759-5.17%$7,8460.42%5.80%-5.34%-7.74%-5.65%2.36%-2.07%-1.40%-1.78%
20105-6.48%$19,043-7.95%$8,2740.45%5.11%-5.41%-7.54%-7.96%3.05%-11.19%-9.39%-10.15%
201046.27%$20,3611.55%$8,9880.30%3.32%6.86%5.68%1.83%5.88%-2.80%-0.17%3.91%
201035.01%$19,1606.09%$8,851-0.27%-2.06%10.47%8.23%6.30%-0.44%6.39%8.11%-0.47%
201024.48%$18,2453.12%$8,3430.16%-0.34%5.68%4.48%3.27%3.27%0.27%1.78%4.14%
20101-6.82%$17,463-3.63%$8,0900.80%2.69%-5.87%-3.73%-3.62%-1.26%-5.07%-7.76%-7.84%
200912-0.16%$18,7411.91%$8,396-0.84%-6.34%6.89%7.92%2.35%-7.20%0.70%3.27%-0.16%
2009115.37%$18,7706.16%$8,2380.60%1.21%6.82%3.12%5.98%12.79%3.92%7.85%4.58%
200910-3.93%$17,813-1.92%$7,7600.14%-2.62%-4.41%-6.49%-2.22%3.72%-2.52%-3.44%6.89%
200998.52%$18,5423.55%$7,9120.24%2.46%6.84%5.56%3.90%5.84%3.80%10.20%-0.23%
200986.70%$17,0863.69%$7,6420.41%2.24%14.72%2.93%3.69%0.05%4.50%-1.31%-4.04%
2009710.53%$16,0137.46%$7,3690.11%0.58%10.52%9.18%7.52%2.38%10.04%11.01%1.86%
20096-3.74%$14,488-0.07%$6,858-0.09%0.76%-4.69%1.81%0.08%-5.22%-1.43%-2.25%-2.63%
2009513.09%$15,0505.85%$6,8620.06%-3.69%4.15%3.40%5.88%10.23%13.19%15.94%16.27%
20094-5.14%$13,3089.93%$6,483-0.16%-6.95%31.64%15.39%10.54%-3.33%11.52%15.56%-0.10%
200930.75%$14,0308.35%$5,8970.50%4.04%3.42%7.77%8.17%-2.54%8.39%16.86%4.66%
20092-0.05%$13,925-10.74%$5,443-0.15%-1.54%-21.81%-11.98%-10.45%1.45%-10.39%-6.27%-5.63%
20091-6.75%$13,932-8.21%$6,098-0.44%-13.07%-17.86%-9.67%-7.94%5.54%-13.73%-9.29%-4.44%
2008127.10%$14,9410.98%$6,6440.56%13.64%15.77%4.82%1.84%7.73%8.88%10.35%-3.22%
2008117.72%$13,950-6.96%$6,5791.10%14.34%-23.93%-11.93%-8.37%12.57%-6.37%-9.75%-12.37%
200810-0.38%$12,950-16.52%$7,0711.10%-1.86%-31.24%-20.96%-17.13%-16.14%-20.83%-25.58%-25.08%
20089-9.00%$13,000-9.44%$8,4710.78%1.47%-0.57%-7.75%-9.34%4.11%-11.44%-14.68%-10.25%
20088-1.48%$14,2851.55%$9,3530.47%2.74%2.08%3.58%1.38%-9.29%-4.25%-6.32%-6.53%
20087-4.67%$14,500-0.90%$9,2110.43%-0.37%2.92%3.68%-0.94%-1.44%-3.32%-5.50%-9.78%
20086-0.19%$15,211-8.35%$9,2940.24%2.65%-10.82%-7.53%-8.31%4.52%-8.80%-9.29%10.43%
200853.92%$15,2401.51%$10,141-0.35%-2.70%-0.30%4.58%1.72%0.92%1.19%3.16%6.91%
200840.94%$14,6664.77%$9,990-0.84%-2.47%6.48%4.55%4.96%-4.16%5.44%9.14%6.04%
20083-3.46%$14,529-0.90%$9,5360.25%2.14%6.72%-0.67%-0.69%-6.00%0.42%-3.75%-0.91%
200828.19%$15,049-2.58%$9,6231.03%-0.46%-3.48%-2.93%-2.84%5.23%-1.02%1.99%11.15%
200816.88%$13,910-6.05%$9,8781.65%2.10%-0.84%-6.56%-5.87%10.84%-7.85%-8.92%2.92%
2007126.68%$13,015-1.13%$10,5140.30%-0.64%-5.44%-0.52%-1.08%6.65%-2.99%-1.43%6.72%
200711-4.65%$12,200-3.87%$10,6341.79%5.35%-9.64%-6.97%-4.09%-1.65%-3.62%-7.65%-0.62%
20071010.19%$12,7951.36%$11,0630.48%1.81%0.92%2.85%1.60%6.95%4.25%11.87%8.50%
200797.82%$11,6123.87%$10,9140.39%0.23%4.32%1.90%4.08%10.51%5.32%11.57%9.42%
200780.20%$10,7701.28%$10,5081.21%1.79%5.65%2.13%1.16%1.11%-0.63%1.04%-1.91%
20077-0.80%$10,748-3.13%$10,3750.90%3.32%-8.21%-7.06%-3.12%2.37%-2.29%0.70%1.91%
200761.75%$10,834-1.46%$10,7100.47%-1.01%-10.18%-1.28%-1.97%-1.94%-0.32%3.82%0.74%
200753.65%$10,6473.39%$10,869-0.07%-2.31%-0.03%4.29%3.59%-2.31%2.36%4.93%-0.23%
200743.76%$10,2734.43%$10,5130.31%0.90%-0.08%1.55%4.25%2.05%3.80%3.73%0.75%
200731.70%$9,9001.16%$10,0670.45%-1.70%-2.74%1.06%1.00%-1.11%2.80%6.15%0.36%
20072-3.39%$9,734-1.96%$9,9510.73%3.39%-2.79%-0.66%-1.67%2.55%-0.08%-3.98%5.42%
200710.75%$10,0751.50%$10,1500.16%-1.00%8.90%1.69%1.87%2.56%1.39%0.11%-2.40%

Drawdowns

Historical Market Stress Periods

Drawdowns for Historical Market Stress Periods
Stress PeriodStartEndMomentum ModelState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Subprime CrisisNov 2007Mar 2009-15.03%-50.80%
COVID-19 StartJan 2020Mar 2020-12.56%-19.43%

Drawdowns for Momentum Model

Drawdowns for Momentum Model (worst 10)
RankStartEndLengthRecovery ByRecovery TimeUnderwater PeriodDrawdown
1Feb 2015Nov 20161 year 10 monthsNov 20204 years5 years 10 months-23.67%
2Mar 2026Jul 20265 months-15.13%
3Jun 2008Oct 20085 monthsJul 20099 months1 year 2 months-15.03%
4Jun 2022Jan 20241 year 8 monthsJun 20251 year 5 months3 years 1 month-14.03%
5May 2010Jul 20103 monthsFeb 20117 months10 months-10.65%
6Dec 2011Oct 201211 monthsJul 20139 months1 year 8 months-10.30%
7May 2011Jun 20112 monthsAug 20112 months4 months-7.15%
8Dec 2009Jan 20102 monthsMar 20102 months4 months-6.96%
9Jan 2022Jan 20221 monthMar 20222 months3 months-6.15%
10Sep 2014Sep 20141 monthNov 20142 months3 months-4.94%
Worst 10 drawdowns included above

Drawdowns for State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Drawdowns for State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (worst 10)
RankStartEndLengthRecovery ByRecovery TimeUnderwater PeriodDrawdown
1Nov 2007Feb 20091 year 4 monthsMar 20123 years 1 month4 years 5 months-50.80%
2Jan 2022Sep 20229 monthsDec 20231 year 3 months2 years-23.93%
3Jan 2020Mar 20203 monthsJul 20204 months7 months-19.43%
4Oct 2018Dec 20183 monthsApr 20194 months7 months-13.52%
5Aug 2015Sep 20152 monthsMay 20168 months10 months-8.48%
6Feb 2025Apr 20253 monthsJun 20252 months5 months-7.58%
7Apr 2012May 20122 monthsAug 20123 months5 months-6.63%
8May 2019May 20191 monthJun 20191 month2 months-6.38%
9Feb 2018Mar 20182 monthsJul 20184 months6 months-6.28%
10Sep 2020Oct 20202 monthsNov 20201 month3 months-6.14%
Worst 10 drawdowns included above

Rolling Returns

Rolling returns summary
Roll PeriodMomentum ModelState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
AverageHighLowAverageHighLow
1 year10.29%56.58%-20.60%12.14%56.25%-43.44%
3 years8.21%25.61%-3.00%12.38%25.99%-9.85%
5 years7.74%19.87%-4.11%12.63%22.86%-0.96%
7 years7.06%16.23%1.04%12.79%17.28%5.30%
10 years6.43%10.15%2.82%12.70%16.55%6.85%
15 years7.66%10.87%5.46%12.48%15.91%7.94%

Annualized Rolling Return - 3 Years

Annualized Rolling Return - 5 Years

Trading Performance

Trading Performance
MetricValue
Total Trades238
Analyzed Trades237
Rebalancing Trades106
Winning Trades107
Losing Trades130
Win %45.15%
Average Win3.45%
Median Win1.88%
Average Loss3.14%
Median Loss2.58%
Average Annual Turnover375.97%
Average Turnover Per Trade32.28%
Median Turnover Per Trade50.00%
Average Turnover Per Trade Excluding Rebalancing57.82%
Median Turnover Per Trade Excluding Rebalancing50.00%
Cumulative Trading Return without Costs439.88%
Cumulative Trading Return after Costs269.87%
Cumulative Trading Cost Impact170.01%
Annualized Trading Return without Costs8.91%
Annualized Trading Return after Costs6.85%
Annualized Trading Cost Impact2.07%
Trading costs estimate assumes 25bps cost per trade.

Model Trades

Model trades
#Start DateEnd DateTrade DateTrade TypeTurnoverAllocationAsset PerformanceMomentum ModelMin/Max PLState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETFExcess ReturnCost Adjusted Return
23810/01/202610/31/202609/30/2026Open Trade50.00%Please sign-in for forward signalsN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
23709/01/202609/30/202608/31/2026Signal51.29%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
IWM: -5.21%
EEM: -0.34%
-2.78%-2.78% / 1.61%-0.33%-2.45%-3.03%
23608/01/202608/31/202607/31/2026Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
DBC: 6.28%
IWM: 0.94%
3.61%-0.18% / 4.58%2.68%0.93%3.36%
23507/01/202607/31/202606/30/2026Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
EEM: -6.31%
IWM: -3.08%
-4.70%-7.34% / -0.87%0.03%-4.73%-4.95%
23406/01/202606/30/202605/29/2026Rebalancing3.07%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
DBC: -9.57%
EEM: 0.22%
-4.67%-5.88% / 2.69%-1.03%-3.64%-4.69%
23305/01/202605/31/202604/30/2026Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
DBC: -5.21%
EEM: 7.20%
1.00%-0.36% / 2.98%5.26%-4.26%0.75%
23204/01/202604/30/202603/31/2026Signal50.50%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
DBC: 7.43%
GLD: -1.54%
2.94%-0.18% / 2.94%10.51%-7.56%2.69%
23103/01/202603/31/202602/27/2026Rebalancing0.66%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
GLD: -11.05%
EEM: -9.25%
-10.15%-14.27% / -0.22%-4.93%-5.22%-10.15%
23002/01/202602/28/202601/30/2026Rebalancing0.96%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
GLD: 8.72%
EEM: 5.89%
7.30%-1.85% / 7.30%-0.86%8.17%7.30%
22901/01/202601/31/202612/31/2025Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
GLD: 12.27%
EEM: 8.02%
10.15%1.65% / 17.92%1.47%8.67%9.90%
22812/01/202512/31/202511/28/2025Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
GLD: 2.17%
IWM: -0.71%
0.73%-0.80% / 4.43%0.08%0.66%0.48%
22711/01/202511/30/202510/31/2025Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
EEM: -1.77%
GLD: 5.37%
1.80%-1.39% / 2.68%0.19%1.60%1.55%
22610/01/202510/31/202509/30/2025Signal50.03%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
IWM: 1.76%
EEM: 3.56%
2.66%-2.23% / 3.89%2.38%0.28%2.41%
22509/01/202509/30/202508/29/2025Signal100.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: 3.18%
IWB: 3.31%
3.24%-0.64% / 3.90%3.56%-0.32%2.74%
22408/01/202508/31/202507/31/2025Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
GLD: 4.99%
EEM: 2.68%
3.83%0.64% / 3.83%2.05%1.78%3.58%
22307/01/202507/31/202506/30/2025Rebalancing0.49%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
GLD: -0.61%
EFA: -2.09%
-1.35%-1.35% / 2.41%2.30%-3.66%-1.36%
22206/01/202506/30/202505/30/2025Rebalancing1.18%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
GLD: 0.41%
EFA: 2.39%
1.40%0.52% / 2.33%5.14%-3.74%1.39%
22105/01/202505/31/202504/30/2025Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
GLD: -0.06%
EFA: 4.79%
2.37%-1.20% / 2.93%6.28%-3.92%2.12%
22004/01/202504/30/202503/31/2025Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
GLD: 5.42%
DBC: -8.58%
-1.58%-7.45% / 1.85%-0.87%-0.71%-1.83%
21903/01/202503/31/202502/28/2025Rebalancing0.89%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
GLD: 9.45%
IWB: -5.77%
1.84%-2.39% / 1.84%-5.57%7.41%1.84%
21802/01/202502/28/202501/31/2025Rebalancing0.88%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
GLD: 1.82%
IWB: -1.74%
0.04%-0.39% / 3.19%-1.27%1.31%0.04%
21701/01/202501/31/202512/31/2024Signal100.00%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
IWB: 3.10%
GLD: 6.79%
4.94%0.44% / 5.08%2.69%2.26%4.44%
21612/01/202412/31/202411/29/2024Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
IWM: -8.37%
RWR: -7.15%
-7.76%-9.13% / -0.74%-2.41%-5.35%-8.01%
21511/01/202411/30/202410/31/2024Rebalancing1.88%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
GLD: -3.12%
RWR: 4.62%
0.75%-3.00% / 0.75%5.96%-5.22%0.74%
21410/01/202410/31/202409/30/2024Rebalancing0.58%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
RWR: -3.25%
GLD: 4.30%
0.52%-1.93% / 2.31%-0.89%1.42%0.52%
21309/01/202409/30/202408/30/2024Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
GLD: 5.09%
RWR: 2.67%
3.88%-0.42% / 4.87%2.10%1.78%3.63%
21208/01/202408/31/202407/31/2024Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
GLD: 2.09%
IWM: -1.69%
0.20%-6.21% / 0.61%2.34%-2.13%-0.05%
21107/01/202407/31/202406/28/2024Rebalancing0.84%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
GLD: 5.37%
IWB: 1.47%
3.42%0.23% / 5.08%1.21%2.21%3.41%
21006/01/202406/30/202405/31/2024Rebalancing0.74%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
GLD: -0.13%
IWB: 3.26%
1.56%-0.29% / 2.32%3.53%-1.96%1.56%
20905/01/202405/31/202404/30/2024Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
GLD: 1.62%
IWB: 4.67%
3.14%0.31% / 5.78%5.06%-1.92%2.89%
20804/01/202404/30/202403/28/2024Rebalancing0.05%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: -6.85%
IWB: -4.18%
-5.52%-6.83% / -0.58%-4.03%-1.48%-5.52%
20703/01/202403/31/202402/29/2024Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
IWB: 3.26%
IWM: 3.48%
3.37%-0.13% / 3.37%3.27%0.10%3.12%
20602/01/202402/29/202401/31/2024Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
IWB: 5.27%
EFA: 2.99%
4.13%0.66% / 4.16%5.22%-1.09%3.88%
20501/01/202401/31/202412/29/2023Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
IWB: 1.34%
GLD: -1.42%
-0.04%-1.84% / 0.84%1.59%-1.63%-0.29%
20412/01/202312/31/202311/30/2023Rebalancing1.24%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
GLD: 1.28%
DBC: -3.32%
-1.02%-4.20% / 0.63%4.57%-5.59%-1.03%
20311/01/202311/30/202310/31/2023Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
DBC: -2.45%
GLD: 2.53%
0.04%-2.20% / 1.09%9.13%-9.09%-0.21%
20210/01/202310/31/202309/29/2023Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
DBC: -1.80%
IWB: -2.38%
-2.09%-2.63% / 0.76%-2.17%0.08%-2.34%
20109/01/202309/30/202308/31/2023Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
IWB: -4.79%
IWM: -5.85%
-5.32%-6.13% / 0.73%-4.74%-0.58%-5.57%
20008/01/202308/31/202307/31/2023Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
IWB: -1.74%
EEM: -6.63%
-4.18%-6.65% / -0.77%-1.63%-2.56%-4.43%
19907/01/202307/31/202306/30/2023Rebalancing0.52%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
IWB: 3.46%
EFA: 2.70%
3.08%-1.91% / 3.08%3.27%-0.19%3.08%
19806/01/202306/30/202305/31/2023Signal50.68%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
IWB: 6.70%
EFA: 4.49%
5.59%1.23% / 6.06%6.48%-0.89%5.34%
19705/01/202305/31/202304/28/2023Rebalancing0.51%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
GLD: -1.34%
EFA: -4.01%
-2.67%-2.73% / 1.13%0.46%-3.14%-2.68%
19604/01/202304/30/202303/31/2023Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
EFA: 2.94%
GLD: 0.86%
1.90%0.76% / 3.17%1.60%0.30%1.65%
19503/01/202303/31/202302/28/2023Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
EFA: 3.13%
IWM: -4.85%
-0.86%-6.07% / 1.99%3.71%-4.57%-1.11%
19402/01/202302/28/202301/31/2023Rebalancing0.76%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
EFA: -3.07%
GLD: -5.37%
-4.22%-4.84% / 1.08%-2.51%-1.71%-4.22%
19301/01/202301/31/202312/30/2022Signal100.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
GLD: 5.76%
EFA: 9.00%
7.38%0.86% / 7.98%6.29%1.09%6.88%
19212/01/202212/31/202211/30/2022Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: -6.52%
IWB: -5.75%
-6.14%-7.90% / 0.15%-5.76%-0.38%-6.39%
19111/01/202211/30/202210/31/2022Rebalancing2.67%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
IWM: 2.20%
SHY: 0.69%
1.45%-2.40% / 1.45%5.56%-4.11%1.44%
19010/01/202210/31/202209/30/2022Signal50.00%50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
SHY: -0.13%
IWM: 11.16%
5.52%0.41% / 5.54%8.13%-2.61%5.27%
18909/01/202209/30/202208/31/2022Rebalancing0.17%50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
SHY: -1.19%
DBC: -7.04%
-4.11%-5.11% / -0.03%-9.24%5.13%-4.12%
18808/01/202208/31/202207/29/2022Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
DBC: -1.49%
SHY: -0.81%
-1.15%-2.67% / 1.37%-4.08%2.93%-1.40%
18707/01/202207/31/202206/30/2022Rebalancing1.55%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
DBC: -1.99%
GLD: -2.59%
-2.29%-6.26% / 0.20%9.21%-11.50%-2.30%
18606/01/202206/30/202205/31/2022Rebalancing1.96%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
DBC: -7.50%
GLD: -1.57%
-4.53%-4.53% / 3.48%-8.25%3.71%-4.54%
18505/01/202205/31/202204/29/2022Rebalancing1.89%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
DBC: 4.61%
GLD: -3.26%
0.68%-2.77% / 1.52%0.23%0.45%0.67%
18404/01/202204/30/202203/31/2022Rebalancing1.88%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
DBC: 5.64%
GLD: -2.07%
1.79%0.01% / 5.62%-8.78%10.56%1.78%
18303/01/202203/31/202202/28/2022Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
DBC: 9.17%
GLD: 1.27%
5.22%1.53% / 12.48%3.76%1.47%4.97%
18202/01/202202/28/202201/31/2022Signal50.28%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
DBC: 6.47%
RWR: -3.38%
1.55%-0.37% / 1.55%-2.95%4.50%1.29%
18101/01/202201/31/202212/31/2021Rebalancing1.16%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
RWR: -6.67%
IWB: -5.63%
-6.15%-9.94% / 0.15%-5.27%-0.88%-6.16%
18012/01/202112/31/202111/30/2021Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
RWR: 8.91%
IWB: 3.97%
6.44%-1.60% / 6.54%4.63%1.81%6.19%
17911/01/202111/30/202110/29/2021Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
DBC: -8.76%
RWR: -0.63%
-4.70%-4.70% / 1.90%-0.80%-3.89%-4.95%
17810/01/202110/31/202109/30/2021Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
DBC: 5.80%
TLT: 2.46%
4.13%1.09% / 4.25%7.02%-2.89%3.88%
17709/01/202109/30/202108/31/2021Rebalancing0.86%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
RWR: -5.50%
DBC: 5.21%
-0.14%-1.35% / 1.24%-4.66%4.51%-0.15%
17608/01/202108/31/202107/30/2021Rebalancing0.95%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
RWR: 1.78%
DBC: -1.64%
0.07%-4.26% / 0.07%2.98%-2.90%0.07%
17507/01/202107/31/202106/30/2021Rebalancing0.29%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
DBC: 1.30%
RWR: 5.24%
3.27%-1.59% / 3.61%2.44%0.83%3.27%
17406/01/202106/30/202105/28/2021Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
DBC: 3.49%
RWR: 2.28%
2.89%0.90% / 4.78%2.25%0.64%2.64%
17305/01/202105/31/202104/30/2021Rebalancing1.44%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
DBC: 3.85%
IWM: 0.27%
2.06%-1.05% / 2.40%0.66%1.41%2.05%
17204/01/202104/30/202103/31/2021Rebalancing0.53%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
IWM: 1.79%
DBC: 7.83%
4.81%0.36% / 5.96%5.29%-0.48%4.80%
17103/01/202103/31/202102/26/2021Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
IWM: 1.39%
DBC: -0.72%
0.34%-1.48% / 5.57%4.54%-4.20%0.09%
17002/01/202102/28/202101/29/2021Rebalancing0.40%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
IWM: 6.20%
EEM: 0.79%
3.50%2.58% / 9.49%2.78%0.71%3.49%
16901/01/202101/31/202112/31/2020Rebalancing0.35%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
IWM: 4.85%
EEM: 3.17%
4.01%-0.33% / 9.21%-1.02%5.03%4.01%
16812/01/202012/31/202011/30/2020Rebalancing2.04%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
IWM: 8.65%
EEM: 7.13%
7.89%1.45% / 8.02%3.71%4.18%7.88%
16711/01/202011/30/202010/30/2020Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
EEM: 8.99%
IWM: 18.24%
13.62%1.53% / 16.18%10.88%2.74%13.37%
16610/01/202010/31/202009/30/2020Signal100.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
EEM: 1.41%
DBC: -3.14%
-0.87%-1.34% / 3.50%-2.49%1.63%-1.37%
16509/01/202009/30/202008/31/2020Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
IWB: -3.69%
IWM: -3.25%
-3.47%-7.14% / 2.07%-3.74%0.27%-3.72%
16408/01/202008/31/202007/31/2020Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
GLD: -0.32%
IWB: 7.30%
3.49%-0.56% / 3.52%6.98%-3.49%3.24%
16307/01/202007/31/202006/30/2020Rebalancing0.59%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: 4.44%
GLD: 10.79%
7.61%-0.32% / 7.61%5.89%1.72%7.61%
16206/01/202006/30/202005/29/2020Rebalancing1.08%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: 0.34%
GLD: 2.74%
1.54%-3.73% / 1.69%1.78%-0.24%1.53%
16105/01/202005/31/202004/30/2020Rebalancing1.45%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: -1.76%
GLD: 2.59%
0.41%-0.95% / 1.67%4.76%-4.35%0.41%
16004/01/202004/30/202003/31/2020Rebalancing1.60%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: 1.22%
GLD: 7.26%
4.24%1.17% / 6.90%12.70%-8.46%4.23%
15903/01/202003/31/202002/28/2020Signal100.00%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: 6.38%
GLD: -0.22%
3.08%-6.05% / 8.40%-12.46%15.54%2.58%
15802/01/202002/29/202001/31/2020Signal100.00%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
IWB: -8.07%
IWM: -8.85%
-8.46%-8.46% / 5.09%-7.92%-0.54%-8.96%
15701/01/202001/31/202012/31/2019Signal100.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: -6.15%
EFA: -2.82%
-4.49%-4.49% / 2.19%-0.04%-4.45%-4.99%
15612/01/201912/31/201911/29/2019Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
IWB: 2.80%
TLT: -3.20%
-0.20%-1.10% / 0.60%2.90%-3.10%-0.45%
15511/01/201911/30/201910/31/2019Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
GLD: -3.21%
IWB: 3.81%
0.30%-1.00% / 0.59%3.62%-3.32%0.05%
15410/01/201910/31/201909/30/2019Rebalancing0.18%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: -1.11%
GLD: 2.56%
0.72%-1.42% / 2.20%2.21%-1.49%0.72%
15309/01/201909/30/201908/30/2019Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
GLD: -3.39%
TLT: -2.68%
-3.04%-4.82% / 1.15%1.95%-4.99%-3.29%
15208/01/201908/31/201907/31/2019Rebalancing0.34%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
TLT: 11.04%
IWB: -1.87%
4.59%0.05% / 4.59%-1.67%6.26%4.59%
15107/01/201907/31/201906/28/2019Signal50.00%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
TLT: 0.26%
IWB: 1.63%
0.95%0.13% / 1.62%1.51%-0.57%0.70%
15006/01/201906/30/201905/31/2019Signal100.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
RWR: 1.31%
IWB: 6.87%
4.09%-0.04% / 6.14%6.96%-2.87%3.59%
14905/01/201905/31/201904/30/2019Rebalancing1.08%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
EEM: -7.33%
TLT: 6.84%
-0.25%-3.39% / 0.44%-6.38%6.13%-0.25%
14804/01/201904/30/201903/29/2019Signal100.00%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
TLT: -1.99%
EEM: 2.35%
0.18%-0.18% / 1.12%4.09%-3.90%-0.32%
14703/01/201903/31/201902/28/2019Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
GLD: -1.60%
RWR: 2.81%
0.61%-1.27% / 1.47%1.81%-1.20%0.36%
14602/01/201902/28/201901/31/2019Rebalancing0.62%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
GLD: -0.61%
TLT: -1.38%
-0.99%-0.99% / 1.03%3.24%-4.23%-1.00%
14501/01/201901/31/201912/31/2018Signal100.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
GLD: 2.89%
TLT: 0.38%
1.63%-0.90% / 1.63%8.01%-6.37%1.13%
14412/01/201812/31/201811/30/2018Rebalancing0.72%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
RWR: -8.61%
IWB: -8.91%
-8.76%-13.38% / 1.07%-8.79%0.03%-8.76%
14311/01/201811/30/201810/31/2018Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
RWR: 4.90%
IWB: 1.92%
3.41%-0.21% / 3.41%1.85%1.56%3.16%
14210/01/201810/31/201809/28/2018Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
IWB: -7.09%
IWM: -10.99%
-9.04%-11.26% / -0.51%-6.91%-2.13%-9.29%
14109/01/201809/30/201808/31/2018Rebalancing0.32%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
IWM: -2.32%
RWR: -2.74%
-2.53%-3.55% / -0.55%0.59%-3.13%-2.53%
14008/01/201808/31/201807/31/2018Rebalancing0.33%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
RWR: 2.99%
IWM: 4.31%
3.65%-0.02% / 3.65%3.19%0.46%3.65%
13907/01/201807/31/201806/29/2018Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
RWR: 0.32%
IWM: 1.65%
0.98%-0.45% / 2.26%3.70%-2.72%0.73%
13806/01/201806/30/201805/31/2018Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
DBC: -1.94%
IWM: 0.61%
-0.66%-1.51% / 0.91%0.58%-1.24%-0.91%
13705/01/201805/31/201804/30/2018Rebalancing1.55%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
DBC: 2.68%
EEM: -2.62%
0.03%-0.92% / 1.96%2.43%-2.40%0.02%
13604/01/201804/30/201803/29/2018Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
DBC: 3.42%
EEM: -2.82%
0.30%-1.98% / 1.59%0.52%-0.22%0.05%
13503/01/201803/31/201802/28/2018Rebalancing0.58%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
EEM: 0.54%
IWB: -2.23%
-0.84%-3.28% / 3.33%-2.74%1.90%-0.85%
13402/01/201802/28/201801/31/2018Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
EEM: -5.90%
IWB: -3.70%
-4.80%-9.46% / -0.70%-3.64%-1.16%-5.05%
13301/01/201801/31/201812/29/2017Signal50.24%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
DBC: 2.95%
IWB: 5.41%
4.18%0.61% / 5.52%5.64%-1.46%3.93%
13212/01/201712/31/201711/30/2017Signal50.82%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
DBC: 2.78%
EEM: 3.77%
3.28%-1.91% / 3.28%1.21%2.07%3.02%
13111/01/201711/30/201710/31/2017Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
EEM: -0.39%
IWM: 2.94%
1.28%-1.91% / 2.37%3.06%-1.78%1.03%
13010/01/201710/31/201709/29/2017Rebalancing0.59%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 3.28%
EFA: 1.68%
2.48%-0.03% / 2.86%2.36%0.12%2.48%
12909/01/201709/30/201708/31/2017Rebalancing0.59%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: -0.04%
EFA: 2.36%
1.16%-0.56% / 2.31%2.01%-0.86%1.16%
12808/01/201708/31/201707/31/2017Rebalancing0.76%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 2.35%
EFA: -0.04%
1.15%-1.76% / 1.16%0.29%0.86%1.15%
12707/01/201707/31/201706/30/2017Rebalancing0.15%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 5.82%
EFA: 2.65%
4.24%-0.69% / 4.45%2.06%2.18%4.24%
12606/01/201706/30/201705/31/2017Rebalancing0.17%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 0.93%
EFA: 0.31%
0.62%-0.23% / 1.56%0.64%-0.02%0.62%
12505/01/201705/31/201704/28/2017Signal100.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 2.85%
EFA: 3.54%
3.19%0.49% / 3.86%1.41%1.78%2.69%
12404/01/201704/30/201703/31/2017Rebalancing0.02%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: 1.15%
IWB: 1.04%
1.09%-2.05% / 1.91%0.99%0.10%1.09%
12303/01/201703/31/201702/28/2017Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: 0.03%
IWB: 0.09%
0.06%-1.83% / 1.61%0.13%-0.07%-0.19%
12202/01/201702/28/201701/31/2017Rebalancing0.21%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
IWM: 1.93%
DBC: -0.19%
0.87%-0.03% / 2.12%3.93%-3.06%0.87%
12101/01/201701/31/201712/30/2016Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
IWM: 0.28%
DBC: -0.57%
-0.14%-0.88% / 0.87%1.79%-1.93%-0.39%
12012/01/201612/31/201611/30/2016Signal100.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: 2.89%
IWB: 1.87%
2.38%-0.47% / 4.03%2.03%0.35%1.88%
11911/01/201611/30/201610/31/2016Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
EEM: -4.42%
GLD: -8.36%
-6.39%-6.39% / 0.32%3.68%-10.07%-6.64%
11810/01/201610/31/201609/30/2016Signal50.79%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
IWM: -4.60%
EEM: -0.83%
-2.71%-3.18% / 0.90%-1.73%-0.98%-2.97%
11709/01/201609/30/201608/31/2016Signal100.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
IWM: 1.08%
DBC: 4.31%
2.69%-1.21% / 2.69%0.01%2.68%2.19%
11608/01/201608/31/201607/29/2016Signal100.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
RWR: -3.44%
EEM: 0.90%
-1.27%-1.40% / 1.14%0.12%-1.39%-1.77%
11507/01/201607/31/201606/30/2016Rebalancing1.08%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
DBC: -6.97%
GLD: 1.98%
-2.49%-3.49% / 1.39%3.65%-6.14%-2.50%
11406/01/201606/30/201605/31/2016Signal51.78%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
GLD: 8.97%
DBC: 4.35%
6.66%0.44% / 6.69%0.35%6.31%6.40%
11305/01/201605/31/201604/29/2016Rebalancing1.43%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
GLD: -6.14%
TLT: 0.81%
-2.67%-2.96% / 0.44%1.70%-4.37%-2.67%
11204/01/201604/30/201603/31/2016Rebalancing0.19%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
GLD: 5.11%
TLT: -0.74%
2.19%-0.73% / 2.19%0.39%1.79%2.19%
11103/01/201603/31/201602/29/2016Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
GLD: -0.84%
TLT: -0.09%
-0.47%-1.46% / 0.53%6.72%-7.19%-0.72%
11002/01/201602/29/201601/29/2016Signal51.20%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
RWR: -0.85%
TLT: 3.09%
1.12%-1.53% / 1.83%-0.08%1.20%0.86%
10901/01/201601/31/201612/31/2015Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
RWR: -4.06%
SHY: 0.65%
-1.70%-3.42% / 0.34%-4.98%3.27%-1.95%
10812/01/201512/31/201511/30/2015Rebalancing0.06%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
RWR: 2.21%
TLT: -0.30%
0.96%-1.77% / 1.70%-1.72%2.67%0.96%
10711/01/201511/30/201510/30/2015Signal50.07%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
RWR: -0.61%
TLT: -0.87%
-0.74%-3.63% / 0.82%0.37%-1.11%-0.99%
10610/01/201510/31/201509/30/2015Signal50.00%50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
SHY: -0.14%
TLT: -0.41%
-0.28%-0.65% / 0.59%8.51%-8.78%-0.53%
10509/01/201509/30/201508/31/2015Signal100.00%50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
SHY: 0.29%
IWB: -2.77%
-1.24%-2.18% / 0.62%-2.54%1.30%-1.74%
10408/01/201508/31/201507/31/2015Rebalancing0.78%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
EFA: -7.43%
IWM: -6.33%
-6.88%-10.40% / -0.08%-6.10%-0.78%-6.88%
10307/01/201507/31/201506/30/2015Signal50.05%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
IWM: -1.10%
EFA: 2.03%
0.47%-2.70% / 2.30%2.26%-1.79%0.22%
10206/01/201506/30/201505/29/2015Rebalancing1.10%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
EFA: -3.12%
EEM: -2.93%
-3.02%-3.56% / 0.54%-2.03%-0.99%-3.03%
10105/01/201505/31/201504/30/2015Signal100.00%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
EFA: 0.20%
EEM: -4.10%
-1.95%-1.95% / 1.75%1.29%-3.24%-2.45%
10004/01/201504/30/201503/31/2015Rebalancing0.19%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
TLT: -3.43%
RWR: -5.89%
-4.66%-4.66% / 0.63%0.98%-5.64%-4.66%
9903/01/201503/31/201502/27/2015Rebalancing0.65%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
RWR: 1.86%
TLT: 1.10%
1.48%-4.00% / 3.13%-1.57%3.05%1.47%
9802/01/201502/28/201501/30/2015Rebalancing0.75%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
TLT: -6.14%
RWR: -3.67%
-4.90%-5.86% / -0.24%5.62%-10.52%-4.91%
9701/01/201501/31/201512/31/2014Rebalancing0.33%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
TLT: 9.82%
RWR: 6.56%
8.19%1.27% / 8.63%-2.96%11.15%8.18%
9612/01/201412/31/201411/28/2014Rebalancing0.20%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
RWR: 1.88%
TLT: 3.25%
2.57%-0.56% / 3.38%-0.26%2.82%2.57%
9511/01/201411/30/201410/31/2014Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
RWR: 2.15%
TLT: 2.97%
2.56%-0.32% / 2.56%2.75%-0.19%2.31%
9410/01/201410/31/201409/30/2014Signal50.00%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
TLT: 2.81%
IWB: 2.39%
2.60%-0.50% / 2.60%2.36%0.25%2.35%
9309/01/201409/30/201408/29/2014Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
EEM: -7.77%
TLT: -2.11%
-4.94%-4.94% / -0.01%-1.38%-3.56%-5.19%
9208/01/201408/31/201407/31/2014Rebalancing0.30%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
EEM: 2.83%
RWR: 2.78%
2.80%-0.94% / 3.16%3.95%-1.14%2.80%
9107/01/201407/31/201406/30/2014Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
EEM: 1.36%
RWR: 0.14%
0.75%0.69% / 3.35%-1.34%2.10%0.50%
9006/01/201406/30/201405/30/2014Rebalancing0.12%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
RWR: 0.91%
TLT: -0.25%
0.33%-1.36% / 0.36%2.06%-1.73%0.33%
8905/01/201405/31/201404/30/2014Signal100.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
RWR: 2.45%
TLT: 2.95%
2.70%0.79% / 2.70%2.32%0.38%2.20%
8804/01/201404/30/201403/31/2014Rebalancing0.32%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
IWB: 0.46%
IWM: -3.75%
-1.64%-4.08% / 1.42%0.70%-2.34%-1.65%
8703/01/201403/31/201402/28/2014Rebalancing0.01%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
IWB: 0.55%
IWM: -0.75%
-0.10%-1.58% / 1.42%0.83%-0.93%-0.10%
8602/01/201402/28/201401/31/2014Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: 4.78%
IWB: 4.81%
4.79%-2.71% / 4.88%4.55%0.24%4.54%
8501/01/201401/31/201412/31/2013Rebalancing0.03%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
EFA: -5.19%
IWM: -2.77%
-3.98%-3.98% / 0.83%-3.52%-0.46%-3.98%
8412/01/201312/31/201311/29/2013Rebalancing0.83%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
IWM: 2.02%
EFA: 2.15%
2.09%-3.22% / 2.09%2.59%-0.50%2.08%
8311/01/201311/30/201310/31/2013Signal50.47%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
IWM: 3.96%
EFA: 0.55%
2.25%-1.66% / 2.25%2.96%-0.71%2.00%
8210/01/201310/31/201309/30/2013Rebalancing0.68%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: 2.42%
IWB: 4.35%
3.39%-2.21% / 4.84%4.63%-1.24%3.38%
8109/01/201309/30/201308/30/2013Rebalancing0.10%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: 6.49%
IWB: 3.62%
5.05%0.55% / 6.29%3.17%1.88%5.05%
8008/01/201308/31/201307/31/2013Rebalancing0.58%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: -3.16%
IWB: -2.77%
-2.96%-2.96% / 1.61%-3.00%0.03%-2.97%
7907/01/201307/31/201306/28/2013Rebalancing0.07%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: 7.33%
IWB: 4.88%
6.11%0.86% / 6.80%5.17%0.94%6.11%
7806/01/201306/30/201305/31/2013Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: -0.82%
IWB: -0.54%
-0.68%-3.14% / 1.76%-1.33%0.65%-0.93%
7705/01/201305/31/201304/30/2013Signal50.56%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
RWR: -5.96%
IWM: 3.93%
-1.01%-1.54% / 4.55%2.36%-3.37%-1.27%
7604/01/201304/30/201303/28/2013Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
IWM: -0.35%
IWB: 1.90%
0.78%-3.46% / 0.78%1.92%-1.14%0.53%
7503/01/201303/31/201302/28/2013Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
EFA: 1.31%
IWM: 4.66%
2.99%0.13% / 3.78%3.80%-0.81%2.74%
7402/01/201302/28/201301/31/2013Rebalancing0.99%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
EFA: -1.30%
EEM: -2.28%
-1.79%-3.32% / 0.73%1.28%-3.07%-1.80%
7301/01/201301/31/201312/31/2012Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
EFA: 3.73%
EEM: -0.30%
1.71%-0.08% / 1.99%5.12%-3.41%1.46%
7212/01/201212/31/201211/30/2012Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
EFA: 4.37%
DBC: -1.14%
1.61%-0.55% / 1.61%0.90%0.72%1.36%
7111/01/201211/30/201210/31/2012Signal100.00%50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
EFA: 2.79%
EEM: 1.54%
2.17%-2.73% / 2.17%0.57%1.60%1.67%
7010/01/201210/31/201209/28/2012Signal50.13%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: -0.49%
GLD: -2.94%
-1.71%-3.05% / 0.30%-1.82%0.11%-1.97%
6909/01/201209/30/201208/31/2012Rebalancing0.26%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
TLT: -2.53%
RWR: -2.03%
-2.28%-2.60% / 0.33%2.54%-4.82%-2.28%
6808/01/201208/31/201207/31/2012Rebalancing0.47%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
TLT: -1.32%
RWR: -0.28%
-0.80%-3.69% / -0.09%2.51%-3.31%-0.80%
6707/01/201207/31/201206/29/2012Rebalancing1.76%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
RWR: 1.88%
TLT: 3.81%
2.85%0.88% / 3.06%1.18%1.67%2.84%
6606/01/201206/30/201205/31/2012Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
RWR: 5.50%
TLT: -1.68%
1.91%-0.90% / 1.91%4.06%-2.15%1.66%
6505/01/201205/31/201204/30/2012Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
RWR: -4.59%
IWB: -6.10%
-5.35%-7.11% / 0.90%-6.01%0.66%-5.60%
6404/01/201204/30/201203/30/2012Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
IWB: -0.56%
IWM: -1.62%
-1.09%-4.46% / 1.01%-0.67%-0.42%-1.34%
6303/01/201203/31/201202/29/2012Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
EEM: -3.12%
IWM: 2.48%
-0.32%-3.60% / 1.46%3.22%-3.54%-0.57%
6202/01/201202/29/201201/31/2012Signal50.10%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
TLT: -2.59%
IWM: 2.57%
-0.01%-0.15% / 1.37%4.34%-4.35%-0.26%
6101/01/201201/31/201212/30/2011Signal50.00%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
TLT: -0.33%
SHY: 0.08%
-0.12%-2.05% / 0.10%4.64%-4.76%-0.37%
6012/01/201112/31/201111/30/2011Rebalancing0.08%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: 3.44%
GLD: -10.66%
-3.61%-4.26% / 0.36%1.04%-4.65%-3.61%
5911/01/201111/30/201110/31/2011Rebalancing2.40%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: 1.98%
GLD: 1.67%
1.82%0.78% / 2.99%-0.41%2.23%1.81%
5810/01/201110/31/201109/30/2011Rebalancing6.00%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: -3.84%
GLD: 5.87%
1.02%-2.65% / 2.29%10.91%-9.90%0.99%
5709/01/201109/30/201108/31/2011Rebalancing0.59%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
GLD: -11.06%
TLT: 13.20%
1.07%-1.22% / 5.25%-6.94%8.01%1.07%
5608/01/201108/31/201107/29/2011Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
GLD: 12.27%
TLT: 9.66%
10.97%0.32% / 15.13%-5.50%16.47%10.72%
5507/01/201107/31/201106/30/2011Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
GLD: 8.42%
RWR: 1.71%
5.06%0.58% / 6.27%-2.00%7.06%4.81%
5406/01/201106/30/201105/31/2011Signal50.88%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
RWR: -3.33%
DBC: -4.26%
-3.80%-6.22% / -1.56%-1.69%-2.11%-4.05%
5305/01/201105/31/201104/29/2011Rebalancing0.46%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
DBC: -5.17%
IWM: -1.79%
-3.48%-7.64% / -1.09%-1.12%-2.36%-3.49%
5204/01/201104/30/201103/31/2011Rebalancing0.03%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
DBC: 4.56%
IWM: 2.64%
3.60%-0.91% / 3.60%2.90%0.70%3.60%
5103/01/201103/31/201102/28/2011Rebalancing0.33%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
DBC: 2.66%
IWM: 2.52%
2.59%-4.23% / 2.59%0.01%2.58%2.59%
5002/01/201102/28/201101/31/2011Rebalancing0.97%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
IWM: 5.54%
DBC: 4.17%
4.86%1.48% / 4.86%3.47%1.38%4.85%
4901/01/201101/31/201112/31/2010Signal50.00%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
IWM: -0.37%
DBC: 3.56%
1.59%-0.60% / 2.33%2.33%-0.74%1.34%
4812/01/201012/31/201011/30/2010Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
EEM: 7.27%
IWM: 8.03%
7.65%2.56% / 7.65%6.68%0.97%7.40%
4711/01/201011/30/201010/29/2010Signal100.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: -2.91%
EFA: -4.82%
-3.86%-3.86% / 4.82%0.00%-3.87%-4.36%
4610/01/201010/31/201009/30/2010Rebalancing1.80%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: -4.47%
GLD: 3.68%
-0.39%-2.18% / 1.74%3.82%-4.21%-0.40%
4509/01/201009/30/201008/31/2010Signal50.00%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: -2.51%
GLD: 4.78%
1.13%-2.87% / 1.34%8.96%-7.82%0.88%
4408/01/201008/31/201007/30/2010Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
RWR: -1.27%
TLT: 8.40%
3.57%-0.79% / 3.57%-4.50%8.06%3.32%
4307/01/201007/31/201006/30/2010Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
GLD: -5.09%
TLT: -0.95%
-3.02%-4.73% / -1.63%6.83%-9.85%-3.27%
4206/01/201006/30/201005/28/2010Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
RWR: -5.34%
GLD: 2.36%
-1.49%-2.83% / 3.52%-5.17%3.68%-1.74%
4105/01/201005/31/201004/30/2010Rebalancing0.28%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
RWR: -5.41%
IWM: -7.54%
-6.48%-10.45% / 2.86%-7.95%1.47%-6.48%
4004/01/201004/30/201003/31/2010Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
RWR: 6.86%
IWM: 5.68%
6.27%0.62% / 9.62%1.55%4.72%6.02%
3903/01/201003/31/201002/26/2010Rebalancing0.58%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
GLD: -0.44%
RWR: 10.47%
5.01%0.48% / 6.08%6.09%-1.08%5.01%
3802/01/201002/28/201001/29/2010Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
GLD: 3.27%
RWR: 5.68%
4.48%-2.15% / 4.48%3.12%1.36%4.23%
3701/01/201001/31/201012/31/2009Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
RWR: -5.87%
EEM: -7.76%
-6.82%-6.82% / 2.35%-3.63%-3.18%-7.07%
3612/01/200912/31/200911/30/2009Signal50.00%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
RWR: 6.89%
GLD: -7.20%
-0.16%-1.67% / 2.99%1.91%-2.06%-0.41%
3511/01/200911/30/200910/30/2009Signal50.25%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
RWR: 6.82%
EFA: 3.92%
5.37%0.46% / 8.21%6.16%-0.79%5.12%
3410/01/200910/31/200909/30/2009Rebalancing0.77%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
EEM: -3.44%
RWR: -4.41%
-3.93%-5.04% / 4.52%-1.92%-2.01%-3.93%
3309/01/200909/30/200908/31/2009Rebalancing3.76%50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
RWR: 6.84%
EEM: 10.20%
8.52%-4.02% / 12.15%3.55%4.97%8.50%
3208/01/200908/31/200907/31/2009Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
EEM: -1.31%
RWR: 14.72%
6.70%0.68% / 9.59%3.69%3.01%6.45%
3107/01/200907/31/200906/30/2009Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 11.01%
EFA: 10.04%
10.53%-4.28% / 10.53%7.46%3.07%10.28%
3006/01/200906/30/200905/29/2009Rebalancing1.26%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
EEM: -2.25%
GLD: -5.22%
-3.74%-6.91% / 1.86%-0.07%-3.67%-3.74%
2905/01/200905/31/200904/30/2009Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
EEM: 15.94%
GLD: 10.23%
13.09%0.55% / 13.09%5.85%7.24%12.84%
2804/01/200904/30/200903/31/2009Rebalancing1.63%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
GLD: -3.33%
TLT: -6.95%
-5.14%-5.14% / 0.87%9.93%-15.08%-5.15%
2703/01/200903/31/200902/27/2009Rebalancing0.75%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: 4.04%
GLD: -2.54%
0.75%-2.40% / 2.35%8.35%-7.60%0.75%
2602/01/200902/28/200901/30/2009Signal53.39%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
TLT: -1.54%
GLD: 1.45%
-0.05%-2.05% / 4.20%-10.74%10.70%-0.31%
2501/01/200901/31/200912/31/2008Rebalancing3.05%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
TLT: -13.07%
SHY: -0.44%
-6.75%-6.75% / -1.47%-8.21%1.46%-6.77%
2412/01/200812/31/200811/28/2008Rebalancing3.07%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
TLT: 13.64%
SHY: 0.56%
7.10%1.99% / 8.34%0.98%6.12%7.09%
2311/01/200811/30/200810/31/2008Rebalancing0.74%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
TLT: 14.34%
SHY: 1.10%
7.72%0.23% / 7.72%-6.96%14.68%7.72%
2210/01/200810/31/200809/30/2008Signal100.00%50.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
TLT: -1.86%
SHY: 1.10%
-0.38%-0.38% / 2.92%-16.52%16.14%-0.88%
2109/01/200809/30/200808/29/2008Rebalancing2.57%50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
IWM: -7.75%
DBC: -10.25%
-9.00%-12.22% / -1.31%-9.44%0.44%-9.01%
2008/01/200808/31/200807/31/2008Signal52.68%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
DBC: -6.53%
IWM: 3.58%
-1.48%-2.83% / -0.09%1.55%-3.02%-1.74%
1907/01/200807/31/200806/30/2008Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
DBC: -9.78%
SHY: 0.43%
-4.67%-5.29% / 1.91%-0.90%-3.78%-4.92%
1806/01/200806/30/200805/30/2008Signal50.00%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
DBC: 10.43%
RWR: -10.82%
-0.19%-1.26% / 2.82%-8.35%8.16%-0.44%
1705/01/200805/31/200804/30/2008Rebalancing2.53%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
DBC: 6.91%
GLD: 0.92%
3.92%-2.69% / 8.89%1.51%2.40%3.90%
1604/01/200804/30/200803/31/2008Rebalancing1.32%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
DBC: 6.04%
GLD: -4.16%
0.94%-2.24% / 6.15%4.77%-3.83%0.93%
1503/01/200803/31/200802/29/2008Rebalancing1.37%50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
DBC: -0.91%
GLD: -6.00%
-3.46%-4.71% / 5.19%-0.90%-2.55%-3.46%
1402/01/200802/29/200801/31/2008Rebalancing1.85%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
GLD: 5.23%
DBC: 11.15%
8.19%-2.47% / 9.01%-2.58%10.77%8.18%
1301/01/200801/31/200812/31/2007Rebalancing0.02%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
GLD: 10.84%
DBC: 2.92%
6.88%1.94% / 7.03%-6.05%12.92%6.88%
1212/01/200712/31/200711/30/2007Signal50.00%50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
GLD: 6.65%
DBC: 6.72%
6.68%0.98% / 6.96%-1.13%7.82%6.43%
1111/01/200711/30/200710/31/2007Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
EEM: -7.65%
GLD: -1.65%
-4.65%-7.00% / 0.13%-3.87%-0.78%-4.90%
1010/01/200710/31/200709/28/2007Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)
EEM: 11.87%
DBC: 8.50%
10.19%-1.11% / 10.19%1.36%8.83%9.94%
909/01/200709/30/200708/31/2007Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB)
EEM: 11.57%
IWB: 4.08%
7.82%-1.21% / 8.34%3.87%3.95%7.57%
808/01/200708/31/200707/31/2007Rebalancing0.75%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 1.04%
EFA: -0.63%
0.20%-8.46% / 1.92%1.28%-1.08%0.20%
707/01/200707/31/200706/29/2007Rebalancing1.02%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 0.70%
EFA: -2.29%
-0.80%-2.17% / 6.03%-3.13%2.34%-0.80%
606/01/200706/30/200705/31/2007Rebalancing0.62%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 3.82%
EFA: -0.32%
1.75%-2.50% / 2.56%-1.46%3.22%1.75%
505/01/200705/31/200704/30/2007Rebalancing0.02%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 4.93%
EFA: 2.36%
3.65%0.15% / 3.65%3.39%0.26%3.65%
404/01/200704/30/200703/30/2007Signal50.00%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 3.73%
EFA: 3.80%
3.76%0.57% / 5.68%4.43%-0.67%3.51%
303/01/200703/31/200702/28/2007Rebalancing0.31%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
EEM: 6.15%
RWR: -2.74%
1.70%-5.09% / 2.98%1.16%0.54%1.70%
202/01/200702/28/200701/31/2007Signal50.32%50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% State Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR)
EEM: -3.98%
RWR: -2.79%
-3.39%-4.42% / 3.31%-1.96%-1.42%-3.64%
101/01/200701/31/200712/29/2006Initial EntryN/A50.00% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
50.00% iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
EEM: 0.11%
EFA: 1.39%
0.75%-3.53% / 1.67%1.50%-0.75%0.75%
Trade execution assumes end-of-day close price minus trade execution cost. Initial entry is excluded from turnover and transaction costs.

  • IMPORTANT: The projections or other information generated by Portfolio Visualizer regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary with each use and over time.
  • The results do not constitute investment advice or recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and are not an offer to buy or sell any securities. All use is subject to terms of service.
  • Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
  • Asset allocation and diversification strategies do not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss.
  • Hypothetical returns do not reflect trading costs, transaction fees, commissions, or actual taxes due on investment returns.
  • The results are based on information from a variety of sources we consider reliable, but we do not represent that the information is accurate or complete. Other investments not considered may have characteristics similar or superior to those being analyzed.
  • Refer to the related documentation sections for more details on terms and definitions, methodology, and data sources.
  • The simulated performance results are created by retroactively applying the specified investment strategy to historical data. Future results may vary.
  • The results are based on the total return of assets and assume that all received dividends and distributions are reinvested.
  • Compound annualized growth rate (CAGR) is the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio. It is calculated from the portfolio start and end balance and is thus impacted by any cashflows.
  • The time-weighted rate of return (TWRR) is a measure of the compound rate of growth in a portfolio. This is calculated from the holding period returns (e.g. monthly returns), and TWRR will thus not be impacted by cashflows. If there are no external cashflows, TWRR will equal CAGR.
  • The money-weighted rate of return (MWRR) is the internal rate of return (IRR) taking into account cashflows. This is the discount rate at which the present value of cash inflows equals the present value of cash outflows.
  • Total return is the combined return in income and capital appreciation from investment in an asset. Yield measures the current cash income received from investment in an asset. Bonds provide yield in the form of interest payments and stocks through dividends.
  • Standard deviation (Stdev) is used to measure the dispersion of returns around the mean and is often used as a measure of risk. A higher standard deviation implies greater the dispersion of data points around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio, and it is calculated by dividing the mean monthly excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the standard deviation of excess return, and the displayed value is annualized.
  • Sortino Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted return which is a modification of the Sharpe Ratio. While the latter is the ratio of average returns in excess of a risk-free rate divided by the standard deviation of those excess returns, the Sortino Ratio has the same denominator divided by the standard deviation of returns below the risk-free rate.
  • Treynor Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It is similar to the Sharpe Ratio, but it uses portfolio beta (systematic risk) as the risk metric in the denominator.
  • Calmar Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It is calculated as the annualized return over the past 36 months divided by the maximum drawdown over the past 36 months based on monthly returns.
  • Downside deviation measures the downside volatility of the portfolio returns unlike standard deviation, which includes both upside and downside deviations. Downside deviation is calculated based on negative returns that hurt the portfolio performance.
  • Risk-free returns are calculated based on U.S. 3-Month Treasury Bill Rate.
  • Inflation is calculated based on U.S. Consumer Price Index.
  • Skewness is a measure of the asymmetry of the probability distribution or returns from a normal Gaussian distribution shape about its mean. Negative skewness is associated with the left (typically negative returns) tail of the distribution extending further than the right tail; and positive skewness is associated with the right (typically positive returns) tail of the distribution extending further than the left tail.
  • Excess kurtosis is a measure of whether a data distribution is peaked or flat relative to a normal distribution. Distributions with high kurtosis tend to have a distinct peak near the mean, decline rather rapidly, and have heavy or fat tails.
  • A drawdown refers to the decline in value of a single investment or an investment portfolio from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown (Max Drawdown) is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. Drawdown values are calculated based on monthly returns.
  • Value at Risk (VaR) measures the scale of loss at a given confidence level. For example, if the 95% confidence one-month VaR is 3%, there is 95% confidence that over the next month the portfolio will not lose more than 3%. Value at Risk can be calculated directly based on historical returns based on a given percentile or analytically based on the mean and standard deviation of the returns.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) measures the scale of the expected loss once the specific Value at Risk (VaR) breakpoint has been breached, i.e., it calculates the average tail loss by taking a weighted average between the value at risk and losses exceeding the value at risk.
  • Beta is a measure of systematic risk and measures the volatility of a particular investment relative to the market or its benchmark. Alpha measures the active return of the investment compared to the market benchmark return. R-squared is the percentage of a portfolio's movements that can be explained by movements in the selected benchmark index.
  • Active return is the investment return minus the return of its benchmark. For periods longer than 12 months this is displayed as annualized value, i.e., annualized investment return minus annualized benchmark return.
  • Tracking error, also known as active risk, is the standard deviation of active return. This is displayed as annualized value based on the standard deviation of monthly active returns.
  • Information ratio is the active return divided by the tracking error. It measures whether the investment outperformed its benchmark consistently.
  • Gain/Loss ratio is a measure of downside risk, and it is calculated as the average positive return in up periods divided by the average negative return in down periods.
  • Upside Capture Ratio measures how well the fund performed relative to the benchmark when the market was up, and Downside Capture Ratio measures how well the fund performed relative to the benchmark when the market was down. An upside capture ratio greater than 100 would indicate that the fund outperformed its benchmark when the market was up, and a downside capture ratio below 100 would indicate that the fund lost less than its benchmark when the market was down. To calculate upside capture ratio a new series from the portfolio returns is constructed by dropping all time periods where the benchmark return is less than equal to zero. The up capture is then the quotient of the annualized return of the resulting manager series, divided by the annualized return of the resulting benchmark series. The downside capture ratio is calculated analogously.
  • All risk measures for the portfolio and portfolio assets are calculated based on monthly returns.
  • Invesco QQQ is a paid sponsor of the SRL Analytics Tool, Portfolio Visualizer. The model portfolios are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation or suitability for any investor. Inveso is not affiliated with SRL Global.
  • The annual results for 2026 are based on monthly returns from January to September.
  • The selected portfolio allocation for comparison assumes monthly rebalancing.
  • An equal-weight allocation is used for the assets held by the momentum model.
  • The results for the tactical asset allocation model assume monthly rebalancing trades.
  • The relative strength signal is based on total return including dividends.