Factor Regression Analysis

Regression Model

Portfolio Assets
Allocation
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Asset 2
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Asset 3
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Asset 4
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Asset 5
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Asset 6
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Asset 7
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Asset 8
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Asset 9
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Factor Analysis Results

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

Factor regression results for Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
Ticker BRK.A
Time Period May 1985 - Jul 2023
Regression Basis 459 monthly samples
Coefficient of Determination (R2) 36.9%
Adjusted R2 36.2%
Regression F statistic 53.08 (p-value = 0.000)
Autocorrelation No autocorrelation confirmed (Durbin-Watson test value is 2.110 with p-value 0.877)
Heteroscedasticity No heteroscedasticity confirmed (Breusch-Pagan test value is 4.736 with p-value 0.449)
Factor Loading Standard Error t-stat p-value 95% Confidence Interval
Market (Rm-Rf) 0.83 0.057 14.561 0.000 0.716...0.940
Size (SMB) -0.35 0.088 -3.997 0.000 -0.523...-0.178
Value (HML) 0.42 0.102 4.136 0.000 0.221...0.621
Profitability (RMW) 0.31 0.111 2.763 0.006 0.088...0.523
Investment (CMA) -0.02 0.153 -0.122 0.903 -0.319...0.282
Alpha (α) 41.59bps 0.002 1.707 0.089 -0.06%...0.89%
Annualized Alpha (α) 4.99%  
Notes and Disclosures
  • IMPORTANT: The projections or other information generated by Portfolio Visualizer regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary with each use and over time.
  • The results do not constitute investment advice or recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and are not an offer to buy or sell any securities. All use is subject to terms of service.
  • Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
  • Asset allocation and diversification strategies do not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss.
  • Hypothetical returns do not reflect trading costs, transaction fees, commissions, or actual taxes due on investment returns.
  • The results are based on information from a variety of sources we consider reliable, but we do not represent that the information is accurate or complete.
  • Refer to the related documentation sections for more details on terms and definitions, methodology, and data sources.
  • The results are based on the total return of assets and assume that all received dividends and distributions are reinvested.
  • Refer to the documentation regarding the list of factor data sources and methodology descriptions.
  • Results are based on multiple linear regression against monthly factor returns.
  • 5-factor model: Ra = Rrf + Bmkt × ( Rmkt - Rrf ) + Bsmb × SMB + Bhml × HML + Brmw × RMW + Bcma × CMA + α
  • Symbols:
    Ra
    Asset return
    Rrf
    Risk free return
    Bmkt
    Market loading factor (exposure to market risk, different from CAPM beta)
    Rmkt
    Market return
    Bsmb
    Size loading factor (the level of exposure to size risk)
    SMB
    Small Minus Big: The size premium
    Bhml
    Value loading factor (the level of exposure to value risk)
    HML
    High Minus Low: The value premium
    Brmw
    Profitability loading factor
    RMW
    Robust Minus Weak: The profitability premium
    Bcma
    Investment loading factor
    CMA
    Conservative Minus Aggressive: The conservative investment premium
    Alpha
    Excess return over the benchmark
    t-stat
    t-statistic is a ratio of the departure of an estimated parameter from its notional value and its standard error
    p-value
    p-value measures the statistical significance of the estimated parameter
    R2
    Coefficient of determination

Factor Returns

Factor regression results
Monthly Factor Premiums (BPS) 73.75 5.42 13.44 38.74 24.00  
Name Ticker Start Date End Date Annual Alpha Rm-Rf SMB HML RMW CMA Total R2
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. BRK.A May 1985 Jul 2023 4.99% 61.05 -1.90 5.66 11.84 -0.45 117.79 36.9%

Risk and Return Attribution

Factor Based Risk and Return Attribution
NameStart DateEnd DateCumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnAnnualized Standard DeviationCumulative ReturnReturn ContributionRisk Contribution
MarketSMBHMLRMWCMAAlphaMarketSMBHMLRMWCMAAlphaMarketSMBHMLRMWCMAAlpha
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.May 1985Jul 202328,840.54%15.97%21.51%17,725.95%-512.24%1,154.16%2,712.17%-80.89%7,841.39%59.03%-1.71%3.84%9.03%-0.27%26.11%30.86%1.69%3.42%1.21%0.02%62.79%

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Cumulative Return

Residuals

Regression residuals
MonthBRK.A
May 1985-5.59%
Jun 198512.98%
Jul 1985-0.47%
Aug 1985-4.45%
Sep 19855.17%
Oct 198518.06%
Nov 1985-5.14%
Dec 1985-10.01%
Jan 1986-9.48%
Feb 198615.25%
Mar 19867.57%
Apr 1986-5.27%
May 1986-7.44%
Jun 19860.85%
Jul 1986-3.65%
Aug 1986-5.68%
Sep 1986-3.77%
Oct 19864.60%
Nov 1986-7.42%
Dec 19864.37%
Jan 1987-0.51%
Feb 19877.77%
Mar 19871.60%
Apr 1987-3.29%
May 1987-0.43%
Jun 1987-3.24%
Jul 19878.61%
Aug 1987-3.63%
Sep 19877.39%
Oct 1987-8.18%
Nov 1987-6.77%
Dec 1987-3.78%
Jan 1988-3.38%
Feb 19880.56%
Mar 198811.75%
Apr 19888.68%
May 19881.60%
Jun 19881.63%
Jul 19884.73%
Aug 1988-0.61%
Sep 19887.15%
Oct 1988-5.82%
Nov 1988-0.68%
Dec 1988-1.08%
Jan 1989-2.00%
Feb 1989-2.40%
Mar 19892.37%
Apr 198922.19%
May 1989-1.37%
Jun 19890.94%
Jul 19896.09%
Aug 19893.77%
Sep 19898.00%
Oct 1989-0.12%
Nov 1989-4.72%
Dec 19892.35%
Jan 1990-8.98%
Feb 1990-4.85%
Mar 1990-8.34%
Apr 19901.72%
May 1990-1.07%
Jun 19902.15%
Jul 1990-3.28%
Aug 1990-3.13%
Sep 1990-5.68%
Oct 1990-0.98%
Nov 19901.44%
Dec 19902.23%
Jan 19917.62%
Feb 19913.95%
Mar 1991-1.60%
Apr 1991-0.17%
May 19913.40%
Jun 1991-1.68%
Jul 1991-3.22%
Aug 19910.69%
Sep 19913.14%
Oct 1991-4.31%
Nov 19910.26%
Dec 1991-1.62%
Jan 1992-0.78%
Feb 1992-5.25%
Mar 19922.24%
Apr 1992-3.97%
May 1992-1.35%
Jun 19920.29%
Jul 1992-0.99%
Aug 1992-3.76%
Sep 19921.12%
Oct 19920.47%
Nov 199211.26%
Dec 19927.24%
Jan 19930.36%
Feb 1993-1.34%
Mar 1993-0.77%
Apr 19930.87%
May 199317.67%
Jun 19930.94%
Jul 19933.27%
Aug 19936.24%
Sep 1993-4.33%
Oct 19933.31%
Nov 19930.07%
Dec 1993-7.38%
Jan 1994-3.78%
Feb 1994-2.23%
Mar 19945.12%
Apr 1994-1.51%
May 1994-2.56%
Jun 19940.56%
Jul 199418.02%
Aug 1994-5.44%
Sep 19941.98%
Oct 19944.75%
Nov 19944.10%
Dec 1994-2.23%
Jan 199516.04%
Feb 1995-14.10%
Mar 1995-0.22%
Apr 1995-8.14%
May 1995-0.11%
Jun 19952.36%
Jul 19952.89%
Aug 19951.54%
Sep 199510.72%
Oct 1995-1.08%
Nov 19951.61%
Dec 19951.43%
Jan 1996-4.41%
Feb 199610.34%
Mar 1996-6.09%
Apr 1996-0.27%
May 1996-10.31%
Jun 1996-2.54%
Jul 19960.37%
Aug 1996-0.54%
Sep 1996-2.06%
Oct 1996-4.54%
Nov 1996-6.11%
Dec 19963.75%
Jan 1997-3.35%
Feb 1997-1.82%
Mar 19973.59%
Apr 1997-2.26%
May 199710.33%
Jun 19975.18%
Jul 1997-8.06%
Aug 1997-6.96%
Sep 19973.87%
Oct 1997-1.55%
Nov 1997-2.73%
Dec 1997-2.96%
Jan 19988.31%
Feb 19984.78%
Mar 199814.94%
Apr 19980.75%
May 19982.02%
Jun 19986.86%
Jul 1998-10.87%
Aug 1998-5.45%
Sep 1998-5.77%
Oct 19981.04%
Nov 19981.37%
Dec 1998-1.42%
Jan 1999-8.41%
Feb 19999.81%
Mar 1999-2.39%
Apr 19993.97%
May 1999-4.39%
Jun 1999-7.33%
Jul 19991.54%
Aug 1999-4.71%
Sep 1999-10.24%
Oct 19999.81%
Nov 1999-8.01%
Dec 1999-1.73%
Jan 2000-1.28%
Feb 2000-0.79%
Mar 200012.38%
Apr 20001.04%
May 2000-3.01%
Jun 2000-3.34%
Jul 2000-1.99%
Aug 2000-0.79%
Sep 200011.57%
Oct 2000-5.98%
Nov 20002.18%
Dec 20003.34%
Jan 2001-1.81%
Feb 20013.43%
Mar 2001-4.56%
Apr 2001-0.94%
May 2001-0.50%
Jun 20014.19%
Jul 2001-4.63%
Aug 20013.77%
Sep 20013.74%
Oct 20014.94%
Nov 2001-8.44%
Dec 20017.46%
Jan 2002-4.00%
Feb 2002-3.28%
Mar 2002-5.06%
Apr 20026.47%
May 2002-0.23%
Jun 2002-4.80%
Jul 20026.64%
Aug 20023.63%
Sep 20028.66%
Oct 2002-5.45%
Nov 2002-3.57%
Dec 20022.23%
Jan 2003-4.56%
Feb 2003-7.68%
Mar 20032.44%
Apr 20033.44%
May 2003-0.10%
Jun 20030.79%
Jul 20030.31%
Aug 20033.76%
Sep 2003-0.67%
Oct 2003-1.21%
Nov 20036.07%
Dec 2003-5.15%
Jan 20044.95%
Feb 20042.57%
Mar 2004-0.56%
Apr 20040.61%
May 2004-5.81%
Jun 2004-2.06%
Jul 2004-3.12%
Aug 2004-2.09%
Sep 2004-0.69%
Oct 2004-4.15%
Nov 2004-3.96%
Dec 20042.04%
Jan 20051.84%
Feb 2005-3.00%
Mar 2005-4.02%
Apr 2005-3.25%
May 2005-2.41%
Jun 2005-2.18%
Jul 2005-2.23%
Aug 2005-0.36%
Sep 2005-3.01%
Oct 20055.32%
Nov 20051.34%
Dec 2005-1.60%
Jan 2006-0.55%
Feb 2006-3.33%
Mar 20063.00%
Apr 2006-4.70%
May 20063.47%
Jun 2006-2.06%
Jul 2006-3.08%
Aug 20064.02%
Sep 2006-3.44%
Oct 20067.47%
Nov 2006-0.58%
Dec 2006-0.01%
Jan 2007-1.72%
Feb 2007-2.03%
Mar 20071.50%
Apr 2007-3.99%
May 2007-3.34%
Jun 20071.33%
Jul 20073.18%
Aug 20077.04%
Sep 2007-3.12%
Oct 200710.90%
Nov 20077.73%
Dec 20071.10%
Jan 2008-1.83%
Feb 20084.79%
Mar 2008-4.69%
Apr 2008-4.64%
May 2008-0.16%
Jun 2008-3.89%
Jul 2008-5.68%
Aug 20080.06%
Sep 200815.99%
Oct 20081.10%
Nov 2008-3.93%
Dec 2008-7.92%
Jan 20092.88%
Feb 2009-2.16%
Mar 20091.96%
Apr 2009-0.59%
May 2009-8.02%
Jun 2009-0.15%
Jul 2009-0.04%
Aug 2009-1.47%
Sep 2009-3.53%
Oct 2009-1.51%
Nov 2009-4.50%
Dec 2009-2.15%
Jan 201018.23%
Feb 20100.59%
Mar 2010-4.03%
Apr 2010-7.05%
May 2010-1.42%
Jun 201018.62%
Jul 2010-8.53%
Aug 20104.46%
Sep 2010-0.70%
Oct 2010-6.88%
Nov 20101.42%
Dec 2010-5.95%
Jan 2011-1.39%
Feb 20114.59%
Mar 2011-4.23%
Apr 2011-2.75%
May 2011-4.15%
Jun 2011-1.77%
Jul 2011-3.33%
Aug 20111.84%
Sep 20111.98%
Oct 20111.51%
Nov 20110.70%
Dec 2011-5.24%
Jan 2012-0.12%
Feb 2012-4.70%
Mar 2012-0.09%
Apr 2012-0.86%
May 20122.90%
Jun 20121.87%
Jul 2012-0.37%
Aug 2012-3.23%
Sep 20122.19%
Oct 2012-2.74%
Nov 20121.14%
Dec 2012-0.01%
Jan 20134.17%
Feb 20133.21%
Mar 2013-0.98%
Apr 2013-1.01%
May 20135.20%
Jun 2013-0.34%
Jul 2013-1.13%
Aug 2013-1.24%
Sep 20130.06%
Oct 2013-4.24%
Nov 2013-1.67%
Dec 2013-0.95%
Jan 2014-0.15%
Feb 2014-1.55%
Mar 20144.01%
Apr 2014-0.08%
May 2014-3.42%
Jun 2014-1.74%
Jul 2014-1.44%
Aug 20145.99%
Sep 20140.56%
Oct 20141.24%
Nov 20143.74%
Dec 20141.39%
Jan 2015-1.66%
Feb 2015-1.82%
Mar 20150.04%
Apr 2015-4.67%
May 20150.42%
Jun 2015-2.60%
Jul 20152.78%
Aug 2015-2.04%
Sep 2015-3.24%
Oct 2015-2.83%
Nov 2015-0.30%
Dec 2015-0.50%
Jan 2016-0.29%
Feb 20163.43%
Mar 2016-1.18%
Apr 20161.41%
May 2016-4.46%
Jun 20162.49%
Jul 2016-3.14%
Aug 20163.49%
Sep 2016-3.02%
Oct 2016-2.42%
Nov 20164.57%
Dec 2016-0.66%
Jan 2017-0.52%
Feb 20170.86%
Mar 2017-1.94%
Apr 2017-1.74%
May 2017-0.89%
Jun 20172.36%
Jul 20170.87%
Aug 20172.81%
Sep 2017-0.54%
Oct 2017-1.39%
Nov 2017-0.22%
Dec 20170.11%
Jan 20183.16%
Feb 2018-1.22%
Mar 2018-0.69%
Apr 2018-2.75%
May 2018-0.33%
Jun 2018-1.72%
Jul 20182.36%
Aug 20183.23%
Sep 20180.39%
Oct 2018-1.31%
Nov 20183.73%
Dec 20180.95%
Jan 2019-4.31%
Feb 2019-4.73%
Mar 2019-1.61%
Apr 20192.16%
May 2019-2.89%
Jun 20190.98%
Jul 2019-5.43%
Aug 20190.44%
Sep 2019-2.14%
Oct 20190.74%
Nov 20191.35%
Dec 2019-0.47%
Jan 2020-0.10%
Feb 20200.21%
Mar 20201.98%
Apr 2020-7.54%
May 2020-3.74%
Jun 2020-4.94%
Jul 20204.01%
Aug 20204.42%
Sep 20201.80%
Oct 2020-4.08%
Nov 20205.18%
Dec 2020-0.15%
Jan 20210.95%
Feb 20211.66%
Mar 2021-2.47%
Apr 20210.95%
May 20211.79%
Jun 2021-2.85%
Jul 2021-3.94%
Aug 2021-0.32%
Sep 2021-2.21%
Oct 2021-1.96%
Nov 2021-5.44%
Dec 20212.04%
Jan 20222.10%
Feb 20223.27%
Mar 20228.65%
Apr 2022-4.72%
May 2022-6.25%
Jun 2022-4.90%
Jul 20224.00%
Aug 2022-2.33%
Sep 20223.67%
Oct 2022-1.24%
Nov 2022-0.03%
Dec 20221.52%
Jan 2023-1.46%
Feb 2023-0.38%
Mar 2023-1.84%
Apr 20235.17%
May 2023-0.48%
Jun 2023-0.18%
Jul 2023-0.68%

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.