This portfolio backtesting tool allows you to construct one or more portfolios based on the selected mutual funds, ETFs, and stocks. You can analyze and backtest portfolio returns, risk characteristics, style exposures, and drawdowns. The results cover both returns and fund fundamentals based portfolio style analysis along with risk and return decomposition by each portfolio asset. You can compare up to three different portfolios against the selected benchmark, and you can also specify any periodic contribution or withdrawal cashflows and the preferred portfolio rebalancing strategy.
The related asset class level portfolio modeling tool allows you to analyze and compare asset class level portfolios with a longer time horizon starting from 1972.
Ticker | Name | Allocation |
---|---|---|
VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | 20.00% |
VBR | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | 20.00% |
TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 20.00% |
SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 20.00% |
GLD | SPDR Gold Shares | 20.00% |
Save portfolio » |
Ticker | Name | Allocation |
---|---|---|
VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | 20.00% |
VBR | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | 20.00% |
TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 20.00% |
SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 20.00% |
UGL | ProShares Ultra Gold | 20.00% |
Save portfolio » |
Ticker | Name | Allocation |
---|---|---|
VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | 22.00% |
VBR | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | 22.00% |
TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 22.00% |
SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 22.00% |
UGL | ProShares Ultra Gold | 12.00% |
Save portfolio » |
Portfolio | Initial Balance | Final Balance | CAGR | Stdev | Best Year | Worst Year | Max. Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio | Sortino Ratio | Market Correlation |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1: Golden Butterfly Classic | $10,000 | $24,020 | 6.93% | 7.72% | 18.06% | -12.97% | -17.77% | 0.80 | 1.31 | 0.81 |
2: GB w/UGL at 20% | $10,000 | $23,660 | 6.80% | 9.97% | 21.41% | -14.36% | -20.13% | 0.63 | 1.04 | 0.66 |
3: GB w/UGL at 12%, others at 22% | $10,000 | $24,933 | 7.23% | 8.65% | 18.99% | -15.04% | -19.99% | 0.75 | 1.23 | 0.78 |
Name | Total Return | Annualized Return | Annualized Standard Deviation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 Month | Year To Date | 1 year | 3 year | 5 year | 10 year | Full | 3 year | 5 year | |
1: Golden Butterfly Classic | 2.41% | 6.34% | 5.49% | 2.30% | 5.95% | 6.19% | 6.93% | 10.48% | 10.07% |
2: GB w/UGL at 20% | 1.81% | 6.46% | 6.21% | 0.93% | 6.60% | 5.79% | 6.80% | 12.22% | 11.84% |
3: GB w/UGL at 12%, others at 22% | 2.59% | 6.54% | 5.17% | 1.72% | 6.00% | 6.33% | 7.23% | 11.66% | 11.09% |
Trailing return and volatility are as of last calendar month ending August 2023 |
Year | Inflation | 1: Golden Butterfly Classic | 2: GB w/UGL at 20% | 3: GB w/UGL at 12%, others at 22% | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX) | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR) | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) | SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) | ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return | Balance | Return | Balance | Return | Balance | ||||||||
2010 | 0.54% | 9.73% | $10,973 | 13.73% | $11,373 | 10.94% | $11,094 | 15.12% | 17.62% | -4.41% | 0.21% | 20.11% | 41.41% |
2011 | 2.96% | 8.98% | $11,959 | 11.63% | $12,696 | 9.72% | $12,171 | 1.97% | -4.23% | 33.96% | 1.44% | 9.57% | 11.72% |
2012 | 1.74% | 8.86% | $13,018 | 9.14% | $13,857 | 9.26% | $13,298 | 15.82% | 18.98% | 2.63% | 0.28% | 6.60% | 8.01% |
2013 | 1.50% | 4.47% | $13,600 | -3.01% | $13,440 | 4.00% | $13,830 | 32.18% | 36.55% | -13.37% | 0.21% | -28.33% | -51.65% |
2014 | 0.76% | 9.98% | $14,956 | 9.19% | $14,675 | 10.52% | $15,285 | 13.51% | 10.55% | 27.30% | 0.45% | -2.19% | -6.91% |
2015 | 0.73% | -2.75% | $14,545 | -5.55% | $13,860 | -3.75% | $14,712 | 1.25% | -4.76% | -1.79% | 0.43% | -10.67% | -22.60% |
2016 | 2.07% | 9.56% | $15,935 | 9.89% | $15,231 | 11.46% | $16,398 | 11.82% | 24.90% | 1.18% | 0.82% | 8.03% | 11.67% |
2017 | 2.11% | 11.32% | $17,738 | 12.99% | $17,209 | 12.13% | $18,388 | 21.67% | 11.80% | 9.18% | 0.26% | 12.81% | 22.50% |
2018 | 1.91% | -3.82% | $17,060 | -3.75% | $16,564 | -3.55% | $17,736 | -4.52% | -12.26% | -1.61% | 1.46% | -1.94% | -8.02% |
2019 | 2.29% | 17.74% | $20,087 | 21.41% | $20,110 | 18.96% | $21,099 | 31.33% | 22.77% | 14.12% | 3.38% | 17.86% | 31.11% |
2020 | 1.36% | 18.06% | $23,715 | 19.99% | $24,129 | 18.99% | $25,105 | 18.25% | 5.87% | 18.15% | 3.03% | 24.81% | 39.04% |
2021 | 7.04% | 9.45% | $25,955 | 7.55% | $25,951 | 9.72% | $27,546 | 28.53% | 28.06% | -4.60% | -0.72% | -4.15% | -12.30% |
2022 | 6.45% | -12.97% | $22,589 | -14.36% | $22,224 | -15.04% | $23,404 | -18.23% | -9.36% | -31.24% | -3.88% | -0.77% | -7.59% |
2023 | 3.45% | 6.34% | $24,020 | 6.46% | $23,660 | 6.54% | $24,933 | 18.62% | 7.30% | -1.39% | 1.51% | 6.12% | 5.79% |
Annual return for 2010 is from 08/01/2010 to 12/31/2010 and annual return for 2023 is from 01/01/2023 to 08/31/2023 |
Year | Month | 1: Golden Butterfly Classic | 2: GB w/UGL at 20% | 3: GB w/UGL at 12%, others at 22% | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX) | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR) | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) | SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) | ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return | Balance | Return | Balance | Return | Balance | ||||||||
2010 | 8 | 0.63% | $10,063 | 1.77% | $10,177 | 0.81% | $10,081 | -4.53% | -6.66% | 8.40% | 0.24% | 5.71% | 11.42% |
2010 | 9 | 4.11% | $10,477 | 5.16% | $10,702 | 4.68% | $10,552 | 8.92% | 10.43% | -2.51% | 0.12% | 4.78% | 9.51% |
2010 | 10 | 1.38% | $10,621 | 2.20% | $10,937 | 1.63% | $10,725 | 3.79% | 3.60% | -4.47% | 0.22% | 3.68% | 7.05% |
2010 | 11 | 0.56% | $10,680 | 0.95% | $11,041 | 0.51% | $10,780 | 0.00% | 2.28% | -1.69% | -0.20% | 2.11% | 3.57% |
2010 | 12 | 2.74% | $10,973 | 3.01% | $11,373 | 2.91% | $11,094 | 6.67% | 7.69% | -3.68% | -0.16% | 2.44% | 4.54% |
2011 | 1 | -1.29% | $10,832 | -2.50% | $11,089 | -1.50% | $10,927 | 2.36% | 0.60% | -3.08% | 0.13% | -6.38% | -12.63% |
2011 | 2 | 3.28% | $11,187 | 4.24% | $11,559 | 3.58% | $11,318 | 3.42% | 4.70% | 1.65% | -0.12% | 6.00% | 12.12% |
2011 | 3 | 0.65% | $11,260 | 0.83% | $11,655 | 0.66% | $11,393 | 0.03% | 1.47% | 0.03% | -0.13% | 1.60% | 2.67% |
2011 | 4 | 3.57% | $11,662 | 5.30% | $12,273 | 4.07% | $11,857 | 2.95% | 2.34% | 2.34% | 0.53% | 8.94% | 18.26% |
2011 | 5 | -0.49% | $11,605 | -0.88% | $12,165 | -0.58% | $11,788 | -1.15% | -2.12% | 3.42% | 0.36% | -1.79% | -3.80% |
2011 | 6 | -1.75% | $11,401 | -2.32% | $11,883 | -2.03% | $11,548 | -1.67% | -2.08% | -2.33% | -0.00% | -2.43% | -5.12% |
2011 | 7 | 1.51% | $11,574 | 3.35% | $12,281 | 1.92% | $11,770 | -2.05% | -3.32% | 4.42% | 0.29% | 8.42% | 17.15% |
2011 | 8 | 1.85% | $11,788 | 5.01% | $12,895 | 2.14% | $12,022 | -5.45% | -8.19% | 9.66% | 0.34% | 12.27% | 24.49% |
2011 | 9 | -3.13% | $11,419 | -5.32% | $12,210 | -3.65% | $11,583 | -7.04% | -10.64% | 13.20% | -0.10% | -11.06% | -21.99% |
2011 | 10 | 4.95% | $11,984 | 5.82% | $12,920 | 5.37% | $12,206 | 10.91% | 14.43% | -3.84% | 0.03% | 5.87% | 11.30% |
2011 | 11 | 0.67% | $12,064 | 0.85% | $13,030 | 0.68% | $12,289 | -0.23% | -0.14% | 1.98% | 0.04% | 1.67% | 2.79% |
2011 | 12 | -0.87% | $11,959 | -2.56% | $12,696 | -0.95% | $12,171 | 1.02% | 0.82% | 3.44% | 0.05% | -10.66% | -20.93% |
2012 | 1 | 4.19% | $12,460 | 6.88% | $13,569 | 5.25% | $12,810 | 4.46% | 6.97% | -0.33% | 0.08% | 11.40% | 23.20% |
2012 | 2 | 0.29% | $12,497 | -0.65% | $13,482 | 0.03% | $12,814 | 4.31% | 2.55% | -2.59% | -0.14% | -2.96% | -6.46% |
2012 | 3 | 0.08% | $12,507 | -0.25% | $13,448 | 0.04% | $12,820 | 3.28% | 2.41% | -4.23% | -0.08% | -1.32% | -2.91% |
2012 | 4 | 0.63% | $12,585 | 0.37% | $13,497 | 0.49% | $12,883 | -0.64% | -0.99% | 4.83% | 0.20% | -0.15% | -0.83% |
2012 | 5 | -1.84% | $12,353 | -3.55% | $13,018 | -2.60% | $12,547 | -6.02% | -6.31% | 9.03% | 0.06% | -6.34% | -12.60% |
2012 | 6 | 1.74% | $12,569 | 2.15% | $13,298 | 1.97% | $12,795 | 4.11% | 4.47% | -1.68% | -0.10% | 2.35% | 4.07% |
2012 | 7 | 1.24% | $12,725 | 1.27% | $13,467 | 1.26% | $12,956 | 1.37% | -0.43% | 3.82% | 0.22% | 0.84% | 1.38% |
2012 | 8 | 1.60% | $12,928 | 2.66% | $13,825 | 1.99% | $13,214 | 2.24% | 2.99% | -1.32% | 0.01% | 4.94% | 9.59% |
2012 | 9 | 1.36% | $13,104 | 2.55% | $14,178 | 1.85% | $13,458 | 2.58% | 2.80% | -2.53% | 0.02% | 4.67% | 9.40% |
2012 | 10 | -1.18% | $12,950 | -1.98% | $13,897 | -1.52% | $13,254 | -1.86% | -0.70% | -0.48% | -0.07% | -2.94% | -6.12% |
2012 | 11 | 0.57% | $13,023 | 0.33% | $13,943 | 0.50% | $13,320 | 0.56% | 1.01% | 1.38% | 0.05% | -0.47% | -1.27% |
2012 | 12 | -0.04% | $13,018 | -0.62% | $13,857 | -0.16% | $13,298 | 0.90% | 3.34% | -2.49% | 0.02% | -2.43% | -5.00% |
2013 | 1 | 1.80% | $13,252 | 1.63% | $14,083 | 1.93% | $13,555 | 5.18% | 6.46% | -3.19% | 0.01% | -0.51% | -1.41% |
2013 | 2 | 0.12% | $13,268 | -1.04% | $13,936 | -0.18% | $13,531 | 1.34% | 1.62% | 1.24% | 0.06% | -5.09% | -10.10% |
2013 | 3 | 1.77% | $13,503 | 2.15% | $14,236 | 2.18% | $13,827 | 3.74% | 4.56% | -0.42% | 0.03% | 0.95% | 1.81% |
2013 | 4 | -0.16% | $13,481 | -1.81% | $13,978 | -0.21% | $13,798 | 1.91% | 0.09% | 4.68% | 0.07% | -7.56% | -15.80% |
2013 | 5 | -1.43% | $13,288 | -2.50% | $13,628 | -1.83% | $13,546 | 2.33% | 3.11% | -6.76% | -0.13% | -6.20% | -12.55% |
2013 | 6 | -3.15% | $12,869 | -5.46% | $12,885 | -3.59% | $13,060 | -1.35% | -1.27% | -3.27% | -0.10% | -11.06% | -21.29% |
2013 | 7 | 3.41% | $13,308 | 4.33% | $13,442 | 3.79% | $13,555 | 5.07% | 6.85% | -2.26% | 0.16% | 7.43% | 13.60% |
2013 | 8 | -0.99% | $13,176 | 0.25% | $13,475 | -0.42% | $13,498 | -2.91% | -4.17% | -1.34% | -0.10% | 5.20% | 11.18% |
2013 | 9 | 1.17% | $13,329 | -0.08% | $13,465 | 0.87% | $13,616 | 3.12% | 5.30% | 0.66% | 0.22% | -4.78% | -9.77% |
2013 | 10 | 2.14% | $13,614 | 1.84% | $13,713 | 2.11% | $13,904 | 4.59% | 3.92% | 1.43% | 0.07% | -0.34% | -1.38% |
2013 | 11 | 0.01% | $13,615 | -1.12% | $13,560 | -0.32% | $13,859 | 3.03% | 2.93% | -2.70% | 0.09% | -5.51% | -10.93% |
2013 | 12 | -0.12% | $13,600 | -0.89% | $13,440 | -0.21% | $13,830 | 2.51% | 2.74% | -1.87% | -0.18% | -3.79% | -7.65% |
2014 | 1 | 0.65% | $13,688 | 1.20% | $13,602 | 0.71% | $13,929 | -3.47% | -2.78% | 6.30% | 0.20% | 3.42% | 6.50% |
2014 | 2 | 3.24% | $14,132 | 4.49% | $14,212 | 3.69% | $14,442 | 4.56% | 4.97% | 0.52% | 0.04% | 6.27% | 12.65% |
2014 | 3 | -0.08% | $14,120 | -0.80% | $14,098 | -0.21% | $14,413 | 0.82% | 1.31% | 0.73% | -0.11% | -3.14% | -6.38% |
2014 | 4 | 0.46% | $14,185 | 0.57% | $14,179 | 0.52% | $14,488 | 0.72% | -1.13% | 2.10% | 0.11% | 0.49% | 1.06% |
2014 | 5 | 0.84% | $14,304 | 0.16% | $14,202 | 0.82% | $14,607 | 2.33% | 1.64% | 2.95% | 0.18% | -3.05% | -6.36% |
2014 | 6 | 2.43% | $14,652 | 3.61% | $14,715 | 2.77% | $15,011 | 2.05% | 4.32% | -0.25% | -0.08% | 6.32% | 12.68% |
2014 | 7 | -1.87% | $14,379 | -2.59% | $14,335 | -2.13% | $14,692 | -1.39% | -4.79% | 0.67% | -0.08% | -3.63% | -7.08% |
2014 | 8 | 2.95% | $14,803 | 2.96% | $14,759 | 3.20% | $15,162 | 3.98% | 5.12% | 4.72% | 0.19% | 0.38% | 0.44% |
2014 | 9 | -3.06% | $14,350 | -4.16% | $14,144 | -3.43% | $14,643 | -1.41% | -5.54% | -2.11% | -0.07% | -6.18% | -11.97% |
2014 | 10 | 1.58% | $14,577 | 1.03% | $14,290 | 1.68% | $14,888 | 2.42% | 4.85% | 2.81% | 0.26% | -3.05% | -6.50% |
2014 | 11 | 1.38% | $14,778 | 1.32% | $14,478 | 1.38% | $15,093 | 2.68% | 1.10% | 2.97% | 0.11% | -0.49% | -1.08% |
2014 | 12 | 1.21% | $14,956 | 1.36% | $14,675 | 1.27% | $15,285 | -0.26% | 1.79% | 3.25% | -0.29% | 1.31% | 2.32% |
2015 | 1 | 2.51% | $15,332 | 4.39% | $15,319 | 3.05% | $15,751 | -3.02% | -3.30% | 9.82% | 0.63% | 8.69% | 17.47% |
2015 | 2 | -0.19% | $15,304 | -1.81% | $15,042 | -0.70% | $15,640 | 5.74% | 5.66% | -6.14% | -0.29% | -5.91% | -11.19% |
2015 | 3 | -0.21% | $15,271 | -0.77% | $14,926 | -0.34% | $15,587 | -1.59% | 1.30% | 1.10% | 0.25% | -2.15% | -4.82% |
2015 | 4 | -0.76% | $15,155 | -0.89% | $14,793 | -0.94% | $15,441 | 0.95% | -1.30% | -3.43% | 0.03% | -0.17% | -0.52% |
2015 | 5 | 0.24% | $15,191 | 0.29% | $14,836 | 0.19% | $15,470 | 1.27% | 1.37% | -2.37% | 0.04% | 0.56% | 1.16% |
2015 | 6 | -1.75% | $14,925 | -2.19% | $14,510 | -2.07% | $15,150 | -1.93% | -1.51% | -4.07% | 0.03% | -1.52% | -3.49% |
2015 | 7 | -0.19% | $14,897 | -1.44% | $14,301 | -0.25% | $15,112 | 2.08% | -0.95% | 4.55% | 0.04% | -6.62% | -12.99% |
2015 | 8 | -1.86% | $14,621 | -1.16% | $14,135 | -1.92% | $14,822 | -6.05% | -4.84% | -0.69% | -0.05% | 3.71% | 7.26% |
2015 | 9 | -1.17% | $14,449 | -1.47% | $13,926 | -1.24% | $14,639 | -2.48% | -3.58% | 1.97% | 0.30% | -1.80% | -3.88% |
2015 | 10 | 3.40% | $14,941 | 3.64% | $14,433 | 3.58% | $15,163 | 8.42% | 6.63% | -0.41% | -0.14% | 2.28% | 4.36% |
2015 | 11 | -1.10% | $14,776 | -2.36% | $14,093 | -1.32% | $14,962 | 0.29% | 1.32% | -0.87% | -0.26% | -6.75% | -13.24% |
2015 | 12 | -1.57% | $14,545 | -1.65% | $13,860 | -1.67% | $14,712 | -1.59% | -4.90% | -0.30% | -0.15% | -0.45% | -1.20% |
2016 | 1 | -0.29% | $14,502 | 0.80% | $13,970 | 0.26% | $14,751 | -4.98% | -6.37% | 5.57% | 0.65% | 5.41% | 11.00% |
2016 | 2 | 2.90% | $14,923 | 5.06% | $14,677 | 4.02% | $15,344 | -0.15% | 1.50% | 3.09% | 0.11% | 10.93% | 22.48% |
2016 | 3 | 2.94% | $15,362 | 2.53% | $15,048 | 3.25% | $15,843 | 6.78% | 8.94% | -0.09% | 0.14% | -0.84% | -1.81% |
2016 | 4 | 1.34% | $15,569 | 2.26% | $15,389 | 1.51% | $16,081 | 0.37% | 2.10% | -0.74% | 0.04% | 5.11% | 9.50% |
2016 | 5 | -0.42% | $15,503 | -1.92% | $15,093 | -0.64% | $15,978 | 1.78% | 1.40% | 0.81% | -0.12% | -6.14% | -12.31% |
2016 | 6 | 3.21% | $16,000 | 5.20% | $15,878 | 3.66% | $16,562 | 0.25% | 0.15% | 6.93% | 0.60% | 8.97% | 18.16% |
2016 | 7 | 2.50% | $16,401 | 2.86% | $16,332 | 2.81% | $17,027 | 3.68% | 4.64% | 2.10% | -0.05% | 1.98% | 3.80% |
2016 | 8 | -0.70% | $16,285 | -1.56% | $16,077 | -0.90% | $16,875 | 0.13% | 0.73% | -1.01% | -0.23% | -3.26% | -6.63% |
2016 | 9 | -0.08% | $16,273 | -0.06% | $16,067 | -0.13% | $16,853 | 0.01% | 0.30% | -1.51% | 0.13% | 0.69% | 0.85% |
2016 | 10 | -2.43% | $15,877 | -3.16% | $15,559 | -2.78% | $16,384 | -1.83% | -2.92% | -4.38% | -0.05% | -2.94% | -6.09% |
2016 | 11 | -0.33% | $15,825 | -2.38% | $15,189 | -0.40% | $16,318 | 3.70% | 10.21% | -8.21% | -0.47% | -8.36% | -16.31% |
2016 | 12 | 0.70% | $15,935 | 0.27% | $15,231 | 0.49% | $16,398 | 1.96% | 2.86% | -0.46% | 0.07% | -1.91% | -4.02% |
2017 | 1 | 1.67% | $16,200 | 2.47% | $15,606 | 1.95% | $16,718 | 1.88% | 0.65% | 0.81% | 0.11% | 5.42% | 10.30% |
2017 | 2 | 2.21% | $16,558 | 2.66% | $16,021 | 2.40% | $17,119 | 3.96% | 2.01% | 1.59% | 0.04% | 3.18% | 5.79% |
2017 | 3 | -0.32% | $16,505 | -0.39% | $15,958 | -0.36% | $17,058 | 0.10% | -0.72% | -0.65% | 0.06% | -0.43% | -0.75% |
2017 | 4 | 0.94% | $16,660 | 1.22% | $16,154 | 1.09% | $17,244 | 1.02% | 0.40% | 1.57% | 0.19% | 1.73% | 3.12% |
2017 | 5 | 0.08% | $16,673 | 0.06% | $16,162 | 0.15% | $17,270 | 1.39% | -2.40% | 1.89% | 0.07% | -0.12% | -0.45% |
2017 | 6 | 0.43% | $16,745 | -0.05% | $16,154 | 0.23% | $17,310 | 0.61% | 2.44% | 0.79% | -0.08% | -2.16% | -4.54% |
2017 | 7 | 1.04% | $16,919 | 1.37% | $16,375 | 1.12% | $17,505 | 2.04% | 1.02% | -0.66% | 0.19% | 2.31% | 4.35% |
2017 | 8 | 1.10% | $17,105 | 1.97% | $16,697 | 1.58% | $17,781 | 0.29% | -1.46% | 3.41% | 0.20% | 4.20% | 8.29% |
2017 | 9 | 0.53% | $17,197 | -0.35% | $16,638 | 0.03% | $17,786 | 2.06% | 4.95% | -2.32% | -0.19% | -3.37% | -7.00% |
2017 | 10 | 0.60% | $17,300 | 0.35% | $16,696 | 0.47% | $17,870 | 2.32% | 0.86% | -0.04% | -0.09% | -0.75% | -1.87% |
2017 | 11 | 1.42% | $17,546 | 1.61% | $16,965 | 1.61% | $18,159 | 3.06% | 3.17% | 0.74% | -0.22% | 0.36% | 0.51% |
2017 | 12 | 1.10% | $17,738 | 1.44% | $17,209 | 1.26% | $18,388 | 1.10% | 0.50% | 1.81% | -0.02% | 2.11% | 4.12% |
2018 | 1 | 1.49% | $18,003 | 2.26% | $17,599 | 1.87% | $18,732 | 5.71% | 1.93% | -3.26% | -0.29% | 3.23% | 6.39% |
2018 | 2 | -2.76% | $17,505 | -3.45% | $16,992 | -3.26% | $18,120 | -3.69% | -4.74% | -3.04% | -0.10% | -2.08% | -4.90% |
2018 | 3 | 0.35% | $17,566 | 0.31% | $17,045 | 0.29% | $18,173 | -2.56% | 0.82% | 2.86% | 0.25% | 0.63% | 0.97% |
2018 | 4 | -0.49% | $17,479 | -0.62% | $16,939 | -0.56% | $18,072 | 0.37% | 0.40% | -2.09% | -0.23% | -0.95% | -2.00% |
2018 | 5 | 1.61% | $17,761 | 1.48% | $17,190 | 1.72% | $18,382 | 2.39% | 4.52% | 2.01% | 0.35% | -1.20% | -2.85% |
2018 | 6 | -0.39% | $17,693 | -0.99% | $17,019 | -0.55% | $18,281 | 0.61% | 0.36% | 0.65% | 0.04% | -3.61% | -7.58% |
2018 | 7 | 0.57% | $17,794 | 0.44% | $17,094 | 0.67% | $18,404 | 3.71% | 2.49% | -1.44% | -0.06% | -2.24% | -4.62% |
2018 | 8 | 1.13% | $17,996 | 0.54% | $17,186 | 1.25% | $18,634 | 3.25% | 2.41% | 1.31% | 0.35% | -2.14% | -4.62% |
2018 | 9 | -0.93% | $17,828 | -1.12% | $16,993 | -1.02% | $18,444 | 0.55% | -1.67% | -2.86% | -0.14% | -0.66% | -1.53% |
2018 | 10 | -3.60% | $17,186 | -3.13% | $16,461 | -3.68% | $17,766 | -6.85% | -9.05% | -2.93% | 0.15% | 2.12% | 3.60% |
2018 | 11 | 1.39% | $17,425 | 1.38% | $16,688 | 1.46% | $18,025 | 2.03% | 2.35% | 1.79% | 0.38% | 0.34% | 0.44% |
2018 | 12 | -2.09% | $17,060 | -0.74% | $16,564 | -1.60% | $17,736 | -9.04% | -11.41% | 5.85% | 0.76% | 4.94% | 9.77% |
2019 | 1 | 4.39% | $17,809 | 4.62% | $17,330 | 4.54% | $18,542 | 8.00% | 11.16% | 0.38% | 0.25% | 2.89% | 4.95% |
2019 | 2 | 1.08% | $18,001 | 0.73% | $17,456 | 0.94% | $18,715 | 3.20% | 3.99% | -1.38% | 0.09% | -0.61% | -1.55% |
2019 | 3 | 0.90% | $18,163 | 0.46% | $17,537 | 0.89% | $18,881 | 1.94% | -1.92% | 5.57% | 0.63% | -1.60% | -3.65% |
2019 | 4 | 1.15% | $18,372 | 0.77% | $17,673 | 0.98% | $19,065 | 4.04% | 3.91% | -1.99% | 0.18% | -0.66% | -1.77% |
2019 | 5 | -1.25% | $18,142 | -0.69% | $17,551 | -0.96% | $18,883 | -6.36% | -8.13% | 6.84% | 0.72% | 1.76% | 3.03% |
2019 | 6 | 4.61% | $18,979 | 6.27% | $18,652 | 5.28% | $19,880 | 7.03% | 6.84% | 0.95% | 0.46% | 8.00% | 16.21% |
2019 | 7 | 0.49% | $19,072 | 0.38% | $18,723 | 0.49% | $19,977 | 1.43% | 0.75% | 0.26% | -0.06% | 0.01% | -0.30% |
2019 | 8 | 2.58% | $19,565 | 4.75% | $19,612 | 2.90% | $20,557 | -1.59% | -5.44% | 11.04% | 0.78% | 7.91% | 15.64% |
2019 | 9 | -0.24% | $19,518 | -0.81% | $19,454 | -0.41% | $20,474 | 1.86% | 3.98% | -2.68% | -0.13% | -3.39% | -7.05% |
2019 | 10 | 1.12% | $19,737 | 1.52% | $19,750 | 1.22% | $20,725 | 2.15% | 1.75% | -1.11% | 0.31% | 2.56% | 4.62% |
2019 | 11 | 0.48% | $19,832 | -0.10% | $19,729 | 0.36% | $20,799 | 3.62% | 2.48% | -0.41% | -0.05% | -3.21% | -6.66% |
2019 | 12 | 1.29% | $20,087 | 1.93% | $20,110 | 1.44% | $21,099 | 3.01% | 2.78% | -3.20% | 0.16% | 3.66% | 7.00% |
2020 | 1 | 1.89% | $20,467 | 2.38% | $20,589 | 2.10% | $21,541 | -0.05% | -3.37% | 7.69% | 0.58% | 4.50% | 8.54% |
2020 | 2 | -2.26% | $20,003 | -2.75% | $20,022 | -2.53% | $20,996 | -8.24% | -10.18% | 6.63% | 0.88% | -0.64% | -1.75% |
2020 | 3 | -5.13% | $18,977 | -5.76% | $18,868 | -5.67% | $19,804 | -12.37% | -25.08% | 6.38% | 1.24% | -0.22% | -0.59% |
2020 | 4 | 6.93% | $20,293 | 8.06% | $20,388 | 7.57% | $21,304 | 12.81% | 13.11% | 1.22% | 0.27% | 7.26% | 12.87% |
2020 | 5 | 2.19% | $20,737 | 2.56% | $20,910 | 2.37% | $21,810 | 4.76% | 4.80% | -1.76% | -0.08% | 2.59% | 4.34% |
2020 | 6 | 1.49% | $21,046 | 2.17% | $21,365 | 1.78% | $22,198 | 1.98% | 2.05% | 0.34% | 0.02% | 2.74% | 5.86% |
2020 | 7 | 4.96% | $22,089 | 6.79% | $22,814 | 5.48% | $23,413 | 5.63% | 3.29% | 4.44% | 0.09% | 10.79% | 18.56% |
2020 | 8 | 1.59% | $22,440 | 0.85% | $23,009 | 1.18% | $23,691 | 7.18% | 4.63% | -5.05% | -0.02% | -0.32% | -2.47% |
2020 | 9 | -2.45% | $21,890 | -3.08% | $22,300 | -2.56% | $23,085 | -3.81% | -3.71% | 0.77% | -0.00% | -4.17% | -8.51% |
2020 | 10 | -0.62% | $21,753 | -0.90% | $22,099 | -0.83% | $22,893 | -2.67% | 3.14% | -3.39% | -0.05% | -0.52% | -1.72% |
2020 | 11 | 5.54% | $22,959 | 4.27% | $23,043 | 5.67% | $24,192 | 10.94% | 17.42% | 1.66% | 0.02% | -5.41% | -11.34% |
2020 | 12 | 3.29% | $23,715 | 4.71% | $24,129 | 3.77% | $25,105 | 3.84% | 6.80% | -1.23% | 0.04% | 7.01% | 14.12% |
2021 | 1 | -1.14% | $23,444 | -2.01% | $23,645 | -1.45% | $24,741 | -1.02% | 2.04% | -3.63% | 0.02% | -3.22% | -7.07% |
2021 | 2 | 0.08% | $23,464 | -1.29% | $23,339 | -0.10% | $24,715 | 2.76% | 8.79% | -5.73% | -0.06% | -6.26% | -12.76% |
2021 | 3 | 0.99% | $23,695 | 0.76% | $23,516 | 1.05% | $24,975 | 4.37% | 5.31% | -5.24% | -0.06% | -1.14% | -2.50% |
2021 | 4 | 3.09% | $24,427 | 3.74% | $24,395 | 3.43% | $25,832 | 5.32% | 4.01% | 2.49% | 0.06% | 3.56% | 6.81% |
2021 | 5 | 2.15% | $24,951 | 3.84% | $25,331 | 2.61% | $26,506 | 0.69% | 2.24% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 7.68% | 15.72% |
2021 | 6 | -0.43% | $24,845 | -2.18% | $24,779 | -0.79% | $26,297 | 2.31% | -1.02% | 4.42% | -0.17% | -7.15% | -14.12% |
2021 | 7 | 1.45% | $25,205 | 1.90% | $25,249 | 1.61% | $26,722 | 2.38% | -1.65% | 3.72% | 0.17% | 2.53% | 4.72% |
2021 | 8 | 0.95% | $25,443 | 0.89% | $25,474 | 1.01% | $26,993 | 3.03% | 2.08% | -0.34% | -0.03% | -0.08% | -0.30% |
2021 | 9 | -2.75% | $24,744 | -3.52% | $24,578 | -3.16% | $26,138 | -4.66% | -2.55% | -2.91% | -0.10% | -3.22% | -6.95% |
2021 | 10 | 3.09% | $25,509 | 3.39% | $25,411 | 3.43% | $27,035 | 6.99% | 4.56% | 2.46% | -0.34% | 1.48% | 2.99% |
2021 | 11 | -0.33% | $25,424 | -0.54% | $25,273 | -0.43% | $26,919 | -0.71% | -3.02% | 2.77% | -0.06% | -0.69% | -1.75% |
2021 | 12 | 2.09% | $25,955 | 2.68% | $25,951 | 2.33% | $27,546 | 4.47% | 4.90% | -2.01% | -0.21% | 3.30% | 6.33% |
2022 | 1 | -3.27% | $25,106 | -3.68% | $24,995 | -3.67% | $26,534 | -5.19% | -4.41% | -3.91% | -0.69% | -1.68% | -3.78% |
2022 | 2 | 0.48% | $25,226 | 1.76% | $25,435 | 0.69% | $26,718 | -3.00% | 1.63% | -1.63% | -0.43% | 6.12% | 12.44% |
2022 | 3 | 0.03% | $25,234 | 0.26% | $25,502 | 0.04% | $26,729 | 3.69% | 1.63% | -5.45% | -1.40% | 1.27% | 2.21% |
2022 | 4 | -5.46% | $23,856 | -5.99% | $23,974 | -6.14% | $25,088 | -8.73% | -6.34% | -9.42% | -0.50% | -2.07% | -4.67% |
2022 | 5 | -0.59% | $23,714 | -1.50% | $23,614 | -0.85% | $24,873 | 0.17% | 1.86% | -2.25% | 0.60% | -3.26% | -7.09% |
2022 | 6 | -4.54% | $22,637 | -4.96% | $22,441 | -5.12% | $23,600 | -8.27% | -10.32% | -1.27% | -0.59% | -1.57% | -3.55% |
2022 | 7 | 3.72% | $23,479 | 3.10% | $23,138 | 4.05% | $24,556 | 9.21% | 9.83% | 2.43% | 0.41% | -2.59% | -5.43% |
2022 | 8 | -3.02% | $22,770 | -3.72% | $22,276 | -3.45% | $23,709 | -4.09% | -2.75% | -4.56% | -0.81% | -2.94% | -6.44% |
2022 | 9 | -6.27% | $21,342 | -6.95% | $20,727 | -7.04% | $22,041 | -9.22% | -9.91% | -8.23% | -1.19% | -2.89% | -6.12% |
2022 | 10 | 2.59% | $21,894 | 2.21% | $21,186 | 2.84% | $22,667 | 8.08% | 12.00% | -5.97% | -0.13% | -1.78% | -4.16% |
2022 | 11 | 5.49% | $23,097 | 6.92% | $22,652 | 5.99% | $24,025 | 5.58% | 5.56% | 7.15% | 0.69% | 8.49% | 17.01% |
2022 | 12 | -2.20% | $22,589 | -1.89% | $22,224 | -2.59% | $23,404 | -5.77% | -5.67% | -2.63% | 0.12% | 2.93% | 5.02% |
2023 | 1 | 5.90% | $23,923 | 7.02% | $23,784 | 6.57% | $24,942 | 6.27% | 9.07% | 7.64% | 0.78% | 5.76% | 11.11% |
2023 | 2 | -3.31% | $23,130 | -4.49% | $22,717 | -3.74% | $24,008 | -2.45% | -2.26% | -5.09% | -0.99% | -5.37% | -11.01% |
2023 | 3 | 2.54% | $23,717 | 3.85% | $23,593 | 2.65% | $24,643 | 3.66% | -5.67% | 4.84% | 1.65% | 7.92% | 15.32% |
2023 | 4 | 0.44% | $23,821 | 0.48% | $23,705 | 0.41% | $24,745 | 1.55% | -0.96% | 0.34% | 0.24% | 0.86% | 1.02% |
2023 | 5 | -1.53% | $23,456 | -1.96% | $23,240 | -1.78% | $24,305 | 0.42% | -3.42% | -3.01% | -0.38% | -1.34% | -3.50% |
2023 | 6 | 2.50% | $24,042 | 2.03% | $23,712 | 2.88% | $25,004 | 6.60% | 9.53% | 0.22% | -0.49% | -2.22% | -5.19% |
2023 | 7 | 1.76% | $24,464 | 2.08% | $24,206 | 1.89% | $25,476 | 3.20% | 5.44% | -2.54% | 0.30% | 2.29% | 4.02% |
2023 | 8 | -1.81% | $24,020 | -2.26% | $23,660 | -2.13% | $24,933 | -1.60% | -3.41% | -3.14% | 0.41% | -1.28% | -3.48% |
Style Category | 1: Golden Butterfly Classic | 3: GB w/UGL at 12%, others at 22% |
---|---|---|
Large-cap Value | 8.46% | 9.59% |
Large-cap Growth | 7.37% | 7.30% |
Mid-cap Value | 13.36% | 14.02% |
Mid-cap Growth | 7.63% | 8.88% |
Small-cap Value | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Small-cap Growth | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Global ex-US Developed Markets | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Emerging Markets | 8.26% | 10.04% |
Corporate Bonds | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Long-Term Treasuries | 15.96% | 16.92% |
Intermediate-Term Treasuries | 25.48% | 33.26% |
Short-Term Treasuries | 13.48% | 0.00% |
R Squared | 87.97% | 86.39% |
Style analysis is based on monthly returns from August 2010 to August 2023 and uses total portfolio return with monthly rebalancing. Returns based style analysis aims to explain the portfolio returns based on asset class exposures, it does not identify the actual portfolio holdings. |
Ticker | Name | Category | Weight | Yield | Expense Ratio | P/E | Duration | Contribution | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SEC | TTM | Net | Gross | Return | Risk | ||||||
VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | Large Blend | 20.00% | 1.37% | 1.40% | 0.14% | 0.14% | 22.41 | $5,937 | 30.19% | |
VBR | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | Small Value | 20.00% | 2.22% | 2.18% | 0.07% | 0.07% | 11.42 | $5,301 | 35.70% | |
TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Long Government | 20.00% | 4.22% | 3.22% | 0.15% | 0.15% | 17.10 | $722 | 9.33% | |
SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Short Government | 20.00% | 4.89% | 2.46% | 0.15% | 0.15% | 1.87 | $229 | 1.00% | |
GLD | SPDR Gold Shares | Commodities Focused | 20.00% | 0.40% | 0.40% | $1,832 | 23.79% | ||||
100.00% | 2.54% | 1.85% | 0.18% | 0.18% | 16.91 | 9.49 | $14,020 | 100.00% |
Ticker | Name | Category | Weight | Yield | Expense Ratio | P/E | Duration | Contribution | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SEC | TTM | Net | Gross | Return | Risk | ||||||
VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | Large Blend | 20.00% | 1.37% | 1.40% | 0.14% | 0.14% | 22.41 | $5,923 | 19.08% | |
VBR | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | Small Value | 20.00% | 2.22% | 2.18% | 0.07% | 0.07% | 11.42 | $5,196 | 22.05% | |
TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Long Government | 20.00% | 4.22% | 3.22% | 0.15% | 0.15% | 17.10 | $552 | 8.34% | |
SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Short Government | 20.00% | 4.89% | 2.46% | 0.15% | 0.15% | 1.87 | $245 | 0.89% | |
UGL | ProShares Ultra Gold | Leveraged Commodities | 20.00% | 0.95% | 0.95% | $1,744 | 49.64% | ||||
100.00% | 2.54% | 1.85% | 0.29% | 0.29% | 16.91 | 9.49 | $13,660 | 100.00% |
Ticker | Name | Category | Weight | Yield | Expense Ratio | P/E | Duration | Contribution | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SEC | TTM | Net | Gross | Return | Risk | ||||||
VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | Large Blend | 22.00% | 1.37% | 1.40% | 0.14% | 0.14% | 22.41 | $6,733 | 28.63% | |
VBR | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | Small Value | 22.00% | 2.22% | 2.18% | 0.07% | 0.07% | 11.42 | $5,912 | 33.78% | |
TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Long Government | 22.00% | 4.22% | 3.22% | 0.15% | 0.15% | 17.10 | $640 | 9.59% | |
SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Short Government | 22.00% | 4.89% | 2.46% | 0.15% | 0.15% | 1.87 | $278 | 1.01% | |
UGL | ProShares Ultra Gold | Leveraged Commodities | 12.00% | 0.95% | 0.95% | $1,371 | 26.99% | ||||
100.00% | 2.79% | 2.04% | 0.23% | 0.23% | 16.91 | 9.49 | $14,933 | 100.00% |
Fund fundamentals data as of 09/27/2023. (c) 2023 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. The fund fundamentals information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.
Metric | 1: Golden Butterfly Classic | 2: GB w/UGL at 20% | 3: GB w/UGL at 12%, others at 22% |
---|---|---|---|
Arithmetic Mean (monthly) | 0.58% | 0.59% | 0.61% |
Arithmetic Mean (annualized) | 7.24% | 7.33% | 7.63% |
Geometric Mean (monthly) | 0.56% | 0.55% | 0.58% |
Geometric Mean (annualized) | 6.93% | 6.80% | 7.23% |
Standard Deviation (monthly) | 2.23% | 2.88% | 2.50% |
Standard Deviation (annualized) | 7.72% | 9.97% | 8.65% |
Downside Deviation (monthly) | 1.32% | 1.69% | 1.48% |
Maximum Drawdown | -17.77% | -20.13% | -19.99% |
Stock Market Correlation | 0.81 | 0.66 | 0.78 |
Beta(*) | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.45 |
Alpha (annualized) | 1.38% | 1.20% | 1.27% |
R2 | 65.71% | 43.15% | 61.51% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.80 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
Sortino Ratio | 1.31 | 1.04 | 1.23 |
Treynor Ratio (%) | 14.74 | 14.27 | 14.40 |
Calmar Ratio | 0.13 | 0.05 | 0.09 |
Active Return | -6.14% | -6.26% | -5.83% |
Tracking Error | 9.81% | 11.28% | 9.78% |
Information Ratio | -0.63 | -0.55 | -0.60 |
Skewness | -0.14 | 0.06 | -0.13 |
Excess Kurtosis | 0.64 | -0.04 | 0.54 |
Historical Value-at-Risk (5%) | 3.13% | 3.81% | 3.60% |
Analytical Value-at-Risk (5%) | 3.10% | 4.11% | 3.51% |
Conditional Value-at-Risk (5%) | 4.34% | 5.39% | 4.84% |
Upside Capture Ratio (%) | 40.49 | 40.73 | 43.27 |
Downside Capture Ratio (%) | 36.22 | 37.49 | 39.53 |
Safe Withdrawal Rate | 11.07% | 11.06% | 11.39% |
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate | 4.03% | 3.91% | 4.30% |
Positive Periods | 99 out of 157 (63.06%) | 92 out of 157 (58.60%) | 97 out of 157 (61.78%) |
Gain/Loss Ratio | 1.16 | 1.19 | 1.17 |
* US stock market is used as the benchmark for calculations. Value-at-risk metrics are monthly values. |
Stress Period | Start | End | 1: Golden Butterfly Classic | 2: GB w/UGL at 20% | 3: GB w/UGL at 12%, others at 22% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
COVID-19 Start | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | -7.28% | -8.36% | -8.06% |
Rank | Start | End | Length | Recovery By | Recovery Time | Underwater Period | Drawdown |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 months | -17.77% | |||
2 | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 months | May 2020 | 2 months | 4 months | -7.28% |
3 | Feb 2015 | Sep 2015 | 8 months | Mar 2016 | 6 months | 1 year 2 months | -5.76% |
4 | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 months | Mar 2019 | 3 months | 1 year 2 months | -5.24% |
5 | Apr 2013 | Jun 2013 | 3 months | Oct 2013 | 4 months | 7 months | -4.69% |
6 | Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 months | Feb 2017 | 3 months | 7 months | -3.51% |
7 | Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 month | Oct 2011 | 1 month | 2 months | -3.13% |
8 | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 months | Nov 2020 | 1 month | 3 months | -3.06% |
9 | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 month | Dec 2014 | 3 months | 4 months | -3.06% |
10 | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 month | Oct 2021 | 1 month | 2 months | -2.75% |
Worst 10 drawdowns included above |
Rank | Start | End | Length | Recovery By | Recovery Time | Underwater Period | Drawdown |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 months | -20.13% | |||
2 | Feb 2015 | Dec 2015 | 11 months | Apr 2016 | 4 months | 1 year 3 months | -9.53% |
3 | Apr 2013 | Jun 2013 | 3 months | Jun 2014 | 1 year | 1 year 3 months | -9.49% |
4 | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 months | May 2020 | 2 months | 4 months | -8.36% |
5 | Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 months | Jul 2017 | 8 months | 1 year | -7.00% |
6 | Feb 2018 | Oct 2018 | 9 months | Apr 2019 | 6 months | 1 year 3 months | -6.47% |
7 | Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 month | Oct 2011 | 1 month | 2 months | -5.32% |
8 | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 month | Jan 2015 | 4 months | 5 months | -4.16% |
9 | Feb 2012 | May 2012 | 4 months | Aug 2012 | 3 months | 7 months | -4.07% |
10 | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 months | Nov 2020 | 1 month | 3 months | -3.96% |
Worst 10 drawdowns included above |
Rank | Start | End | Length | Recovery By | Recovery Time | Underwater Period | Drawdown |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 months | -19.99% | |||
2 | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 months | May 2020 | 2 months | 4 months | -8.06% |
3 | Feb 2015 | Sep 2015 | 8 months | Mar 2016 | 6 months | 1 year 2 months | -7.06% |
4 | Apr 2013 | Jun 2013 | 3 months | Oct 2013 | 4 months | 7 months | -5.54% |
5 | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 months | Mar 2019 | 3 months | 1 year 2 months | -5.32% |
6 | Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 months | Feb 2017 | 3 months | 7 months | -4.17% |
7 | Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 month | Oct 2011 | 1 month | 2 months | -3.65% |
8 | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 month | Dec 2014 | 3 months | 4 months | -3.43% |
9 | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 months | Nov 2020 | 1 month | 3 months | -3.37% |
10 | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 month | Oct 2021 | 1 month | 2 months | -3.16% |
Worst 10 drawdowns included above |
Ticker | Name | CAGR | Stdev | Best Year | Worst Year | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio | Sortino Ratio | Market Correlation |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | 13.42% | 14.49% | 32.18% | -18.23% | -23.95% | 0.89 | 1.42 | 1.00 |
VBR | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | 10.79% | 18.66% | 36.55% | -12.26% | -35.27% | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.92 |
TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 2.32% | 13.54% | 33.96% | -31.24% | -41.64% | 0.17 | 0.28 | -0.19 |
SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.67% | 1.26% | 3.38% | -3.88% | -5.36% | -0.14 | -0.18 | -0.03 |
GLD | SPDR Gold Shares | 3.45% | 15.94% | 24.81% | -28.33% | -42.91% | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.12 |
UGL | ProShares Ultra Gold | 1.20% | 31.75% | 41.41% | -51.65% | -73.45% | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.11 |
Name | Total Return | Annualized Return | Expense Ratio | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 Month | Year To Date | 1 year | 3 year | 5 year | 10 year | Net | Gross | |
Vanguard 500 Index Investor | 8.25% | 18.62% | 15.78% | 10.37% | 10.97% | 12.65% | 0.14% | 0.14% |
Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | 11.55% | 7.30% | 7.81% | 15.76% | 5.59% | 9.23% | 0.07% | 0.07% |
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -5.40% | -1.39% | -11.22% | -14.17% | -2.39% | 1.45% | 0.15% | 0.15% |
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.22% | 1.51% | 0.98% | -1.05% | 0.86% | 0.68% | 0.15% | 0.15% |
SPDR Gold Shares | -1.26% | 6.12% | 13.03% | -0.88% | 9.66% | 2.95% | 0.40% | 0.40% |
ProShares Ultra Gold | -4.82% | 5.79% | 16.96% | -7.95% | 11.94% | 0.37% | 0.95% | 0.95% |
Trailing returns as of last calendar month ending August 2023 |
Ticker | Name | VFINX | VBR | TLT | SHY | GLD | UGL | 1: Golden Butterfly Classic | 2: GB w/UGL at 20% | 3: GB w/UGL at 12%, others at 22% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | 1.00 | 0.90 | -0.18 | -0.02 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.81 | 0.65 | 0.78 |
VBR | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | 0.90 | 1.00 | -0.30 | -0.16 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.74 | 0.59 | 0.71 |
TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.18 | -0.30 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.02 | -0.16 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.32 |
GLD | SPDR Gold Shares | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.58 | 0.78 | 0.62 |
UGL | ProShares Ultra Gold | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.78 | 0.61 |
Ticker | Name | 1: Golden Butterfly Classic | 2: GB w/UGL at 20% | 3: GB w/UGL at 12%, others at 22% |
---|---|---|---|---|
VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | $5,937 | $5,923 | $6,733 |
VBR | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | $5,301 | $5,196 | $5,912 |
TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | $722 | $552 | $640 |
SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | $229 | $245 | $278 |
GLD | SPDR Gold Shares | $1,832 | ||
UGL | ProShares Ultra Gold | $1,744 | $1,371 | |
Return attribution decomposes portfolio gains into its constituent parts and identifies the contribution to returns by each of the assets. |
Ticker | Name | 1: Golden Butterfly Classic | 2: GB w/UGL at 20% | 3: GB w/UGL at 12%, others at 22% |
---|---|---|---|---|
VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | 30.19% | 19.08% | 28.63% |
VBR | Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | 35.70% | 22.05% | 33.78% |
TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 9.33% | 8.34% | 9.59% |
SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 1.00% | 0.89% | 1.01% |
GLD | SPDR Gold Shares | 23.79% | ||
UGL | ProShares Ultra Gold | 49.64% | 26.99% | |
Risk attribution decomposes portfolio risk into its constituent parts and identifies the contribution to overall volatility by each of the assets. |
Roll Period | 1: Golden Butterfly Classic | 2: GB w/UGL at 20% | 3: GB w/UGL at 12%, others at 22% | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Average | High | Low | Average | High | Low | Average | High | Low | |
1 year | 6.68% | 24.86% | -14.17% | 6.41% | 26.71% | -16.63% | 6.98% | 26.11% | -16.16% |
3 years | 7.00% | 15.01% | 2.30% | 6.45% | 16.14% | -0.59% | 7.34% | 15.81% | 1.72% |
5 years | 6.69% | 10.27% | 4.41% | 6.25% | 11.73% | 2.84% | 7.07% | 11.28% | 4.38% |
7 years | 6.73% | 8.35% | 4.98% | 6.28% | 8.72% | 3.52% | 7.12% | 8.92% | 5.27% |
10 years | 7.00% | 8.35% | 5.00% | 6.45% | 8.60% | 3.87% | 7.34% | 8.92% | 5.06% |
# | Date | Allocation |
---|---|---|
1 | 08/31/2011 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 19.17% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 18.57% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 18.92% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 17.24% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): 26.11% |
2 | 02/28/2013 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 22.79% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 23.54% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 20.53% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 17.84% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): 15.30% |
3 | 11/30/2013 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 23.58% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 23.94% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 17.55% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 19.55% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): 15.37% |
4 | 01/31/2015 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 20.04% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 19.51% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 24.36% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 17.92% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): 18.17% |
5 | 10/31/2017 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 24.16% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 23.51% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 17.07% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 17.93% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): 17.33% |
6 | 03/31/2020 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 19.14% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 13.24% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 25.65% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 19.60% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): 22.37% |
7 | 11/30/2020 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 23.42% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 25.20% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 16.19% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 16.57% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): 18.61% |
8 | 03/31/2021 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 21.36% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 24.20% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 16.48% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 19.37% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): 18.60% |
9 | 10/31/2022 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 21.54% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 21.58% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 15.81% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 20.51% SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): 20.56% |
# | Date | Allocation |
---|---|---|
1 | 11/30/2010 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 19.55% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 19.78% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 17.98% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 18.18% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 24.50% |
2 | 08/31/2011 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 17.92% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 17.16% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 19.24% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 17.34% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 28.34% |
3 | 12/31/2011 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 21.11% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 20.91% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 23.33% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 20.32% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 14.33% |
4 | 03/31/2013 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 22.84% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 24.00% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 17.87% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 17.90% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 17.38% |
5 | 05/31/2013 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 21.79% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 21.56% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 20.39% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 20.88% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 15.38% |
6 | 11/30/2013 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 22.48% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 22.89% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 18.63% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 20.17% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 15.84% |
7 | 11/30/2014 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 21.86% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 20.90% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 22.66% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 18.84% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 15.74% |
8 | 07/31/2018 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 24.76% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 24.23% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 18.14% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 17.14% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 15.73% |
9 | 08/31/2019 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 18.50% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 15.95% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 22.07% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 18.24% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 25.25% |
10 | 03/31/2020 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 18.55% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 15.06% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 23.56% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 21.42% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 21.41% |
11 | 07/31/2020 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 21.06% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 20.67% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 17.23% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 16.59% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 24.45% |
12 | 11/30/2020 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 22.04% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 24.16% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 18.61% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 19.79% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 15.40% |
13 | 03/31/2021 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 21.60% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 24.47% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 16.66% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 19.59% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 17.68% |
14 | 06/30/2023 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 22.94% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 20.75% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 15.79% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 19.09% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 21.43% |
# | Date | Allocation |
---|---|---|
1 | 10/31/2010 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 22.14% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 21.91% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 20.71% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 20.63% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 14.61% |
2 | 07/31/2011 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 22.19% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 22.38% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 20.19% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 20.18% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 15.06% |
3 | 08/31/2011 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 20.37% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 19.77% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 23.62% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 21.61% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 14.63% |
4 | 12/31/2011 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 22.58% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 22.37% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 24.95% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 21.74% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 8.36% |
5 | 04/30/2013 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 25.33% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 26.14% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 20.35% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 19.49% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 8.69% |
6 | 06/30/2013 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 23.46% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 23.66% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 20.96% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 23.19% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 8.73% |
7 | 08/31/2013 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 21.71% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 21.79% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 20.53% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 21.30% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 14.66% |
8 | 11/30/2013 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 23.81% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 24.13% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 21.28% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 21.51% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 9.26% |
9 | 10/31/2014 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 23.27% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 22.60% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 24.06% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 20.57% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 9.49% |
10 | 11/30/2015 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 23.07% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 22.56% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 22.93% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 21.98% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 9.47% |
11 | 02/29/2016 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 20.03% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 19.39% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 23.28% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 21.58% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 15.72% |
12 | 11/30/2016 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 23.91% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 26.43% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 19.32% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 20.68% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 9.66% |
13 | 09/30/2018 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 26.67% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 23.82% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 19.90% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 19.56% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 10.05% |
14 | 06/30/2019 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 20.90% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 19.46% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 23.58% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 21.16% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 14.89% |
15 | 03/31/2020 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 19.67% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 15.25% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 27.87% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 22.91% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 14.30% |
16 | 07/31/2020 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 23.69% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 23.25% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 19.39% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 18.67% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 15.00% |
17 | 11/30/2020 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 23.70% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 25.98% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 20.01% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 21.28% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 9.03% |
18 | 03/31/2021 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 23.49% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 26.61% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 18.12% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 21.30% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 10.49% |
19 | 06/30/2023 | Vanguard 500 Index Investor (VFINX): 25.42% Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR): 22.99% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): 17.49% iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): 21.16% ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL): 12.95% |