Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation

Portfolio Model Configuration

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Asset Allocation

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Portfolio Analysis Results (Jan 2014 - Dec 2022)

REIT Heavy RP w/VNQ

Ticker Name Allocation
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF 40.00%
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF 20.00%
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Tracking 10.00%
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF 30.00%
Save portfolio »

REIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITs

Ticker Name Allocation
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF 40.00%
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF 20.00%
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Tracking 10.00%
AMT American Tower Corporation (REIT) 4.00%
CCI Crown Castle Inc 4.00%
EQIX Equinix, Inc. 4.00%
PSA Public Storage 3.00%
SBAC Sba Comms Corp 3.00%
DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. 3.00%
EXR Extra Space Storage Inc 3.00%
AMH American Homes 4 Rent 3.00%
CUBE CubeSmart 3.00%
Save portfolio »

RP with Utilities

Ticker Name Allocation
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF 40.00%
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF 20.00%
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Tracking 10.00%
VPU Vanguard Utilities ETF 30.00%
Save portfolio »

Performance Summary

Portfolio performance statistics
PortfolioInitial BalanceFinal BalanceCAGRStdevBest YearWorst YearMax. DrawdownSharpe RatioSortino RatioMarket Correlation
REIT Heavy RP w/VNQ$10,000$16,482 5.71% 11.40%23.40%-19.39%-23.48% 0.470.670.88
REIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITs$10,000$20,017 8.02% 10.43%25.10%-20.00%-22.91% 0.711.090.82
RP with Utilities$10,000$17,949 6.72% 10.04%22.19%-11.21%-16.78% 0.610.900.83
Vanguard Balanced Index Inv$10,000$17,713 6.56% 9.97%21.67%-16.97%-20.85% 0.600.890.99

Portfolio Growth

   

Annual Returns

Trailing Returns

Trailing Returns
NameTotal ReturnAnnualized ReturnAnnualized Standard Deviation
3 MonthYear To Date1 year3 year5 yearFull3 year5 year
REIT Heavy RP w/VNQ5.34%-19.39%-19.39%2.24%4.13%5.71%16.09%13.73%
REIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITs3.77%-20.00%-20.00%4.35%6.05%8.02%14.42%12.41%
RP with Utilities6.70%-11.21%-11.21%3.94%5.65%6.72%14.09%11.89%
Vanguard Balanced Index Inv4.89%-16.97%-16.97%3.27%5.39%6.56%14.34%12.38%
Trailing return and volatility are as of last calendar month ending December 2022
Notes and Disclosures
  • IMPORTANT: The projections or other information generated by Portfolio Visualizer regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary with each use and over time.
  • The results do not constitute investment advice or recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and are not an offer to buy or sell any securities. All use is subject to terms of service.
  • Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
  • Asset allocation and diversification strategies do not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss.
  • Hypothetical returns do not reflect trading costs, transaction fees, commissions, or actual taxes due on investment returns.
  • The results are based on information from a variety of sources we consider reliable, but we do not represent that the information is accurate or complete.
  • Refer to the related documentation sections for more details on terms and definitions, methodology, and data sources.
  • Portfolio model information represents a blended portfolio consisting of the model's underlying positions and assigned weights provided by the user and rebalanced at the specified schedule. The results were constructed using net of fee mutual fund performance. Portfolio Visualizer does not provide preferential treatment to any specific security or investment.
  • The results are based on the total return of assets and assume that all received dividends and distributions are reinvested.
  • Market capitalization refers to the total value of all a company's shares of stock. It is calculated by multiplying the price of a stock by its total number of outstanding shares. Large cap refers to a company with a market capitalization value of more than $10 billion, mid cap refers to a company with a market capitalization value between $2 and $10 billion, and small cap refers to a company with a market capitalization value below $2 billion. For funds and portfolios the equity market capitalization is calculated based on the long position of the equity holdings.
  • Credit quality measures the ability of a bond issuer to repay a bond's interest and principal in a timely manner. Ratings agencies research the financial health of each bond issuer and assign ratings to the bonds being offered. Lower-rated bonds generally offer higher yields to compensate investors for the additional risk. AAA is the highest possible rating that may be assigned to an issuer's bonds by any of the major credit rating agencies. Bonds rated AAA to AA are known as high-grade bonds, bonds rated A to BBB are known as medium-grade bonds, and bonds rated BB to C are known as non-investment grade bonds. An issuer will receive a rating of D if it is already in default on some of its debt. For funds and portfolios the fixed income credit quality break-down is calculated based on the long position of the fixed income holdings.
  • A fixed income maturity date refers to the specific date on which the investor's principal will be repaid. Duration measures a bond's or fixed income portfolio's price sensitivity to interest rate changes. If a bond has a duration of 5 years, and interest rates increase by 1%, the bond's price will decline by approximately 5%. Conversely, if a bond has a duration of 5 years and interest rates fall by 1%, the bond's price will increase by approximately 5%. A fixed income portfolio's duration is computed as the weighted average of individual bond durations held in the portfolio.
  • Compound annualized growth rate (CAGR) is the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio. It is calculated from the portfolio start and end balance and is thus impacted by any cashflows.
  • The time-weighted rate of return (TWRR) is a measure of the compound rate of growth in a portfolio. This is calculated from the holding period returns (e.g. monthly returns), and TWRR will thus not be impacted by cashflows. If there are no external cashflows, TWRR will equal CAGR.
  • The money-weighted rate of return (MWRR) is the internal rate of return (IRR) taking into account cashflows. This is the discount rate at which the present value of cash inflows equals the present value of cash outflows.
  • Total return is the combined return in income and capital appreciation from investment in an asset. Yield measures the current cash income received from investment in an asset. Bonds provide yield in the form of interest payments and stocks through dividends.
  • Standard deviation (Stdev) is used to measure the dispersion of returns around the mean and is often used as a measure of risk. A higher standard deviation implies greater the dispersion of data points around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio, and it is calculated by dividing the mean monthly excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the standard deviation of excess return, and the displayed value is annualized.
  • Sortino Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted return which is a modification of the Sharpe Ratio. While the latter is the ratio of average returns in excess of a risk-free rate divided by the standard deviation of those excess returns, the Sortino Ratio has the same denominator divided by the standard deviation of returns below the risk-free rate.
  • Treynor Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It is similar to the Sharpe Ratio, but it uses portfolio beta (systematic risk) as the risk metric in the denominator.
  • Calmar Ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It is calculated as the annualized return over the past 36 months divided by the maximum drawdown over the past 36 months based on monthly returns.
  • Risk-free returns are calculated based on the Federal Reserve 3-Month Treasury Bill (secondary market) rates.
  • Downside deviation measures the downside volatility of the portfolio returns unlike standard deviation, which includes both upside and downside deviations. Downside deviation is calculated based on negative returns that hurt the portfolio performance.
  • Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other. Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much. Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
  • Skewness is a measure of the asymmetry of the probability distribution or returns from a normal Gaussian distribution shape about its mean. Negative skewness is associated with the left (typically negative returns) tail of the distribution extending further than the right tail; and positive skewness is associated with the right (typically positive returns) tail of the distribution extending further than the left tail.
  • Excess kurtosis is a measure of whether a data distribution is peaked or flat relative to a normal distribution. Distributions with high kurtosis tend to have a distinct peak near the mean, decline rather rapidly, and have heavy or fat tails.
  • A drawdown refers to the decline in value of a single investment or an investment portfolio from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown (Max Drawdown) is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. Drawdown values are calculated based on monthly returns.
  • Value at Risk (VaR) measures the scale of loss at a given confidence level. For example, if the 95% confidence one-month VaR is 3%, there is 95% confidence that over the next month the portfolio will not lose more than 3%. Value at Risk can be calculated directly based on historical returns based on a given percentile or analytically based on the mean and standard deviation of the returns.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) measures the scale of the expected loss once the specific Value at Risk (VaR) breakpoint has been breached, i.e., it calculates the average tail loss by taking a weighted average between the value at risk and losses exceeding the value at risk.
  • Beta is a measure of systematic risk and measures the volatility of a particular investment relative to the market or its benchmark. Alpha measures the active return of the investment compared to the market benchmark return. R-squared is the percentage of a portfolio's movements that can be explained by movements in the selected benchmark index.
  • Active return is the investment return minus the return of its benchmark. For periods longer than 12 months this is displayed as annualized value, i.e., annualized investment return minus annualized benchmark return.
  • Tracking error, also known as active risk, is the standard deviation of active return. This is displayed as annualized value based on the standard deviation of monthly active returns.
  • Information ratio is the active return divided by the tracking error. It measures whether the investment outperformed its benchmark consistently.
  • Gain/Loss ratio is a measure of downside risk, and it is calculated as the average positive return in up periods divided by the average negative return in down periods.
  • Upside Capture Ratio measures how well the fund performed relative to the benchmark when the market was up, and Downside Capture Ratio measures how well the fund performed relative to the benchmark when the market was down. An upside capture ratio greater than 100 would indicate that the fund outperformed its benchmark when the market was up, and a downside capture ratio below 100 would indicate that the fund lost less than its benchmark when the market was down. To calculate upside capture ratio a new series from the portfolio returns is constructed by dropping all time periods where the benchmark return is less than equal to zero. The up capture is then the quotient of the annualized return of the resulting manager series, divided by the annualized return of the resulting benchmark series. The downside capture ratio is calculated analogously.
  • All risk measures for the portfolio and portfolio assets are calculated based on monthly returns.
  • Gross expense ratio reflects the total annual operating expenses paid by each fund. Net expense ratio reflects what investors were charged after waivers, reductions, and reimbursements.
  • Price to earnings (P/E) ratio of a stock is calculated by dividing the current price of the stock by its trailing 12 months' earnings per share. For funds the price to earnings ratio is computed as the weighted average of fund holdings.
  • The results assume annual rebalancing of portfolio assets to match the specified allocation.

Annualized Active Return

Active Return Contribution

Rolling Active Return

Up vs. Down Market Performance

REIT Heavy RP w/VNQ vs. Vanguard Balanced Index Inv
Up vs. Down Market Performance - REIT Heavy RP w/VNQ vs. Vanguard Balanced Index Inv
Market TypeOccurrencesAverage Active Return
Above BenchmarkBelow BenchmarkTotal% Above BenchmarkAbove BenchmarkBelow BenchmarkTotal
Up Market35407547%0.94%-0.84%-0.01%
Down Market18153355%0.89%-1.43%-0.16%
Total535510849%0.93%-1.00%-0.05%
REIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITs vs. Vanguard Balanced Index Inv
Up vs. Down Market Performance - REIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITs vs. Vanguard Balanced Index Inv
Market TypeOccurrencesAverage Active Return
Above BenchmarkBelow BenchmarkTotal% Above BenchmarkAbove BenchmarkBelow BenchmarkTotal
Up Market41347555%1.09%-1.27%0.02%
Down Market17163352%1.51%-0.92%0.33%
Total585010854%1.22%-1.16%0.12%
RP with Utilities vs. Vanguard Balanced Index Inv
Up vs. Down Market Performance - RP with Utilities vs. Vanguard Balanced Index Inv
Market TypeOccurrencesAverage Active Return
Above BenchmarkBelow BenchmarkTotal% Above BenchmarkAbove BenchmarkBelow BenchmarkTotal
Up Market38377551%1.00%-1.29%-0.13%
Down Market19143358%1.30%-0.95%0.34%
Total575110853%1.10%-1.20%0.01%

Annual Returns

Annual returns for the configured portfolios
YearInflationREIT Heavy RP w/VNQREIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITsRP with UtilitiesVanguard Balanced Index InvVanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT)iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ)American Tower Corporation (REIT) (AMT)Crown Castle Inc (CCI)Equinix, Inc. (EQIX)Public Storage (PSA)Sba Comms Corp (SBAC)Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR)Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR)American Homes 4 Rent (AMH)CubeSmart (CUBE)Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU)
ReturnBalanceReturnBalanceReturnBalanceReturnBalance
20140.76%13.23%$11,32312.42%$11,24212.21%$11,2219.84%$10,9843.67%27.30%-28.10%30.36%25.76%9.85%32.66%26.84%23.29%42.61%43.96%6.35%42.54%26.99%
20150.73%-3.14%$10,9682.91%$11,568-5.31%$10,6260.37%$11,025-1.86%-1.79%-27.59%2.42%-0.00%14.33%42.38%38.34%-5.14%20.12%55.15%-0.96%42.43%-4.82%
20162.07%8.08%$11,8547.99%$12,49310.78%$11,7718.63%$11,9778.51%1.18%18.56%8.60%11.21%4.50%20.70%-6.90%-1.72%34.90%-9.18%27.29%-9.84%17.60%
20172.11%13.59%$13,46519.43%$14,92015.86%$13,63813.75%$13,62424.49%9.18%4.86%4.91%37.69%32.93%29.18%-2.89%58.20%19.77%17.81%5.05%12.72%12.46%
20181.91%-7.19%$12,496-5.63%$14,080-4.08%$13,082-2.97%$13,220-9.76%-1.61%-11.62%-6.02%13.32%1.74%-20.41%0.63%-0.90%-3.04%7.27%-8.23%3.40%4.37%
20192.29%23.40%$15,42025.10%$17,61522.19%$15,98521.67%$16,08526.82%14.12%11.84%28.87%47.85%35.46%68.85%8.97%49.30%16.53%20.69%33.12%14.09%24.87%
20201.36%8.09%$16,66713.80%$20,0479.26%$17,46616.26%$18,70016.61%18.15%-7.84%-4.68%-0.48%15.61%24.23%12.56%17.82%20.46%13.57%15.28%11.64%-0.76%
20217.04%22.68%$20,44724.82%$25,02115.74%$20,21414.09%$21,33418.27%-4.60%41.36%40.52%32.89%35.08%20.27%66.62%38.95%30.66%100.95%46.91%74.62%17.37%
20226.45%-19.39%$16,482-20.00%$20,017-11.21%$17,949-16.97%$17,713-18.01%-31.24%19.34%-26.24%-25.63%-32.51%-21.14%-20.21%-27.30%-40.94%-32.81%-29.44%-26.31%1.04%

Monthly Returns

Monthly returns for the configured portfolios
YearMonthREIT Heavy RP w/VNQREIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITsRP with UtilitiesVanguard Balanced Index InvVanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT)iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC)Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ)American Tower Corporation (REIT) (AMT)Crown Castle Inc (CCI)Equinix, Inc. (EQIX)Public Storage (PSA)Sba Comms Corp (SBAC)Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR)Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR)American Homes 4 Rent (AMH)CubeSmart (CUBE)Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU)
ReturnBalanceReturnBalanceReturnBalanceReturnBalance
201410.46%$10,0460.07%$10,0070.00%$10,000-1.24%$9,876-4.44%6.30%-3.04%4.28%1.33%-3.36%4.37%4.70%3.24%3.81%8.38%2.96%3.39%2.75%
201424.16%$10,4643.88%$10,3953.61%$10,3623.02%$10,1745.21%0.52%5.02%5.07%0.73%6.96%2.57%7.24%2.61%6.22%7.53%-1.80%6.25%3.32%
201430.49%$10,5140.03%$10,3981.33%$10,4990.21%$10,1960.48%0.73%-0.04%0.49%0.49%-2.34%-2.70%0.54%-4.42%-0.45%-0.40%2.32%-1.24%3.23%
201441.85%$10,7091.46%$10,5501.99%$10,7090.36%$10,2320.74%2.10%1.11%3.29%2.42%-1.42%1.61%4.17%-1.32%0.60%7.87%-3.95%8.39%3.75%
201452.01%$10,9242.76%$10,8411.01%$10,8171.71%$10,4072.05%2.95%-1.44%2.40%7.32%5.50%5.83%-1.78%13.08%7.68%0.04%9.78%-1.94%-0.73%
201461.35%$11,0721.44%$10,9972.42%$11,0791.57%$10,5712.21%-0.25%2.11%1.13%0.78%-2.76%5.71%0.22%0.79%2.91%2.62%1.08%1.14%4.55%
20147-0.95%$10,966-0.25%$10,970-3.20%$10,724-1.28%$10,435-1.75%0.67%-4.74%0.08%4.90%-0.11%2.11%0.15%4.53%10.41%-2.85%2.59%-0.60%-6.95%
201482.86%$11,2802.71%$11,2683.51%$11,1002.95%$10,7432.65%4.72%-1.15%3.04%4.46%7.19%1.74%2.08%3.14%1.34%1.88%-1.87%2.14%5.15%
20149-4.29%$10,796-3.12%$10,916-3.20%$10,745-1.57%$10,574-3.34%-2.11%-7.23%-6.04%-4.68%1.73%-2.65%-4.56%0.55%-3.20%-1.27%-5.27%-2.64%-2.65%
2014103.79%$11,2062.65%$11,2063.27%$11,0962.09%$10,7950.94%2.81%-3.88%9.94%4.13%-2.99%2.08%11.16%1.29%10.60%12.78%3.79%17.07%8.37%
2014111.12%$11,3311.92%$11,4220.71%$11,1761.74%$10,9831.26%2.97%-8.51%2.00%7.70%6.36%8.75%1.78%8.31%1.86%1.91%-1.88%2.33%0.81%
201412-0.07%$11,323-1.58%$11,2420.41%$11,2210.01%$10,984-1.99%3.25%-9.65%1.88%-5.50%-4.25%-0.19%-0.73%-8.97%-4.48%-0.27%-0.70%3.19%3.43%
201512.80%$11,6402.27%$11,4971.40%$11,378-0.77%$10,899-1.63%9.82%-5.69%6.85%-1.92%9.92%-4.35%8.65%5.36%10.02%12.55%-2.00%11.64%2.18%
201520.23%$11,6661.24%$11,641-0.40%$11,3322.95%$11,2215.95%-6.14%4.43%-3.67%2.26%-0.23%3.38%-1.80%6.86%-8.99%-0.33%0.00%-5.84%-5.94%
20153-0.33%$11,628-0.92%$11,533-1.06%$11,212-0.44%$11,172-1.21%1.10%-6.05%1.74%-5.03%-3.46%4.63%0.70%-6.10%0.68%3.46%-0.53%4.79%-0.69%
20154-0.82%$11,5330.99%$11,6470.81%$11,3030.10%$11,1832.55%-3.43%7.15%-5.85%0.84%1.20%9.91%-4.68%-1.09%-3.87%-2.43%2.05%-4.47%-0.64%
20155-0.73%$11,449-0.19%$11,625-0.54%$11,2420.63%$11,2540.33%-2.37%-3.17%-0.30%-1.84%-2.37%5.40%3.00%-3.46%4.15%6.22%-1.18%3.12%0.37%
20156-2.93%$11,114-2.11%$11,380-3.31%$10,870-1.42%$11,094-2.22%-4.07%1.64%-4.68%1.02%-0.56%-5.25%-3.87%2.83%2.29%-6.05%-3.61%-1.97%-6.07%
201571.49%$11,2791.74%$11,5781.35%$11,0161.31%$11,2400.50%4.55%-12.61%5.77%1.95%2.00%9.81%11.29%5.00%-3.61%12.73%3.18%12.95%5.47%
20158-4.81%$10,736-3.39%$11,185-4.01%$10,574-3.72%$10,821-6.63%-0.69%-0.25%-6.29%-3.07%1.81%-2.64%-1.91%-2.09%-1.48%-0.05%-3.44%-3.33%-3.60%
20159-0.53%$10,680-1.13%$11,059-0.65%$10,505-1.45%$10,665-3.71%1.97%-3.44%3.05%-4.08%-4.43%1.35%6.03%-11.39%4.58%5.86%0.95%8.23%2.71%
2015104.59%$11,1705.69%$11,6883.44%$10,8674.61%$11,1567.29%-0.41%0.33%5.76%16.20%8.36%12.89%8.43%13.63%13.23%2.70%2.61%2.24%1.95%
201511-0.96%$11,063-0.64%$11,613-1.41%$10,7140.24%$11,182-0.08%-0.87%-6.64%-0.63%-2.79%0.53%-0.06%4.62%-11.65%-2.50%5.69%1.70%4.67%-2.13%
201512-0.86%$10,968-0.38%$11,568-0.82%$10,626-1.41%$11,025-2.19%-0.30%-5.85%1.82%-1.94%1.66%2.57%3.91%-0.09%6.14%6.05%-0.40%5.86%2.16%
20161-2.70%$10,672-1.75%$11,366-0.26%$10,599-2.81%$10,715-5.87%5.57%-4.34%-3.44%-2.69%-0.29%2.70%2.37%-5.51%5.90%2.81%-10.02%2.19%4.69%
201620.11%$10,684-0.79%$11,2770.77%$10,6810.28%$10,746-1.11%3.09%-0.23%-0.36%-2.27%0.35%-2.22%-1.61%-4.42%-1.26%-9.42%-6.60%-4.44%1.78%
201636.55%$11,3836.37%$11,9965.93%$11,3144.59%$11,2397.98%-0.09%4.24%10.48%11.03%1.04%9.54%11.28%5.56%13.06%14.54%13.93%12.08%8.17%
201640.44%$11,4340.35%$12,0370.50%$11,3710.54%$11,2991.01%-0.74%9.71%-2.35%2.95%0.44%-0.11%-11.25%2.87%-0.58%-9.11%-0.50%-11.08%-1.95%
201651.19%$11,5692.36%$12,3221.02%$11,4871.04%$11,4170.65%0.81%0.89%2.25%0.86%4.52%10.14%3.64%-3.53%8.49%9.44%15.93%7.53%1.63%
201663.91%$12,0214.09%$12,8254.22%$11,9710.93%$11,523-0.18%6.93%4.35%6.92%7.93%12.75%7.11%1.50%8.59%15.19%0.42%11.98%-2.35%7.67%
201672.58%$12,3320.68%$12,9130.93%$12,0832.64%$11,8284.15%2.10%-6.97%4.26%1.90%-4.34%-3.83%-6.52%6.54%-4.16%-7.05%5.96%-3.79%-0.89%
20168-1.20%$12,184-0.94%$12,792-1.76%$11,8700.06%$11,8350.35%-1.01%0.77%-3.76%-2.06%-2.33%-0.66%-6.27%-0.74%-5.14%-6.36%0.78%-7.34%-5.43%
20169-0.16%$12,1650.21%$12,8190.56%$11,9360.08%$11,8440.79%-1.51%4.31%-1.82%0.44%0.37%-2.28%0.46%-1.74%-1.06%-0.41%-0.82%-0.24%0.51%
201610-3.45%$11,745-2.35%$12,518-1.41%$11,767-1.68%$11,645-1.97%-4.38%-0.33%-5.74%3.41%-3.42%-0.82%-4.22%1.00%-3.80%-7.88%-2.45%-4.37%0.90%
201611-1.55%$11,563-2.87%$12,159-2.47%$11,4771.61%$11,8331.19%-8.21%1.67%-1.68%-12.73%-8.28%-4.68%-2.07%-12.64%-1.18%-4.09%-0.19%-5.45%-4.54%
2016122.51%$11,8542.74%$12,4932.56%$11,7711.21%$11,9771.81%-0.46%4.14%4.82%3.90%5.11%5.51%7.77%4.35%7.39%11.28%-0.18%9.71%4.81%
201711.25%$12,0021.61%$12,6941.66%$11,9661.25%$12,1273.00%0.81%-0.57%-0.19%-2.06%1.22%7.71%-3.80%1.94%9.54%-6.72%6.20%-6.13%1.17%
201722.43%$12,2933.18%$13,0982.86%$12,3092.48%$12,4272.69%1.59%-0.19%3.51%10.91%6.49%-1.79%5.80%9.98%0.34%9.91%6.69%8.44%4.95%
20173-0.56%$12,2240.41%$13,1520.14%$12,3270.02%$12,4291.48%-0.65%-3.24%-2.42%5.88%2.05%6.46%-2.87%3.97%-0.60%-5.06%-3.19%-3.73%-0.06%
201740.81%$12,3231.38%$13,3330.93%$12,4410.93%$12,5451.63%1.57%-2.70%0.24%4.14%0.16%4.33%-4.35%5.08%7.94%1.53%0.39%-2.39%0.67%
201750.85%$12,4282.24%$13,6322.26%$12,7220.89%$12,6581.95%1.89%-1.42%-0.72%4.17%7.45%6.07%2.85%9.24%2.92%2.57%-2.52%-1.50%4.00%
201760.98%$12,550-0.03%$13,629-0.40%$12,6710.55%$12,7280.63%0.79%-0.96%2.23%1.35%-0.53%-2.69%-2.23%-2.37%-3.66%1.73%0.67%-2.60%-2.37%
201771.70%$12,7631.96%$13,8962.12%$12,9401.28%$12,8912.65%-0.66%4.08%1.24%3.03%0.40%5.03%-1.42%1.96%2.12%1.92%1.95%2.58%2.65%
201780.81%$12,8662.11%$14,1891.74%$13,1660.42%$12,9450.42%3.41%0.40%-0.26%8.60%7.81%4.38%-0.11%11.63%2.60%-2.35%-3.69%-0.04%2.90%
201790.57%$12,940-0.19%$14,162-0.16%$13,1441.26%$13,1082.11%-2.32%1.99%-0.11%-7.23%-6.97%-4.72%5.22%-6.19%0.76%3.97%-1.81%6.41%-2.44%
2017100.95%$13,0632.30%$14,4892.40%$13,4601.31%$13,2802.11%-0.04%3.96%-1.07%5.11%7.10%3.85%-3.15%9.11%0.09%2.09%-1.98%4.85%3.91%
2017111.80%$13,2981.91%$14,7651.90%$13,7161.79%$13,5181.90%0.74%0.94%2.66%0.18%5.53%0.63%2.83%8.00%-1.47%4.62%0.94%4.85%2.89%
2017121.26%$13,4651.05%$14,920-0.57%$13,6380.78%$13,6241.60%1.81%2.78%-0.14%-0.39%-0.83%-2.43%-1.01%-3.76%-1.61%3.37%1.91%2.38%-5.90%
201810.56%$13,5401.60%$15,1580.90%$13,7602.71%$13,9935.48%-3.26%2.95%-4.25%3.53%1.59%0.43%-6.33%6.82%-1.71%-4.54%-4.81%-4.81%-3.13%
20182-4.94%$12,871-4.44%$14,486-3.92%$13,220-2.61%$13,628-4.44%-3.04%-2.92%-7.68%-5.67%-2.40%-13.36%-0.67%-9.87%-10.10%1.88%-7.70%-2.62%-4.11%
201831.33%$13,0431.64%$14,7241.41%$13,407-0.93%$13,500-1.29%2.86%2.29%3.88%4.31%0.55%6.64%4.10%8.68%5.71%3.65%4.91%6.30%4.02%
201840.35%$13,089-0.36%$14,6710.84%$13,520-0.09%$13,4890.42%-2.09%3.42%0.82%-5.67%-7.97%0.63%0.69%-6.25%0.29%2.55%0.60%4.40%2.47%
201851.97%$13,3461.35%$14,8690.80%$13,6281.93%$13,7490.57%2.01%2.68%3.68%1.47%3.25%-5.13%4.99%-1.35%1.69%7.43%-1.39%3.60%-0.31%
201860.89%$13,4651.53%$15,0970.39%$13,6820.40%$13,804-0.60%0.65%-1.94%4.20%4.77%4.60%8.33%8.08%4.46%4.80%4.61%11.61%6.62%2.42%
201870.79%$13,5720.51%$15,1751.12%$13,8342.01%$14,0812.88%-1.44%-2.43%0.60%2.82%2.79%2.18%-3.98%-4.16%8.82%-5.85%-0.18%-5.77%1.67%
201881.45%$13,7680.85%$15,3041.02%$13,9762.31%$14,4060.86%1.31%0.75%2.58%0.59%2.89%-0.19%-2.41%-1.91%2.36%-1.87%4.79%0.63%1.15%
20189-0.96%$13,636-1.16%$15,127-0.28%$13,937-0.13%$14,3870.08%-2.86%3.39%-2.64%-2.02%-1.46%-0.74%-4.24%3.48%-8.75%-5.14%-5.44%-5.63%-0.38%
201810-5.22%$12,924-4.73%$14,412-3.95%$13,386-4.76%$13,702-7.82%-2.93%-5.62%-2.93%7.23%-2.33%-12.51%1.90%0.96%-8.20%3.95%-3.75%1.58%1.17%
2018111.41%$13,1061.59%$14,6411.24%$13,5521.48%$13,9051.73%1.79%-9.85%4.67%5.57%5.66%2.33%3.79%5.33%11.41%6.57%-1.14%7.45%3.92%
201812-4.65%$12,496-3.83%$14,080-3.47%$13,082-4.93%$13,220-7.22%5.85%-3.99%-7.96%-3.32%-4.53%-8.49%-4.19%-5.22%-6.57%-4.90%-4.46%-6.84%-4.15%
201917.54%$13,4386.56%$15,0055.10%$13,7495.55%$13,9537.99%0.38%7.11%11.85%9.26%7.76%11.75%4.99%12.75%1.68%8.99%11.39%7.88%3.72%
201921.37%$13,6231.57%$15,2402.33%$14,0692.10%$14,2462.82%-1.38%2.84%0.70%1.92%1.44%8.11%-0.48%-1.08%4.41%-2.71%-1.22%-1.00%3.88%
201932.71%$13,9933.70%$15,8042.28%$14,3901.65%$14,4801.06%5.57%-0.38%4.21%11.87%8.77%7.00%3.92%10.58%6.18%7.14%4.26%5.61%2.83%
201941.09%$14,1451.35%$16,0171.42%$14,5942.39%$14,8273.47%-1.99%1.19%-0.16%-0.44%-1.73%0.34%1.56%2.04%-1.08%1.75%5.55%-0.41%0.86%
20195-1.75%$13,897-0.26%$15,976-2.09%$14,290-3.21%$14,351-5.97%6.84%-5.97%0.14%6.90%3.36%7.38%7.55%6.22%0.01%3.35%1.79%5.67%-0.87%
201963.55%$14,3903.34%$16,5104.13%$14,8804.63%$15,0166.37%0.95%3.97%1.54%-1.65%1.11%3.81%0.95%3.90%0.97%-0.16%-0.21%0.12%3.33%
201970.47%$14,4570.68%$16,623-0.12%$14,8610.97%$15,1620.00%0.26%-1.14%1.70%3.51%2.23%-0.43%1.93%9.15%-2.91%5.93%-0.41%1.53%-0.21%
201982.02%$14,7493.56%$17,2152.31%$15,205-0.11%$15,146-2.10%11.04%-4.63%3.75%8.78%8.94%11.29%9.05%7.08%8.11%8.48%5.66%5.71%4.83%
201991.06%$14,905-0.20%$17,1801.71%$15,4650.80%$15,2672.28%-2.68%1.42%1.93%-3.53%-3.47%3.69%-6.61%-8.11%5.90%-3.44%1.42%-1.87%4.08%
2019101.40%$15,1130.16%$17,2070.77%$15,5841.39%$15,4782.79%-1.11%1.93%1.13%-1.38%-0.16%-1.74%-9.14%-0.21%-2.13%-3.89%2.24%-9.17%-0.86%
2019110.50%$15,1890.12%$17,2270.32%$15,6342.24%$15,8242.56%-0.41%-0.13%-1.30%-1.86%-3.70%0.45%-5.47%-1.59%-4.79%-5.54%0.91%-2.71%-1.98%
2019121.52%$15,4202.25%$17,6152.25%$15,9851.64%$16,0853.45%-3.20%5.85%0.76%7.85%7.32%2.97%2.07%1.91%-0.07%0.47%-1.68%3.15%3.11%
202010.43%$15,4860.98%$17,7871.89%$16,2870.82%$16,216-1.56%7.69%-8.59%1.23%0.84%5.41%1.03%5.07%3.56%2.71%4.79%4.27%0.60%6.10%
20202-4.14%$14,844-3.04%$17,246-5.11%$15,455-4.22%$15,531-7.22%6.63%-6.65%-7.03%-2.13%-4.37%-2.46%-6.54%6.22%-2.34%-9.32%-5.27%-4.42%-9.99%
20203-11.31%$13,165-5.52%$16,294-8.58%$14,129-8.48%$14,214-14.76%6.38%-17.34%-19.42%-3.99%1.62%9.04%-4.13%2.02%16.66%-3.69%-10.22%-10.41%-10.09%
202046.26%$13,9904.89%$17,0904.68%$14,7908.55%$15,42910.37%1.22%-3.11%8.96%9.77%10.41%8.11%-6.63%7.39%7.62%-7.85%4.05%-5.94%3.23%
202052.57%$14,3504.00%$17,7743.30%$15,2783.45%$15,9625.21%-1.76%8.07%1.73%8.47%7.98%3.74%9.32%8.52%-3.97%9.64%4.56%12.94%4.31%
202062.29%$14,6781.12%$17,9730.18%$15,3061.73%$16,2383.07%0.34%4.50%2.41%0.57%-2.07%0.67%-4.39%-5.16%-0.19%-3.64%6.77%-4.01%-4.86%
202074.61%$15,3555.52%$18,9655.60%$16,1633.99%$16,8855.29%4.44%5.12%3.64%1.10%-0.39%11.84%4.16%4.57%12.97%11.88%7.81%9.93%7.24%
202081.57%$15,5971.32%$19,2150.72%$16,2793.86%$17,5376.01%-5.05%4.64%0.44%-4.68%-2.07%0.89%6.26%-1.60%-3.05%3.11%-1.24%6.57%-2.54%
20209-2.03%$15,281-1.15%$18,993-1.15%$16,092-2.12%$17,166-2.92%0.77%-3.55%-2.68%-2.52%2.75%-3.75%5.79%4.05%-4.98%1.22%-0.39%3.23%0.58%
202010-2.72%$14,865-2.36%$18,545-0.55%$16,004-1.48%$16,912-2.05%-3.39%-3.14%-3.00%-5.00%-6.19%-3.80%2.85%-8.83%-1.68%8.37%-0.74%5.01%4.89%
2020118.87%$16,1845.42%$19,5506.50%$17,0447.66%$18,20812.37%1.66%10.20%9.67%0.67%7.28%-4.24%-2.01%-0.94%-6.62%-2.78%1.59%-4.13%1.43%
2020122.99%$16,6672.54%$20,0472.48%$17,4662.70%$18,7004.94%-1.23%5.45%2.72%-2.38%-4.19%2.35%3.80%-1.76%4.44%3.62%4.63%4.37%0.89%
20211-0.47%$16,588-0.30%$19,987-0.80%$17,327-0.50%$18,607-0.23%-3.63%3.33%0.04%1.29%0.04%3.61%-1.43%-4.77%3.18%-1.79%0.77%3.66%-1.04%
202122.05%$16,9280.55%$20,098-0.64%$17,2161.27%$18,8432.67%-5.73%10.14%3.43%-4.94%-2.20%-12.00%2.78%-5.04%-6.41%10.47%3.01%6.08%-5.54%
202131.70%$17,2162.30%$20,5593.06%$17,7441.56%$19,1382.85%-5.24%-0.72%5.15%10.61%11.44%4.82%6.35%9.04%5.44%6.25%7.40%3.27%10.30%
202145.44%$18,1536.04%$21,8024.16%$18,4813.44%$19,7964.13%2.49%7.83%7.86%7.12%9.84%6.06%13.94%7.99%9.56%12.18%11.10%11.92%3.78%
202151.33%$18,3941.38%$22,1030.39%$18,5530.36%$19,8691.58%0.00%3.85%0.81%0.27%0.23%2.62%0.47%-0.33%-1.78%0.75%2.78%3.42%-2.34%
202162.43%$18,8413.45%$22,8651.09%$18,7561.87%$20,2401.18%4.42%3.49%2.64%6.24%3.66%8.94%7.17%6.90%-0.02%10.04%2.31%6.55%-1.86%
202172.43%$19,2982.43%$23,4222.18%$19,1651.47%$20,5380.62%3.72%1.30%4.42%4.69%-1.03%2.22%3.92%6.99%2.46%6.30%8.11%7.21%3.92%
202181.35%$19,5592.00%$23,8901.76%$19,5021.66%$20,8792.26%-0.34%-1.64%2.15%3.31%0.83%3.16%3.56%5.45%6.32%7.33%-0.14%7.73%3.70%
20219-3.39%$18,895-4.49%$22,817-3.42%$18,834-3.12%$20,228-4.10%-2.91%5.21%-5.68%-8.72%-10.35%-6.32%-7.61%-7.91%-11.21%-9.51%-8.88%-8.80%-6.17%
2021105.43%$19,9216.00%$24,1864.76%$19,7314.04%$21,0445.15%2.46%5.80%7.13%6.24%4.03%5.94%11.81%4.47%9.25%17.49%6.51%13.54%5.12%
202111-2.34%$19,455-1.95%$23,715-2.21%$19,296-0.77%$20,882-2.62%2.77%-8.76%-2.11%-6.91%0.75%-2.62%-1.44%-0.28%6.29%1.33%-1.26%-1.98%-1.59%
2021125.10%$20,4475.51%$25,0214.76%$20,2142.17%$21,3343.81%-2.01%6.67%9.69%11.99%15.78%4.14%15.06%13.15%6.17%14.04%9.05%6.34%9.42%
20221-4.35%$19,557-5.56%$23,630-2.83%$19,642-4.51%$20,373-4.58%-3.91%7.89%-8.42%-14.02%-12.57%-14.30%-4.28%-16.34%-15.63%-12.59%-10.27%-10.84%-3.36%
20222-1.70%$19,224-2.30%$23,087-1.25%$19,396-1.99%$19,968-2.77%-1.63%6.47%-3.48%-9.79%-8.72%-2.09%-0.98%-6.78%-9.59%-5.07%-2.86%-4.99%-1.87%
202232.54%$19,7123.24%$23,8343.66%$20,1060.84%$20,1351.89%-5.45%9.17%6.27%10.73%11.75%4.94%10.55%13.67%6.07%10.13%5.81%8.82%9.80%
20224-5.38%$18,651-5.02%$22,636-5.43%$19,014-6.99%$18,728-8.10%-9.42%5.64%-4.09%-3.54%0.33%-3.04%-4.81%0.87%3.05%-7.59%-1.05%-8.69%-4.38%
20225-0.93%$18,477-0.49%$22,5261.88%$19,3710.12%$18,7500.49%-2.25%4.61%-4.69%6.27%2.40%-3.99%-11.00%-2.81%-4.47%-6.21%-6.69%-6.27%4.51%
20226-6.64%$17,250-5.83%$21,214-5.92%$18,224-5.67%$17,686-8.14%-1.27%-7.50%-7.46%0.40%-10.39%-4.38%-4.80%-4.92%-6.08%-3.63%-3.59%-3.10%-5.09%
202275.24%$18,1534.75%$22,2214.50%$19,0446.50%$18,8366.98%2.43%-1.99%8.62%5.96%7.29%7.11%8.60%4.92%2.02%11.40%6.88%7.37%5.71%
20228-4.35%$17,363-3.56%$21,431-2.35%$18,596-3.32%$18,210-4.05%-4.56%-1.49%-6.01%-6.20%-5.44%-6.18%1.35%-2.93%-6.66%4.86%-6.12%0.39%0.29%
20229-9.89%$15,646-9.99%$19,289-9.54%$16,822-7.27%$16,887-9.53%-8.23%-7.04%-12.86%-15.49%-14.64%-13.47%-10.95%-12.48%-18.93%-12.41%-7.27%-12.07%-11.17%
2022103.12%$16,1351.92%$19,6592.80%$17,2924.27%$17,6086.38%-5.97%5.06%3.51%-2.77%-7.81%-0.42%5.79%-5.18%1.08%2.74%-2.65%4.52%2.45%
2022116.46%$17,1766.22%$20,8816.73%$18,4564.60%$18,4188.28%7.15%1.47%6.15%6.79%6.13%22.50%-3.81%11.16%12.18%-9.44%3.54%-1.15%7.04%
202212-4.04%$16,482-4.14%$20,017-2.75%$17,949-3.83%$17,713-4.43%-2.63%-2.71%-5.03%-3.54%-3.00%-5.16%-5.34%-6.34%-9.80%-7.54%-8.35%-1.57%-0.93%

Returns Based Style Analysis

Returns Based Style Analysis
Style CategoryREIT Heavy RP w/VNQREIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITsRP with UtilitiesVanguard Balanced Index Inv
Large-cap Value10.29%17.76%24.23%18.84%
Large-cap Growth12.05%23.97%9.56%29.58%
Mid-cap Value23.80%0.00%8.34%1.42%
Mid-cap Growth0.26%2.12%0.00%4.11%
Small-cap Value0.00%0.00%0.00%2.62%
Small-cap Growth0.00%0.00%0.00%2.27%
Global ex-US Developed Markets17.39%13.28%11.25%0.62%
Emerging Markets3.84%6.49%5.58%1.09%
Corporate Bonds0.00%0.00%8.20%10.91%
Long-Term Treasuries32.37%26.82%21.58%3.49%
Intermediate-Term Treasuries0.00%8.22%11.27%4.19%
Short-Term Treasuries0.00%1.35%0.00%20.87%
R Squared92.69%87.43%86.33%99.79%
Style analysis is based on monthly returns from January 2014 to December 2022 and uses total portfolio return with monthly rebalancing. Returns based style analysis aims to explain the portfolio returns based on asset class exposures, it does not identify the actual portfolio holdings.

Holdings Based Style Analysis for REIT Heavy RP w/VNQ

Holdings Based Style Analysis for REIT Heavy RP w/VNQ
TickerNameCategoryWeightYieldExpense RatioP/EDurationContribution
SECTTMNetGrossReturnRisk
VTVanguard Total World Stock ETFGlobal Large-Stock Blend40.00%2.02%0.07%0.07%17.39$3,18145.82%
TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFLong Government20.00%4.22%3.22%0.15%0.15%17.10$1876.07%
DBCInvesco DB Commodity TrackingCommodities Broad Basket10.00%0.59%0.85%0.85%$6237.00%
VNQVanguard Real Estate ETFReal Estate30.00%4.58%0.12%0.12%29.65$2,49041.11%
100.00%0.84%2.89%0.18%0.18%22.6417.10$6,482100.00%
Asset Allocation
Equity Market Capitalization
Equity Sectors
Fixed Income Credit Quality
Fixed Income Maturity

Holdings Based Style Analysis for REIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITs

Holdings Based Style Analysis for REIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITs
TickerNameCategoryWeightYieldExpense RatioP/EDurationContribution
SECTTMNetGrossReturnRisk
VTVanguard Total World Stock ETFGlobal Large-Stock Blend40.00%2.02%0.07%0.07%17.39$3,44147.07%
TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFLong Government20.00%4.22%3.22%0.15%0.15%17.10$3.608.66%
DBCInvesco DB Commodity TrackingCommodities Broad Basket10.00%0.59%0.85%0.85%$8536.60%
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation (REIT)Real Estate / REIT - Specialty4.00%3.86%$6965.42%
CCICrown Castle IncReal Estate / REIT - Specialty4.00%5.66%$5655.16%
EQIXEquinix, Inc.Real Estate / REIT - Specialty4.00%1.63%$9505.49%
PSAPublic StorageReal Estate / REIT - Industrial3.00%8.22%$5313.06%
SBACSba Comms CorpReal Estate / REIT - Specialty3.00%1.43%$5924.22%
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.Real Estate / REIT - Office3.00%3.97%$4323.75%
EXRExtra Space Storage IncReal Estate / REIT - Industrial3.00%5.15%$9053.58%
AMHAmerican Homes 4 RentReal Estate / REIT - Residential3.00%2.48%$3743.56%
CUBECubeSmartReal Estate / REIT - Industrial3.00%4.39%$6723.43%
100.00%0.84%2.73%0.20%0.20%17.3917.10$10,017100.00%
Asset Allocation
Equity Market Capitalization
Equity Sectors
Fixed Income Credit Quality
Fixed Income Maturity

Holdings Based Style Analysis for RP with Utilities

Holdings Based Style Analysis for RP with Utilities
TickerNameCategoryWeightYieldExpense RatioP/EDurationContribution
SECTTMNetGrossReturnRisk
VTVanguard Total World Stock ETFGlobal Large-Stock Blend40.00%2.02%0.07%0.07%17.39$3,33150.01%
TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFLong Government20.00%4.22%3.22%0.15%0.15%17.10$2296.95%
DBCInvesco DB Commodity TrackingCommodities Broad Basket10.00%0.59%0.85%0.85%$6487.84%
VPUVanguard Utilities ETFUtilities30.00%3.38%3.47%0.10%0.10%18.68$3,74035.20%
100.00%1.86%2.55%0.17%0.17%17.9417.10$7,949100.00%
Asset Allocation
Equity Market Capitalization
Equity Sectors
Fixed Income Credit Quality
Fixed Income Maturity

Fund fundamentals data as of 09/27/2023. (c) 2023 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. The fund fundamentals information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.

Risk and Return Metrics

Portfolio return and risk metrics
MetricREIT Heavy RP w/VNQREIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITsRP with UtilitiesVanguard Balanced Index Inv
Arithmetic Mean (monthly)0.52%0.69%0.59%0.57%
Arithmetic Mean (annualized)6.40%8.60%7.25%7.08%
Geometric Mean (monthly)0.46%0.64%0.54%0.53%
Geometric Mean (annualized)5.71%8.02%6.72%6.56%
Standard Deviation (monthly)3.29%3.01%2.90%2.88%
Standard Deviation (annualized)11.40%10.43%10.04%9.97%
Downside Deviation (monthly)2.27%1.93%1.95%1.91%
Maximum Drawdown-23.48%-22.91%-16.78%-20.85%
Stock Market Correlation0.880.820.830.99
Beta(*)1.050.910.881.00
Alpha (annualized)-1.01%2.02%0.95%-0.00%
R284.75%75.98%77.04%100.00%
Sharpe Ratio0.470.710.610.60
Sortino Ratio0.671.090.900.89
Treynor Ratio (%)5.118.156.996.03
Calmar Ratio0.100.190.230.16
Active Return-0.85%1.46%0.16%N/A
Tracking Error4.49%5.19%4.95%N/A
Information Ratio-0.190.280.03N/A
Skewness-0.65-0.53-0.71-0.47
Excess Kurtosis1.690.791.331.31
Historical Value-at-Risk (5%)4.89%4.65%3.99%4.67%
Analytical Value-at-Risk (5%)4.98%4.32%4.23%4.16%
Conditional Value-at-Risk (5%)7.23%6.11%6.43%6.35%
Upside Capture Ratio (%)99.32100.9892.81100.00
Downside Capture Ratio (%)106.5588.5488.22100.00
Safe Withdrawal Rate14.12%15.68%14.36%14.58%
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate2.82%4.90%3.74%3.60%
Positive Periods71 out of 108 (65.74%)69 out of 108 (63.89%)70 out of 108 (64.81%)75 out of 108 (69.44%)
Gain/Loss Ratio0.791.020.920.75
* Vanguard Balanced Index Inv is used as the benchmark for calculations. Value-at-risk metrics are monthly values.

Drawdowns

Historical Market Stress Periods

Drawdowns for Historical Market Stress Periods
Stress PeriodStartEndREIT Heavy RP w/VNQREIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITsRP with UtilitiesVanguard Balanced Index Inv
COVID-19 StartJan 2020Mar 2020-14.98%-8.39%-13.25%-12.34%

Drawdowns for REIT Heavy RP w/VNQ

Drawdowns for REIT Heavy RP w/VNQ (worst 10)
RankStartEndLengthRecovery ByRecovery TimeUnderwater PeriodDrawdown
1Jan 2022Sep 20229 months-23.48%
2Feb 2020Mar 20202 monthsAug 20205 months7 months-14.98%
3Sep 2018Dec 20184 monthsMar 20193 months7 months-9.24%
4Mar 2015Jan 201611 monthsJun 20165 months1 year 4 months-8.52%
5Aug 2016Nov 20164 monthsMay 20176 months10 months-6.23%
6Feb 2018Feb 20181 monthJul 20185 months6 months-4.94%
7Sep 2020Oct 20202 monthsNov 20201 month3 months-4.69%
8Sep 2014Sep 20141 monthNov 20142 months3 months-4.29%
9Sep 2021Sep 20211 monthOct 20211 month2 months-3.39%
10Nov 2021Nov 20211 monthDec 20211 month2 months-2.34%
Worst 10 drawdowns included above

Drawdowns for REIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITs

Drawdowns for REIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITs (worst 10)
RankStartEndLengthRecovery ByRecovery TimeUnderwater PeriodDrawdown
1Jan 2022Sep 20229 months-22.91%
2Feb 2020Mar 20202 monthsJun 20203 months5 months-8.39%
3Sep 2018Dec 20184 monthsMar 20193 months7 months-8.00%
4Aug 2016Nov 20164 monthsFeb 20173 months7 months-5.84%
5May 2015Sep 20155 monthsOct 20151 month6 months-5.05%
6Sep 2021Sep 20211 monthOct 20211 month2 months-4.49%
7Feb 2018Feb 20181 monthJul 20185 months6 months-4.44%
8Nov 2015Feb 20164 monthsMar 20161 month5 months-3.52%
9Sep 2020Oct 20202 monthsNov 20201 month3 months-3.49%
10Sep 2014Sep 20141 monthNov 20142 months3 months-3.12%
Worst 10 drawdowns included above

Drawdowns for RP with Utilities

Drawdowns for RP with Utilities (worst 10)
RankStartEndLengthRecovery ByRecovery TimeUnderwater PeriodDrawdown
1Jan 2022Sep 20229 months-16.78%
2Feb 2020Mar 20202 monthsNov 20208 months10 months-13.25%
3Feb 2015Sep 20158 monthsMay 20168 months1 year 4 months-7.67%
4Sep 2018Dec 20184 monthsFeb 20192 months6 months-6.40%
5Aug 2016Nov 20164 monthsFeb 20173 months7 months-5.01%
6Feb 2018Feb 20181 monthJul 20185 months6 months-3.92%
7Sep 2021Sep 20211 monthOct 20211 month2 months-3.42%
8Sep 2014Sep 20141 monthNov 20142 months3 months-3.20%
9Jul 2014Jul 20141 monthAug 20141 month2 months-3.20%
10Nov 2021Nov 20211 monthDec 20211 month2 months-2.21%
Worst 10 drawdowns included above

Drawdowns for Vanguard Balanced Index Inv

Drawdowns for Vanguard Balanced Index Inv (worst 10)
RankStartEndLengthRecovery ByRecovery TimeUnderwater PeriodDrawdown
1Jan 2022Sep 20229 months-20.85%
2Feb 2020Mar 20202 monthsJun 20203 months5 months-12.34%
3Sep 2018Dec 20184 monthsMar 20193 months7 months-8.23%
4Jun 2015Sep 20154 monthsApr 20167 months11 months-5.23%
5Feb 2018Apr 20183 monthsJul 20183 months6 months-3.60%
6Sep 2020Oct 20202 monthsNov 20201 month3 months-3.56%
7May 2019May 20191 monthJun 20191 month2 months-3.21%
8Sep 2021Sep 20211 monthOct 20211 month2 months-3.12%
9Oct 2016Oct 20161 monthDec 20162 months3 months-1.68%
10Sep 2014Sep 20141 monthOct 20141 month2 months-1.57%
Worst 10 drawdowns included above

Portfolio Assets

Performance statistics for portfolio components
TickerNameCAGRStdevBest YearWorst YearMax DrawdownSharpe RatioSortino RatioMarket Correlation
VTVanguard Total World Stock ETF6.61%14.92%26.82%-18.01%-25.52%0.450.650.97
TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF2.06%13.03%27.30%-31.24%-41.64%0.160.24-0.05
DBCInvesco DB Commodity Tracking-0.06%17.97%41.36%-28.10%-57.79%0.040.060.46
VNQVanguard Real Estate ETF6.88%17.26%40.52%-26.24%-29.31%0.420.610.73
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation (REIT)13.69%19.83%47.85%-25.63%-27.80%0.711.160.43
CCICrown Castle Inc10.88%19.24%35.46%-32.51%-34.44%0.590.960.42
EQIXEquinix, Inc.18.66%20.86%68.85%-21.14%-32.13%0.891.500.42
PSAPublic Storage11.22%19.39%66.62%-20.21%-28.02%0.601.020.30
SBACSba Comms Corp13.80%22.54%58.20%-27.30%-30.16%0.651.040.35
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.12.59%22.49%42.61%-40.94%-42.25%0.600.970.27
EXRExtra Space Storage Inc18.89%22.93%100.95%-32.81%-32.81%0.831.460.32
AMHAmerican Homes 4 Rent8.34%17.92%46.91%-29.44%-29.44%0.490.830.53
CUBECubeSmart14.92%21.12%74.62%-26.31%-27.54%0.721.240.35
VPUVanguard Utilities ETF10.48%14.78%26.99%-4.82%-19.07%0.691.080.47

Portfolio Asset Performance

Performance of portfolio assets
NameTotal ReturnAnnualized ReturnExpense Ratio
3 MonthYear To Date1 year3 year5 yearNetGross
Vanguard Total World Stock ETF10.08%-18.01%-18.01%4.18%5.29%0.07%0.07%
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.89%-31.24%-31.24%-8.15%-2.74%0.15%0.15%
Invesco DB Commodity Tracking3.72%19.34%19.34%15.85%8.97%0.85%0.85%
Vanguard Real Estate ETF4.34%-26.24%-26.24%-0.40%3.65%0.12%0.12%
American Tower Corporation (REIT)0.16%-25.63%-25.63%-0.55%10.51%
Crown Castle Inc-5.10%-32.51%-32.51%1.76%7.75%
Equinix, Inc.15.70%-21.14%-21.14%5.62%9.63%
Public Storage-3.68%-20.21%-20.21%14.38%10.41%
Sba Comms Corp-1.29%-27.30%-27.30%5.98%11.98%
Digital Realty Trust, Inc.2.28%-40.94%-40.94%-2.41%0.99%
Extra Space Storage Inc-13.97%-32.81%-32.81%15.32%14.70%
American Homes 4 Rent-7.63%-29.44%-29.44%6.12%7.86%
CubeSmart1.70%-26.31%-26.31%12.83%11.12%
Vanguard Utilities ETF8.64%1.04%1.04%5.58%8.93%0.10%0.10%
Trailing returns as of last calendar month ending December 2022

Monthly Correlations

Correlations for the portfolio assets
TickerNameVTTLTDBCVNQAMTCCIEQIXPSASBACDLREXRAMHCUBEVPUREIT Heavy RP w/VNQREIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITsRP with UtilitiesVanguard Balanced Index Inv
VTVanguard Total World Stock ETF1.00-0.060.520.710.450.410.440.240.370.260.250.520.300.460.890.830.850.97
TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.061.00-0.400.300.320.380.410.260.370.450.250.220.270.270.270.350.270.10
DBCInvesco DB Commodity Tracking0.52-0.401.000.270.120.100.010.050.06-0.090.040.240.040.150.450.390.440.40
VNQVanguard Real Estate ETF0.710.300.271.000.580.550.480.630.460.500.610.720.670.700.920.850.840.78
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation (REIT)0.450.320.120.581.000.780.600.410.820.510.390.530.400.560.580.720.610.49
CCICrown Castle Inc0.410.380.100.550.781.000.550.450.760.550.410.460.350.550.570.710.600.47
EQIXEquinix, Inc.0.440.410.010.480.600.551.000.350.590.690.310.540.360.500.540.700.590.48
PSAPublic Storage0.240.260.050.630.410.450.351.000.360.420.890.480.880.580.480.560.470.33
SBACSba Comms Corp0.370.370.060.460.820.760.590.361.000.480.330.450.310.420.490.660.500.41
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.0.260.45-0.090.500.510.550.690.420.481.000.410.500.410.490.460.590.480.34
EXRExtra Space Storage Inc0.250.250.040.610.390.410.310.890.330.411.000.500.900.560.470.550.470.34
AMHAmerican Homes 4 Rent0.520.220.240.720.530.460.540.480.450.500.501.000.480.470.680.700.600.56
CUBECubeSmart0.300.270.040.670.400.350.360.880.310.410.900.481.000.600.520.570.510.38
VPUVanguard Utilities ETF0.460.270.150.700.560.550.500.580.420.490.560.470.601.000.640.670.810.52

Portfolio Return Decomposition

Portfolio return decomposition
TickerNameREIT Heavy RP w/VNQREIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITsRP with Utilities
VTVanguard Total World Stock ETF$3,181$3,441$3,331
TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF$187$3.60$229
DBCInvesco DB Commodity Tracking$623$853$648
VNQVanguard Real Estate ETF$2,490
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation (REIT)$696
CCICrown Castle Inc$565
EQIXEquinix, Inc.$950
PSAPublic Storage$531
SBACSba Comms Corp$592
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.$432
EXRExtra Space Storage Inc$905
AMHAmerican Homes 4 Rent$374
CUBECubeSmart$672
VPUVanguard Utilities ETF$3,740
Return attribution decomposes portfolio gains into its constituent parts and identifies the contribution to returns by each of the assets.

Portfolio Risk Decomposition

Portfolio risk decomposition
TickerNameREIT Heavy RP w/VNQREIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITsRP with Utilities
VTVanguard Total World Stock ETF45.82%47.07%50.01%
TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF6.07%8.66%6.95%
DBCInvesco DB Commodity Tracking7.00%6.60%7.84%
VNQVanguard Real Estate ETF41.11%
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation (REIT)5.42%
CCICrown Castle Inc5.16%
EQIXEquinix, Inc.5.49%
PSAPublic Storage3.06%
SBACSba Comms Corp4.22%
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.3.75%
EXRExtra Space Storage Inc3.58%
AMHAmerican Homes 4 Rent3.56%
CUBECubeSmart3.43%
VPUVanguard Utilities ETF35.20%
Risk attribution decomposes portfolio risk into its constituent parts and identifies the contribution to overall volatility by each of the assets.

Annual Asset Returns

Rolling Returns

Rolling returns summary
Roll PeriodREIT Heavy RP w/VNQREIT Heavy RP w/NINE REITsRP with UtilitiesVanguard Balanced Index Inv
AverageHighLowAverageHighLowAverageHighLowAverageHighLow
1 year6.90%34.01%-19.39%9.51%30.42%-20.00%7.43%25.58%-12.36%7.84%34.64%-16.97%
3 years7.22%17.84%1.63%10.27%21.12%3.94%8.08%15.61%2.84%8.88%17.30%3.27%
5 years7.11%11.52%2.51%10.11%14.90%6.05%7.99%11.42%4.73%8.75%12.56%4.93%
7 years7.38%8.81%5.39%10.23%12.11%7.71%8.04%8.77%6.86%8.73%10.16%6.74%

Annualized Rolling Return - 3 Years

Annualized Rolling Return - 5 Years