Portfolio Optimization

Portfolio Optimization Configuration

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Portfolio Optimization Results (Aug 2019 - Dec 2020) Save

Portfolio optimization results with the goal to maximize Sharpe ratio. The possible range of expected annual portfolio returns for the given period taking into account the specified constraints is 9.51% to 15.71%. Refer to the efficient frontier section for additional details.

Provided Portfolio

Provided Portfolio
Ticker Name Allocation
FIXD First Trust TCWOpportunistic Fxd Inc ETF 10.00%
VTABX Vanguard Total Intl Bd Idx Admiral 10.00%
SVARX Spectrum Low Volatility Investor 5.00%
THLGX Toews Hedged U.S. Fd 5.00%
SWAN Amplify BlackSwan Gr&Trsry Cor ETF 5.00%
SUBFX Carillon Reams Unconstrained Bond I 10.00%
FIKFX Fidelity Freedom Index Income Investor 5.00%
VASIX Vanguard LifeStrategy Income Inv 5.00%
TMSRX T. Rowe Price Multi-Strategy Ttl Ret Inv 5.00%
VSCGX Vanguard LifeStrategy Cnsrv Gr Inv 5.00%
SWLRX Schwab Monthly Income Income Payout 10.00%
PHDG Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF 5.00%
SPEDX Alger Dynamic Opportunities A 5.00%
FMSDX Fidelity Multi-Asset Income 5.00%
MAPIX Matthews Asia Dividend Investor 5.00%
RPGAX T. Rowe Price Global Allocation 5.00%
Save portfolio »

Maximum Sharpe Ratio

Maximum Sharpe Ratio
Ticker Name Allocation
FIXD First Trust TCWOpportunistic Fxd Inc ETF 10.00%
VTABX Vanguard Total Intl Bd Idx Admiral 9.89%
SVARX Spectrum Low Volatility Investor 5.00%
SWAN Amplify BlackSwan Gr&Trsry Cor ETF 5.00%
DRSK Aptus Defined Risk ETF 0.11%
SUBFX Carillon Reams Unconstrained Bond I 10.00%
WAMBX WSTCM Credit Select Risk Managed Inv 10.00%
JHBTX Janus Henderson Global Bond T 10.00%
TMSRX T. Rowe Price Multi-Strategy Ttl Ret Inv 7.70%
RPIEX T. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond Inv 10.00%
PHDG Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF 10.00%
SPEDX Alger Dynamic Opportunities A 10.00%
MAPIX Matthews Asia Dividend Investor 2.30%
Save portfolio »

Portfolio Performance Summary

Performance Summary

Portfolio performance statistics
MetricProvided PortfolioMaximum Sharpe Ratio
Start Balance$10,000$10,000
End Balance$11,821$11,687
Annualized Return (CAGR)12.54%11.63%
Expected Return12.06%11.14%
Standard Deviation6.37%4.36%
Best Year15.11%15.83%
Worst Year2.70%0.90%
Maximum Drawdown -3.98% -1.13%
Sharpe Ratio (ex-ante)1.762.36
Sharpe Ratio (ex-post)1.732.29
Sortino Ratio3.597.76
Stock Market Correlation0.930.76
Results based on historical returns. Expected return is the annualized monthly arithmetic mean return.

Portfolio Growth

   

Annual Returns

Trailing Returns

Trailing Returns
NameTotal ReturnAnnualized Return
3 MonthYear To Date1 yearFull
Provided Portfolio5.19%15.11%15.11%12.54%
Maximum Sharpe Ratio4.06%15.83%15.83%11.63%
Trailing returns are as of last full calendar month ending December 2020
Notes and Disclosures
  • IMPORTANT: The projections or other information generated by Portfolio Visualizer regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary with each use and over time.
  • The results do not constitute investment advice or recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and are not an offer to buy or sell any securities. All use is subject to terms of service.
  • Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
  • Asset allocation and diversification strategies do not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss.
  • Hypothetical returns do not reflect trading costs, transaction fees, commissions, or actual taxes due on investment returns.
  • The results are based on information from a variety of sources we consider reliable, but we do not represent that the information is accurate or complete.
  • Refer to the related documentation sections for more details on terms and definitions, methodology, and data sources.
  • Portfolio optimization is a process of choosing the proportions of various assets to be held in a portfolio in such a way as to make the portfolio better than any other combination according to the selected objective function such as maximizing risk-adjusted return. Portfolio optimization determines target weights for portfolio assets based on mathematical models that can use either historical or forecasted data as inputs. Optimization results are not guarantees of future performance.
  • The results are based on the total return of assets and assume that all received dividends and distributions are reinvested.
  • Compound annualized growth rate (CAGR) is the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio. It is calculated from the portfolio start and end balance and is thus impacted by any cashflows.
  • The time-weighted rate of return (TWRR) is a measure of the compound rate of growth in a portfolio. This is calculated from the holding period returns (e.g. monthly returns), and TWRR will thus not be impacted by cashflows. If there are no external cashflows, TWRR will equal CAGR.
  • The money-weighted rate of return (MWRR) is the internal rate of return (IRR) taking into account cashflows. This is the discount rate at which the present value of cash inflows equals the present value of cash outflows.
  • Standard deviation (Stdev) is used to measure the dispersion of returns around the mean and is often used as a measure of risk. A higher standard deviation implies greater the dispersion of data points around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio, and it is calculated by dividing the mean monthly excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the standard deviation of excess return, and the displayed value is annualized.
  • Sortino Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted return which is a modification of the Sharpe Ratio. While the latter is the ratio of average returns in excess of a risk-free rate divided by the standard deviation of those excess returns, the Sortino Ratio has the same denominator divided by the standard deviation of returns below the risk-free rate.
  • Treynor Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It is similar to the Sharpe Ratio, but it uses portfolio beta (systematic risk) as the risk metric in the denominator.
  • Calmar Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It is calculated as the annualized return over the past 36 months divided by the maximum drawdown over the past 36 months based on monthly returns.
  • Risk-free returns are calculated based on the Federal Reserve 3-Month Treasury Bill (secondary market) rates.
  • Downside deviation measures the downside volatility of the portfolio returns unlike standard deviation, which includes both upside and downside deviations. Downside deviation is calculated based on negative returns that hurt the portfolio performance.
  • Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other. Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much. Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
  • Skewness is a measure of the asymmetry of the probability distribution or returns from a normal Gaussian distribution shape about its mean. Negative skewness is associated with the left (typically negative returns) tail of the distribution extending further than the right tail; and positive skewness is associated with the right (typically positive returns) tail of the distribution extending further than the left tail.
  • Excess kurtosis is a measure of whether a data distribution is peaked or flat relative to a normal distribution. Distributions with high kurtosis tend to have a distinct peak near the mean, decline rather rapidly, and have heavy or fat tails.
  • A drawdown refers to the decline in value of a single investment or an investment portfolio from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown (Max Drawdown) is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. Drawdown values are calculated based on monthly returns.
  • Value at Risk (VaR) measures the scale of loss at a given confidence level. If the 5% VaR is -3% the portfolio return is expected to be greater than -3% 95% of the time and less than -3% 5% of the time. Value at Risk can be calculated directly based on historical returns based on a given percentile or analytically based on the mean and standard deviation of the returns.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) measures the scale of the expected loss once the specific Value at Risk (VaR) breakpoint has been breached, i.e., it calculates the average tail loss by taking a weighted average between the value at risk and losses exceeding the value at risk.
  • Beta is a measure of systematic risk and measures the volatility of a particular investment relative to the market or its benchmark. Alpha measures the active return of the investment compared to the market benchmark return. R-squared is the percentage of a portfolio's movements that can be explained by movements in the selected benchmark index.
  • Active return is the investment return minus the return of its benchmark. For periods longer than 12 months this is displayed as annualized value, i.e., annualized investment return minus annualized benchmark return.
  • Tracking error, also known as active risk, is the standard deviation of active return. This is displayed as annualized value based on the standard deviation of monthly active returns.
  • Information ratio is the active return divided by the tracking error. It measures whether the investment outperformed its benchmark consistently.
  • Gain/Loss ratio is a measure of downside risk, and it is calculated as the average positive return in up periods divided by the average negative return in down periods.
  • Upside Capture Ratio measures how well the fund performed relative to the benchmark when the market was up, and Downside Capture Ratio measures how well the fund performed relative to the benchmark when the market was down. An upside capture ratio greater than 100 would indicate that the fund outperformed its benchmark when the market was up, and a downside capture ratio below 100 would indicate that the fund lost less than its benchmark when the market was down. To calculate upside capture ratio a new series from the portfolio returns is constructed by dropping all time periods where the benchmark return is less than equal to zero. The up capture is then the quotient of the annualized return of the resulting manager series, divided by the annualized return of the resulting benchmark series. The downside capture ratio is calculated analogously.
  • All risk measures for the portfolio and portfolio assets are calculated based on monthly returns.
  • Allocation constraints are only applied to the optimized portfolio, not to compared allocations and benchmarks.
  • The annual results for 2019 are based on full calendar months from August to December.
  • The optimization results assume monthly rebalancing of portfolio assets to match the specified allocation.

Efficient Frontier Assets

Efficient Frontier Assets
#AssetGroupExpected ReturnStandard DeviationSharpe RatioMin. WeightMax. Weight
1First Trust TCWOpportunistic Fxd Inc ETF (FIXD)Bonds7.76%3.95%1.7520.00%10.00%
2Vanguard Total Intl Bd Idx Admiral (VTABX)Bonds3.42%3.82%0.6770.00%10.00%
3Spectrum Low Volatility Investor (SVARX)Defensive16.21%6.28%2.4470.00%5.00%
4Toews Hedged U.S. Fd (THLGX)Defensive22.15%14.06%1.5160.00%5.00%
5Amplify BlackSwan Gr&Trsry Cor ETF (SWAN)Defensive15.20%7.96%1.8050.00%5.00%
6Aptus Defined Risk ETF (DRSK)Defensive10.42%7.09%1.3510.00%5.00%
7Carillon Reams Unconstrained Bond I (SUBFX)Bonds9.17%5.13%1.6240.00%10.00%
8WSTCM Credit Select Risk Managed Inv (WAMBX)Bonds8.28%5.05%1.4760.00%10.00%
9Janus Henderson Global Bond T (JHBTX)Bonds9.50%4.85%1.7850.00%10.00%
10Fidelity Freedom Index Income Investor (FIKFX)Conservative Mixed Asset8.05%4.76%1.5160.00%10.00%
11Vanguard LifeStrategy Income Inv (VASIX)Conservative Mixed Asset8.54%5.77%1.3370.00%10.00%
12T. Rowe Price Multi-Strategy Ttl Ret Inv (TMSRX)International10.14%6.31%1.4730.00%10.00%
13T. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond Inv (RPIEX)Bonds6.32%4.48%1.2230.00%10.00%
14Vanguard LifeStrategy Cnsrv Gr Inv (VSCGX)International11.35%9.60%1.0950.00%10.00%
15Schwab Monthly Income Income Payout (SWLRX)Conservative Mixed Asset7.03%5.26%1.1770.00%10.00%
16Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF (PHDG)Conservative Mixed Asset12.20%10.52%1.0800.00%10.00%
17Alger Dynamic Opportunities A (SPEDX)Aggressive25.29%13.37%1.8290.00%10.00%
18Fidelity Multi-Asset Income (FMSDX)Aggressive16.82%13.18%1.2130.00%10.00%
19Matthews Asia Dividend Investor (MAPIX)International25.62%18.80%1.3190.00%10.00%
20T. Rowe Price Global Allocation (RPGAX)International14.90%15.87%0.8860.00%10.00%
Results based on historical returns. Expected return is the annualized monthly arithmetic mean return. Ex-ante Sharpe Ratio calculated using 3-month treasury bill returns as the risk-free rate.
Asset Groups
Asset GroupMin. WeightMax. Weight
Bonds0.00%100.00%
Defensive0.00%15.00%
Conservative Mixed Asset10.00%40.00%
Aggressive10.00%20.00%
International10.00%100.00%

Asset Correlations

Efficient Frontier Asset Correlations
NameTickerFIXDVTABXSVARXTHLGXSWANDRSKSUBFXWAMBXJHBTXFIKFXVASIXTMSRXRPIEXVSCGXSWLRXPHDGSPEDXFMSDXMAPIXRPGAX
First Trust TCWOpportunistic Fxd Inc ETFFIXD1.000.870.360.170.570.680.700.070.780.690.730.60-0.250.510.76-0.290.560.380.170.40
Vanguard Total Intl Bd Idx AdmiralVTABX0.871.000.19-0.090.320.500.63-0.060.660.580.690.65-0.500.480.68-0.460.510.280.210.40
Spectrum Low Volatility InvestorSVARX0.360.191.000.770.650.440.570.800.540.660.620.630.300.660.600.340.670.700.620.67
Toews Hedged U.S. FdTHLGX0.17-0.090.771.000.770.480.390.740.410.540.440.350.280.530.430.660.530.650.370.51
Amplify BlackSwan Gr&Trsry Cor ETFSWAN0.570.320.650.771.000.670.680.530.630.870.800.50-0.070.790.810.200.590.820.480.70
Aptus Defined Risk ETFDRSK0.680.500.440.480.671.000.67-0.000.450.700.670.59-0.160.590.670.220.630.520.300.51
Carillon Reams Unconstrained Bond ISUBFX0.700.630.570.390.680.671.000.290.590.910.930.86-0.150.900.91-0.060.720.800.720.86
WSTCM Credit Select Risk Managed InvWAMBX0.07-0.060.800.740.53-0.000.291.000.460.430.370.360.420.450.360.390.430.600.450.47
Janus Henderson Global Bond TJHBTX0.780.660.540.410.630.450.590.461.000.640.650.50-0.020.500.67-0.140.540.460.280.39
Fidelity Freedom Index Income InvestorFIKFX0.690.580.660.540.870.700.910.430.641.000.990.82-0.180.970.99-0.040.700.910.730.91
Vanguard LifeStrategy Income InvVASIX0.730.690.620.440.800.670.930.370.650.991.000.86-0.260.960.99-0.130.710.870.730.91
T. Rowe Price Multi-Strategy Ttl Ret InvTMSRX0.600.650.630.350.500.590.860.360.500.820.861.00-0.060.840.830.010.770.760.740.85
T. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond InvRPIEX-0.25-0.500.300.28-0.07-0.16-0.150.42-0.02-0.18-0.26-0.061.00-0.18-0.240.530.040.03-0.01-0.15
Vanguard LifeStrategy Cnsrv Gr InvVSCGX0.510.480.660.530.790.590.900.450.500.970.960.84-0.181.000.94-0.000.680.960.850.98
Schwab Monthly Income Income PayoutSWLRX0.760.680.600.430.810.670.910.360.670.990.990.83-0.240.941.00-0.180.670.860.700.88
Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETFPHDG-0.29-0.460.340.660.200.22-0.060.39-0.14-0.04-0.130.010.53-0.00-0.181.000.200.150.010.03
Alger Dynamic Opportunities ASPEDX0.560.510.670.530.590.630.720.430.540.700.710.770.040.680.670.201.000.640.490.65
Fidelity Multi-Asset IncomeFMSDX0.380.280.700.650.820.520.800.600.460.910.870.760.030.960.860.150.641.000.850.95
Matthews Asia Dividend InvestorMAPIX0.170.210.620.370.480.300.720.450.280.730.730.74-0.010.850.700.010.490.851.000.90
T. Rowe Price Global AllocationRPGAX0.400.400.670.510.700.510.860.470.390.910.910.85-0.150.980.880.030.650.950.901.00
Based on monthly returns from Aug 2019 to Dec 2020

Efficient Frontiers

Efficient Frontier Portfolios

Efficient Frontier Assets
#FIXDVTABXSVARXTHLGXSWANDRSKSUBFXWAMBXJHBTXFIKFXVASIXTMSRXRPIEXVSCGXSWLRXPHDGSPEDXFMSDXMAPIXRPGAXExpected Return *Standard Deviation *Sharpe Ratio *
110.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%4.08%5.92%0.00%0.00%9.51%3.99%2.172
210.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%4.82%5.18%0.00%0.00%9.57%4.00%2.187
310.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%5.56%4.44%0.00%0.00%9.64%4.00%2.201
410.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%6.30%3.70%0.00%0.00%9.70%4.00%2.214
510.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%7.04%2.96%0.00%0.00%9.76%4.01%2.227
610.00%10.00%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%9.88%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%7.68%2.32%0.00%0.00%9.82%4.02%2.238
710.00%10.00%0.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%9.20%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%7.85%2.15%0.00%0.00%9.89%4.03%2.249
810.00%10.00%1.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%8.51%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%8.03%1.97%0.00%0.00%9.95%4.03%2.259
910.00%10.00%2.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%7.83%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%8.20%1.80%0.00%0.00%10.01%4.04%2.269
1010.00%10.00%2.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%7.15%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%8.38%1.62%0.00%0.00%10.07%4.05%2.279
1110.00%10.00%3.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%7.07%10.00%10.00%9.41%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%8.48%1.52%0.00%0.00%10.14%4.06%2.289
1210.00%10.00%4.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%7.65%10.00%10.00%8.17%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%8.50%1.50%0.00%0.00%10.20%4.07%2.298
1310.00%10.00%4.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%8.22%10.00%10.00%6.93%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%8.53%1.47%0.00%0.00%10.26%4.09%2.308
1410.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%9.50%10.00%10.00%5.50%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%8.96%1.04%0.00%0.00%10.33%4.10%2.316
1510.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%9.63%0.37%0.00%0.00%10.39%4.11%2.324
1610.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%0.44%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%4.56%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.45%4.13%2.331
1710.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%1.32%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%3.68%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.51%4.14%2.336
1810.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%2.19%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%2.81%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.58%4.16%2.341
1910.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%3.07%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%1.93%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.64%4.18%2.346
2010.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%3.95%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%1.05%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.70%4.20%2.351
2110.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%4.83%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.17%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.76%4.21%2.356
2210.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%9.68%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.32%0.00%10.83%4.24%2.358
2310.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%9.27%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.73%0.00%10.89%4.26%2.360
2410.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%8.87%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%1.13%0.00%10.95%4.28%2.361
2510.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%8.46%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%1.54%0.00%11.01%4.31%2.362
2610.00%10.00%5.00%0.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%8.06%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%1.94%0.00%11.08%4.34%2.362
2710.00%9.89%5.00%0.00%5.00%0.11%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%7.70%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%2.30%0.00%11.14%4.36%2.362
2810.00%9.40%5.00%0.00%5.00%0.60%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%7.52%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%2.48%0.00%11.20%4.39%2.362
2910.00%8.91%5.00%0.00%5.00%1.09%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%7.34%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%2.66%0.00%11.27%4.42%2.362
3010.00%8.42%5.00%0.00%5.00%1.58%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%7.15%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%2.85%0.00%11.33%4.44%2.362
3110.00%7.93%5.00%0.00%5.00%2.07%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%6.97%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%3.03%0.00%11.39%4.47%2.361
3210.00%7.44%5.00%0.00%5.00%2.56%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%6.78%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%3.22%0.00%11.45%4.50%2.361
3310.00%6.95%5.00%0.00%5.00%3.05%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%6.60%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%3.40%0.00%11.52%4.53%2.360
3410.00%6.46%5.00%0.00%5.00%3.54%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%6.42%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%3.58%0.00%11.58%4.55%2.359
3510.00%5.97%5.00%0.00%5.00%4.03%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%6.23%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%3.77%0.00%11.64%4.58%2.358
3610.00%5.48%5.00%0.00%5.00%4.52%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%6.05%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%3.95%0.00%11.70%4.61%2.357
3710.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%5.86%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%4.14%0.00%11.77%4.64%2.356
3810.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%5.46%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%4.54%0.00%11.83%4.67%2.354
3910.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%5.05%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%4.95%0.00%11.89%4.70%2.353
4010.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%4.65%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%5.35%0.00%11.96%4.73%2.351
4110.00%5.00%5.00%0.16%5.00%4.84%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%4.36%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%5.64%0.00%12.02%4.76%2.348
4210.00%5.00%5.00%0.39%5.00%4.61%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%4.13%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%5.87%0.00%12.08%4.79%2.346
4310.00%5.00%5.00%0.62%5.00%4.38%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%3.90%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%6.10%0.00%12.14%4.82%2.344
4410.00%5.00%5.00%0.84%5.00%4.16%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%3.67%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%6.33%0.00%12.21%4.86%2.341
4510.00%5.00%5.00%1.07%5.00%3.93%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%3.44%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%6.56%0.00%12.27%4.89%2.339
4610.00%5.00%5.00%1.30%5.00%3.70%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%3.21%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%6.79%0.00%12.33%4.92%2.336
4710.00%5.00%5.00%1.53%5.00%3.47%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%2.98%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%7.02%0.00%12.39%4.95%2.333
4810.00%5.00%5.00%1.76%5.00%3.24%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%2.74%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%7.26%0.00%12.46%4.99%2.330
4910.00%5.00%5.00%1.99%5.00%3.01%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%2.51%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%7.49%0.00%12.52%5.02%2.327
5010.00%5.00%5.00%2.22%5.00%2.78%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%2.28%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%7.72%0.00%12.58%5.05%2.324
5110.00%5.00%5.00%2.45%5.00%2.55%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%2.05%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%7.95%0.00%12.64%5.09%2.321
5210.00%5.00%5.00%2.68%5.00%2.32%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%1.82%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%8.18%0.00%12.71%5.12%2.317
5310.00%5.00%5.00%2.91%5.00%2.09%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%1.59%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%8.41%0.00%12.77%5.16%2.314
5410.00%5.00%5.00%3.13%5.00%1.87%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%1.36%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%8.64%0.00%12.83%5.19%2.311
5510.00%5.00%5.00%3.36%5.00%1.64%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%1.12%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%8.88%0.00%12.90%5.23%2.307
5610.00%4.82%5.00%3.56%5.00%1.44%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%1.12%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%9.05%0.00%12.96%5.26%2.304
5710.00%4.16%5.00%3.68%5.00%1.32%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%1.76%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%9.08%0.00%13.02%5.30%2.300
5810.00%3.50%5.00%3.79%5.00%1.21%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%2.39%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%9.12%0.00%13.08%5.33%2.296
5910.00%2.83%5.00%3.90%5.00%1.10%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%3.02%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%9.15%0.00%13.15%5.37%2.293
6010.00%2.17%5.00%4.01%5.00%0.99%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%3.65%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%9.18%0.00%13.21%5.40%2.289
6110.00%1.50%5.00%4.13%5.00%0.87%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%4.29%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%9.21%0.00%13.27%5.44%2.286
6210.00%0.84%5.00%4.24%5.00%0.76%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%4.92%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%9.24%0.00%13.33%5.48%2.282
6310.00%0.18%5.00%4.35%5.00%0.65%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%5.55%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%9.27%0.00%13.40%5.51%2.279
6410.00%0.00%5.00%4.55%5.00%0.45%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%5.55%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%9.45%0.00%13.46%5.55%2.275
6510.00%0.00%5.00%4.78%5.00%0.22%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%5.32%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%9.68%0.00%13.52%5.59%2.272
6610.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%5.08%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%9.92%0.00%13.59%5.62%2.268
6710.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%7.29%10.00%0.00%0.00%7.71%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%13.65%5.67%2.260
6810.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%4.76%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.24%10.00%0.00%13.71%5.73%2.248
6910.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%4.03%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%0.97%10.00%0.00%13.77%5.79%2.235
7010.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%3.50%10.00%0.00%0.00%9.73%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%1.76%10.00%0.00%13.84%5.85%2.223
7110.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%2.98%10.00%0.00%0.00%9.46%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%2.56%10.00%0.00%13.90%5.91%2.210
7210.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%2.46%10.00%0.00%0.00%9.19%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%3.35%10.00%0.00%13.96%5.97%2.198
7310.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%1.94%10.00%0.00%0.00%8.92%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%4.14%10.00%0.00%14.02%6.04%2.185
7410.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%1.41%10.00%0.00%0.00%8.65%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%4.94%10.00%0.00%14.09%6.10%2.173
7510.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.89%10.00%0.00%0.00%8.38%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%5.73%10.00%0.00%14.15%6.16%2.161
7610.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.37%10.00%0.00%0.00%8.11%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%6.52%10.00%0.00%14.21%6.22%2.149
7710.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%7.64%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%7.36%10.00%0.00%14.27%6.29%2.137
7810.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%9.34%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%7.46%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%8.20%10.00%0.00%14.34%6.35%2.126
7910.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%8.28%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%7.74%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%8.99%10.00%0.00%14.40%6.42%2.114
8010.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%7.22%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%8.01%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%9.77%10.00%0.00%14.46%6.48%2.103
8110.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%5.91%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%9.09%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%14.53%6.55%2.090
8210.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%8.10%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%6.90%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%14.59%6.63%2.075
8310.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.44%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%4.56%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%14.65%6.71%2.059
8410.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%3.62%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%1.38%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.00%14.71%6.80%2.042
8510.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%4.46%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%0.54%14.78%6.89%2.022
8610.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%3.51%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%1.49%14.84%7.00%2.001
8710.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%2.57%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%2.43%14.90%7.10%1.980
8810.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%1.62%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%3.38%14.96%7.21%1.959
8910.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.67%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%4.33%15.03%7.32%1.939
909.74%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%5.26%15.09%7.43%1.919
918.86%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%6.14%15.15%7.54%1.899
927.99%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%7.01%15.22%7.65%1.879
937.17%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%9.92%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%7.91%15.28%7.77%1.860
946.96%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%9.09%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%8.95%15.34%7.88%1.841
956.75%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%8.26%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%9.99%15.40%7.99%1.822
963.95%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%1.05%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%15.47%8.12%1.803
972.21%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%2.79%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%15.53%8.24%1.783
980.46%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%4.54%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%15.59%8.37%1.763
990.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%7.88%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%7.12%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%15.65%8.50%1.743
1000.00%0.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%5.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%0.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%15.72%8.64%1.723
*Annualized ex-ante values shown for portfolio return and volatility. Ex-ante Sharpe Ratio calculated using historical 3-month treasury bill returns as the risk-free rate.

Annual Returns

Annual returns for the configured portfolios
YearInflationProvided PortfolioMaximum Sharpe RatioFirst Trust TCWOpportunistic Fxd Inc ETF (FIXD)Vanguard Total Intl Bd Idx Admiral (VTABX)Spectrum Low Volatility Investor (SVARX)Toews Hedged U.S. Fd (THLGX)Amplify BlackSwan Gr&Trsry Cor ETF (SWAN)Carillon Reams Unconstrained Bond I (SUBFX)Fidelity Freedom Index Income Investor (FIKFX)Vanguard LifeStrategy Income Inv (VASIX)T. Rowe Price Multi-Strategy Ttl Ret Inv (TMSRX)Vanguard LifeStrategy Cnsrv Gr Inv (VSCGX)Schwab Monthly Income Income Payout (SWLRX)Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF (PHDG)Alger Dynamic Opportunities A (SPEDX)Fidelity Multi-Asset Income (FMSDX)Matthews Asia Dividend Investor (MAPIX)T. Rowe Price Global Allocation (RPGAX)Aptus Defined Risk ETF (DRSK)WSTCM Credit Select Risk Managed Inv (WAMBX)Janus Henderson Global Bond T (JHBTX)T. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond Inv (RPIEX)
ReturnBalanceReturnBalance
20190.16%2.70%$10,2700.90%$10,0902.37%0.30%0.97%3.28%6.45%2.20%3.07%3.16%1.65%4.59%3.09%-0.78%-4.31%7.48%6.58%5.62%1.44%1.47%1.14%-0.21%
20201.36%15.11%$11,82115.83%$11,6878.88%4.54%24.10%30.43%15.87%11.18%8.54%9.13%13.20%11.51%6.93%18.83%47.26%16.55%31.25%14.80%13.81%10.60%12.88%9.42%
Annual return for 2019 is from 08/01/2019 to 12/31/2019

Monthly Returns

Monthly returns for the configured portfolios
YearMonthProvided PortfolioMaximum Sharpe RatioFirst Trust TCWOpportunistic Fxd Inc ETF (FIXD)Vanguard Total Intl Bd Idx Admiral (VTABX)Spectrum Low Volatility Investor (SVARX)Toews Hedged U.S. Fd (THLGX)Amplify BlackSwan Gr&Trsry Cor ETF (SWAN)Carillon Reams Unconstrained Bond I (SUBFX)Fidelity Freedom Index Income Investor (FIKFX)Vanguard LifeStrategy Income Inv (VASIX)T. Rowe Price Multi-Strategy Ttl Ret Inv (TMSRX)Vanguard LifeStrategy Cnsrv Gr Inv (VSCGX)Schwab Monthly Income Income Payout (SWLRX)Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF (PHDG)Alger Dynamic Opportunities A (SPEDX)Fidelity Multi-Asset Income (FMSDX)Matthews Asia Dividend Investor (MAPIX)T. Rowe Price Global Allocation (RPGAX)Aptus Defined Risk ETF (DRSK)WSTCM Credit Select Risk Managed Inv (WAMBX)Janus Henderson Global Bond T (JHBTX)T. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond Inv (RPIEX)
ReturnBalanceReturnBalance
201980.81%$10,0810.54%$10,0542.63%2.07%-0.64%0.00%2.81%1.33%1.26%1.63%0.41%0.73%1.68%-3.23%0.27%0.54%-2.17%-0.84%1.93%-0.20%3.15%-1.51%
20199-0.33%$10,048-0.84%$9,969-0.48%-0.47%-0.32%-2.14%0.10%0.11%0.09%0.03%-0.61%0.51%0.01%-0.15%-5.76%0.26%2.10%0.93%-1.89%0.20%-1.41%-0.36%
2019100.31%$10,078-0.29%$9,9400.03%-0.55%-0.18%-0.59%0.81%0.44%0.59%0.50%-0.10%1.02%0.60%-2.95%-1.21%1.69%4.07%1.46%-0.26%-0.39%0.54%0.01%
2019110.85%$10,1640.58%$9,9980.27%-0.30%-0.06%3.38%1.71%0.14%0.55%0.49%0.72%1.01%0.30%3.12%2.88%1.83%-0.99%1.59%0.95%0.10%-1.32%-0.20%
2019121.04%$10,2700.91%$10,090-0.07%-0.43%2.19%2.69%0.89%0.16%0.55%0.48%1.23%1.23%0.47%2.61%-0.36%2.97%3.56%2.40%0.74%1.77%0.25%1.88%
202011.03%$10,3751.20%$10,2111.99%1.98%1.55%2.42%2.51%0.67%1.01%1.36%0.83%0.71%1.07%0.57%5.31%-1.13%-5.72%-0.30%3.23%-0.10%1.79%-1.54%
20202-0.64%$10,3090.08%$10,2191.58%0.68%0.97%-2.36%-1.09%-0.25%-0.33%-0.37%0.72%-2.22%-0.10%-0.82%-0.76%-3.42%-2.85%-4.02%2.17%-1.41%0.41%1.49%
20203-3.37%$9,962-0.91%$10,126-1.33%-2.46%-0.92%1.45%-1.27%-2.76%-2.74%-3.96%-4.68%-6.58%-3.58%5.20%-3.34%-6.73%-11.67%-11.88%-2.12%0.41%-0.55%3.12%
202043.96%$10,3562.94%$10,4242.37%1.54%1.62%2.22%3.76%4.43%3.04%3.51%3.95%5.40%3.08%2.29%8.29%6.83%7.88%7.58%5.06%-0.20%1.73%1.33%
202052.50%$10,6152.38%$10,6710.98%0.17%3.91%5.05%1.64%1.88%1.22%1.36%2.57%2.32%1.14%2.24%8.18%3.44%5.33%4.34%1.66%2.45%0.72%1.16%
202061.65%$10,7901.30%$10,8100.92%0.47%3.07%3.25%1.25%1.88%0.97%1.18%0.90%1.70%0.74%1.30%2.09%0.57%5.94%2.83%0.91%0.70%1.32%0.12%
202073.07%$11,1213.01%$11,1361.73%1.03%4.33%6.88%3.46%1.63%1.86%2.12%2.78%2.85%1.79%3.39%5.42%5.23%6.59%4.05%0.50%4.15%3.38%1.85%
202081.88%$11,3301.35%$11,286-0.67%-0.74%1.91%7.37%2.30%0.55%0.73%0.47%0.97%1.80%0.15%7.18%2.46%3.56%6.85%3.37%3.53%0.47%-0.09%-0.14%
20209-0.81%$11,238-0.50%$11,230-0.13%0.81%-0.92%-7.93%-2.41%-0.41%-0.59%-0.35%0.19%-0.94%-0.60%-3.90%1.78%-2.22%3.33%-1.63%-1.55%-1.13%-0.41%-0.79%
202010-0.49%$11,183-0.06%$11,223-0.25%0.42%-0.12%-1.97%-2.71%0.29%-0.82%-0.65%0.86%-1.06%-0.70%-1.24%0.38%-1.64%0.05%-0.43%-1.78%0.29%0.12%0.13%
2020113.68%$11,5952.14%$11,4631.22%0.25%4.26%7.75%6.26%2.07%3.00%3.11%1.33%5.44%3.01%-1.20%5.24%8.49%8.85%8.04%1.99%2.76%2.22%0.47%
2020121.95%$11,8211.95%$11,6870.18%0.36%2.30%3.89%1.53%0.82%1.02%1.21%2.31%2.13%0.90%2.87%4.94%3.56%5.16%3.63%-0.29%1.88%1.60%1.93%

Risk and Return Metrics

Portfolio return and risk metrics
MetricProvided PortfolioMaximum Sharpe Ratio
Arithmetic Mean (monthly)1.01%0.93%
Arithmetic Mean (annualized)12.75%11.73%
Geometric Mean (monthly)0.99%0.92%
Geometric Mean (annualized)12.54%11.63%
Standard Deviation (monthly)1.84%1.26%
Standard Deviation (annualized)6.37%4.36%
Downside Deviation (monthly)0.87%0.33%
Maximum Drawdown-3.98%-1.13%
Stock Market Correlation0.930.76
Beta(*)0.260.14
Alpha (annualized)6.44%7.99%
R286.74%58.24%
Sharpe Ratio1.732.29
Sortino Ratio3.597.76
Treynor Ratio (%)43.7171.57
Active Return-8.62%-9.52%
Tracking Error17.34%19.99%
Information Ratio-0.50-0.48
Skewness-0.470.18
Excess Kurtosis0.67-1.05
Historical Value-at-Risk (5%)-1.32%-0.86%
Analytical Value-at-Risk (5%)-1.93%-1.08%
Conditional Value-at-Risk (5%)-3.37%-0.91%
Upside Capture Ratio (%)30.1122.23
Downside Capture Ratio (%)12.47-1.22
Safe Withdrawal Rate54.53%53.73%
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate7.33%6.80%
Positive Periods12 out of 17 (70.59%)12 out of 17 (70.59%)
Gain/Loss Ratio1.682.94
* US stock market is used as the benchmark for calculations. Value-at-risk metrics are based on monthly values.

Drawdowns

Historical Market Stress Periods

Drawdowns for Historical Market Stress Periods
Stress PeriodStartEndProvided PortfolioMaximum Sharpe Ratio
COVID-19 StartJan 2020Mar 2020-3.98%-0.91%

Drawdowns for Provided Portfolio

Drawdowns for Provided Portfolio
RankStartEndLengthRecovery ByRecovery TimeUnderwater PeriodDrawdown
1Feb 2020Mar 20202 monthsMay 20202 months4 months-3.98%
2Sep 2020Oct 20202 monthsNov 20201 month3 months-1.30%
3Sep 2019Sep 20191 monthNov 20192 months3 months-0.33%

Drawdowns for Maximum Sharpe Ratio

Drawdowns for Maximum Sharpe Ratio
RankStartEndLengthRecovery ByRecovery TimeUnderwater PeriodDrawdown
1Sep 2019Oct 20192 monthsDec 20192 months4 months-1.13%
2Mar 2020Mar 20201 monthApr 20201 month2 months-0.91%
3Sep 2020Oct 20202 monthsNov 20201 month3 months-0.56%

Portfolio Assets

Performance statistics for portfolio components
TickerNameCAGRStdevBest YearWorst YearMax DrawdownSharpe RatioSortino RatioMarket Correlation
FIXDFirst Trust TCWOpportunistic Fxd Inc ETF7.96%3.95%8.88%2.37%-1.33%1.754.720.33
VTABXVanguard Total Intl Bd Idx Admiral3.40%3.82%4.54%0.30%-2.46%0.671.050.29
SVARXSpectrum Low Volatility Investor17.26%6.28%24.10%0.97%-1.20%2.4010.640.63
THLGXToews Hedged U.S. Fd23.41%14.06%30.43%3.28%-9.74%1.512.860.59
SWANAmplify BlackSwan Gr&Trsry Cor ETF15.96%7.96%15.87%6.45%-5.06%1.804.190.76
SUBFXCarillon Reams Unconstrained Bond I9.43%5.13%11.18%2.20%-3.01%1.593.400.83
FIKFXFidelity Freedom Index Income Investor8.24%4.76%8.54%3.07%-3.06%1.492.810.90
VASIXVanguard LifeStrategy Income Inv8.72%5.77%9.13%3.16%-4.31%1.322.200.87
TMSRXT. Rowe Price Multi-Strategy Ttl Ret Inv10.41%6.31%13.20%1.65%-4.68%1.452.280.78
VSCGXVanguard LifeStrategy Cnsrv Gr Inv11.47%9.60%11.51%4.59%-8.65%1.081.730.97
SWLRXSchwab Monthly Income Income Payout7.12%5.26%6.93%3.09%-3.68%1.161.930.84
PHDGInvesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF12.33%10.52%18.83%-0.78%-6.23%1.072.130.16
SPEDXAlger Dynamic Opportunities A27.39%13.37%47.26%-4.31%-6.89%1.814.120.65
FMSDXFidelity Multi-Asset Income17.24%13.18%16.55%7.48%-10.94%1.202.300.96
MAPIXMatthews Asia Dividend Investor26.74%18.80%31.25%6.58%-19.10%1.312.150.85
RPGAXT. Rowe Price Global Allocation14.57%15.87%14.80%5.62%-15.68%0.881.300.97
DRSKAptus Defined Risk ETF10.67%7.09%13.81%1.44%-3.31%1.342.940.55
WAMBXWSTCM Credit Select Risk Managed Inv8.48%5.05%10.60%1.47%-1.51%1.454.320.48
JHBTXJanus Henderson Global Bond T9.80%4.85%12.88%1.14%-2.19%1.764.530.34
RPIEXT. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond Inv6.40%4.48%9.42%-0.21%-2.06%1.212.53-0.10

Portfolio Asset Performance

Performance of portfolio assets
NameTotal ReturnExpense Ratio
3 MonthYear To Date1 yearNetGross
First Trust TCWOpportunistic Fxd Inc ETF1.15%8.88%8.88%0.65%0.65%
Vanguard Total Intl Bd Idx Admiral1.03%4.54%4.54%0.11%0.11%
Spectrum Low Volatility Investor6.53%24.10%24.10%2.67%2.67%
Toews Hedged U.S. Fd9.74%30.43%30.43%1.27%1.28%
Amplify BlackSwan Gr&Trsry Cor ETF4.96%15.87%15.87%0.49%0.49%
Carillon Reams Unconstrained Bond I3.21%11.18%11.18%0.50%0.85%
Fidelity Freedom Index Income Investor3.19%8.54%8.54%0.12%0.12%
Vanguard LifeStrategy Income Inv3.67%9.13%9.13%0.11%0.11%
T. Rowe Price Multi-Strategy Ttl Ret Inv4.55%13.20%13.20%1.19%1.37%
Vanguard LifeStrategy Cnsrv Gr Inv6.55%11.51%11.51%0.12%0.12%
Schwab Monthly Income Income Payout3.20%6.93%6.93%0.21%0.32%
Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF0.38%18.83%18.83%0.39%0.44%
Alger Dynamic Opportunities A10.87%47.26%47.26%2.00%2.77%
Fidelity Multi-Asset Income10.51%16.55%16.55%0.75%0.75%
Matthews Asia Dividend Investor14.52%31.25%31.25%1.02%1.03%
T. Rowe Price Global Allocation11.48%14.80%14.80%0.87%1.00%
Aptus Defined Risk ETF-0.12%13.81%13.81%0.79%0.79%
WSTCM Credit Select Risk Managed Inv4.99%10.60%10.60%1.67%1.72%
Janus Henderson Global Bond T3.99%12.88%12.88%0.84%1.02%
T. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond Inv2.54%9.42%9.42%0.70%0.70%
Trailing returns as of last calendar month ending December 2020

Monthly Correlations

Correlations for the portfolio assets
TickerNameFIXDVTABXSVARXTHLGXSWANSUBFXFIKFXVASIXTMSRXVSCGXSWLRXPHDGSPEDXFMSDXMAPIXRPGAXDRSKWAMBXJHBTXRPIEXProvided PortfolioMaximum Sharpe Ratio
FIXDFirst Trust TCWOpportunistic Fxd Inc ETF1.000.870.360.170.570.700.690.730.600.510.76-0.290.560.380.170.400.680.070.78-0.250.580.58
VTABXVanguard Total Intl Bd Idx Admiral0.871.000.19-0.090.320.630.580.690.650.480.68-0.460.510.280.210.400.50-0.060.66-0.500.490.44
SVARXSpectrum Low Volatility Investor0.360.191.000.770.650.570.660.620.630.660.600.340.670.700.620.670.440.800.540.300.780.85
THLGXToews Hedged U.S. Fd0.17-0.090.771.000.770.390.540.440.350.530.430.660.530.650.370.510.480.740.410.280.660.74
SWANAmplify BlackSwan Gr&Trsry Cor ETF0.570.320.650.771.000.680.870.800.500.790.810.200.590.820.480.700.670.530.63-0.070.830.75
SUBFXCarillon Reams Unconstrained Bond I0.700.630.570.390.681.000.910.930.860.900.91-0.060.720.800.720.860.670.290.59-0.150.900.80
FIKFXFidelity Freedom Index Income Investor0.690.580.660.540.870.911.000.990.820.970.99-0.040.700.910.730.910.700.430.64-0.180.960.82
VASIXVanguard LifeStrategy Income Inv0.730.690.620.440.800.930.991.000.860.960.99-0.130.710.870.730.910.670.370.65-0.260.940.80
TMSRXT. Rowe Price Multi-Strategy Ttl Ret Inv0.600.650.630.350.500.860.820.861.000.840.830.010.770.760.740.850.590.360.50-0.060.870.82
VSCGXVanguard LifeStrategy Cnsrv Gr Inv0.510.480.660.530.790.900.970.960.841.000.94-0.000.680.960.850.980.590.450.50-0.180.960.79
SWLRXSchwab Monthly Income Income Payout0.760.680.600.430.810.910.990.990.830.941.00-0.180.670.860.700.880.670.360.67-0.240.920.77
PHDGInvesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF-0.29-0.460.340.660.20-0.06-0.04-0.130.01-0.00-0.181.000.200.150.010.030.220.39-0.140.530.150.36
SPEDXAlger Dynamic Opportunities A0.560.510.670.530.590.720.700.710.770.680.670.201.000.640.490.650.630.430.540.040.790.89
FMSDXFidelity Multi-Asset Income0.380.280.700.650.820.800.910.870.760.960.860.150.641.000.850.950.520.600.460.030.940.80
MAPIXMatthews Asia Dividend Investor0.170.210.620.370.480.720.730.730.740.850.700.010.490.851.000.900.300.450.28-0.010.800.62
RPGAXT. Rowe Price Global Allocation0.400.400.670.510.700.860.910.910.850.980.880.030.650.950.901.000.510.470.39-0.150.940.76
DRSKAptus Defined Risk ETF0.680.500.440.480.670.670.700.670.590.590.670.220.630.520.300.511.00-0.000.45-0.160.670.66
WAMBXWSTCM Credit Select Risk Managed Inv0.07-0.060.800.740.530.290.430.370.360.450.360.390.430.600.450.47-0.001.000.460.420.560.66
JHBTXJanus Henderson Global Bond T0.780.660.540.410.630.590.640.650.500.500.67-0.140.540.460.280.390.450.461.00-0.020.600.67
RPIEXT. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond Inv-0.25-0.500.300.28-0.07-0.15-0.18-0.26-0.06-0.18-0.240.530.040.03-0.01-0.15-0.160.42-0.021.00-0.040.21

Portfolio Return Decomposition

Portfolio return decomposition
TickerNameProvided PortfolioMaximum Sharpe Ratio
FIXDFirst Trust TCWOpportunistic Fxd Inc ETF$113$113
VTABXVanguard Total Intl Bd Idx Admiral$51.03$50.60
SVARXSpectrum Low Volatility Investor$123$123
THLGXToews Hedged U.S. Fd$167
SWANAmplify BlackSwan Gr&Trsry Cor ETF$113$113
SUBFXCarillon Reams Unconstrained Bond I$136$137
FIKFXFidelity Freedom Index Income Investor$60.06
VASIXVanguard LifeStrategy Income Inv$63.89
TMSRXT. Rowe Price Multi-Strategy Ttl Ret Inv$77.02$119
VSCGXVanguard LifeStrategy Cnsrv Gr Inv$85.83
SWLRXSchwab Monthly Income Income Payout$104
PHDGInvesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF$91.72$183
SPEDXAlger Dynamic Opportunities A$193$387
FMSDXFidelity Multi-Asset Income$128
MAPIXMatthews Asia Dividend Investor$199$92.46
RPGAXT. Rowe Price Global Allocation$115
DRSKAptus Defined Risk ETF$1.73
WAMBXWSTCM Credit Select Risk Managed Inv$128
JHBTXJanus Henderson Global Bond T$143
RPIEXT. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond Inv$94.94
Return attribution decomposes portfolio gains into its constituent parts and identifies the contribution to returns by each of the assets.

Portfolio Risk Decomposition

Portfolio risk decomposition
TickerNameProvided PortfolioMaximum Sharpe Ratio
FIXDFirst Trust TCWOpportunistic Fxd Inc ETF3.59%5.25%
VTABXVanguard Total Intl Bd Idx Admiral2.92%3.79%
SVARXSpectrum Low Volatility Investor3.87%6.14%
THLGXToews Hedged U.S. Fd7.30%
SWANAmplify BlackSwan Gr&Trsry Cor ETF5.18%6.88%
SUBFXCarillon Reams Unconstrained Bond I7.27%9.37%
FIKFXFidelity Freedom Index Income Investor3.59%
VASIXVanguard LifeStrategy Income Inv4.27%
TMSRXT. Rowe Price Multi-Strategy Ttl Ret Inv4.32%9.12%
VSCGXVanguard LifeStrategy Cnsrv Gr Inv7.26%
SWLRXSchwab Monthly Income Income Payout7.61%
PHDGInvesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF1.27%8.66%
SPEDXAlger Dynamic Opportunities A8.33%27.16%
FMSDXFidelity Multi-Asset Income9.73%
MAPIXMatthews Asia Dividend Investor11.79%6.18%
RPGAXT. Rowe Price Global Allocation11.71%
DRSKAptus Defined Risk ETF0.12%
WAMBXWSTCM Credit Select Risk Managed Inv7.65%
JHBTXJanus Henderson Global Bond T7.50%
RPIEXT. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond Inv2.18%
Risk attribution decomposes portfolio risk into its constituent parts and identifies the contribution to overall volatility by each of the assets.

Annual Asset Returns