Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation

This portfolio backtesting tool allows you to construct one or more portfolios based on the selected mutual funds, ETFs, and stocks. You can analyze and backtest portfolio returns, risk characteristics, style exposures, and drawdowns. The results cover both returns and fund fundamentals based portfolio style analysis along with risk and return decomposition by each portfolio asset. You can compare up to three different portfolios against the selected benchmark, and you can also specify any periodic contribution or withdrawal cashflows and the preferred portfolio rebalancing strategy.

The related asset class level portfolio modeling tool allows you to analyze and compare asset class level portfolios with a longer time horizon starting from 1972.

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Portfolio Assets 
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Asset 2
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Portfolio Analysis Results (Jul 2006 - Dec 2019)

Portfolio Allocations

Portfolio 1
Ticker Name Allocation
FFFDX Fidelity Freedom 2020 100.00%
Save portfolio »

Portfolio Returns

Portfolio performance statistics
PortfolioInitial BalanceFinal BalanceCAGRStdevBest YearWorst YearMax. DrawdownSharpe RatioSortino RatioUS Mkt Correlation
Portfolio 1$10,000$21,291 5.76% 10.53%28.86%-32.12%-42.36% 0.490.680.96
Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Inv$10,000$23,100 6.40% 9.91%23.10%-27.04%-38.78% 0.570.810.97
   

Trailing Returns

Trailing Returns
Name3 Month1 year3 year5 year10 yearFull
Portfolio 15.65%17.98%8.95%6.71%7.47%5.76%
Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Inv4.46%17.63%8.72%6.42%8.03%6.40%
Trailing returns are for full months ending in December 2019 excluding portfolio cashflows.
Notes on results:
  • Past performance is no guarantee of future results, which may vary. All use is subject to terms of service.
  • Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. The value of the investments and the income derived from them may fluctuate over time.
  • All portfolio returns presented are hypothetical and backtested. Hypothetical returns do not reflect trading costs, transaction fees, or taxes.
  • The results are based on information from a variety of sources we consider reliable, but we do not represent that the information is accurate or complete.
  • The results do not constitute investment advice or recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and are not an offer to buy or sell any securities.
  • The results are based on the total return of assets and assume that all received dividends and distributions are reinvested.
  • The annual results for 2006 are based on monthly returns from July to December
  • CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
  • Stdev = Annualized standard deviation of monthly returns
  • Sharpe and Sortino ratios are calculated and annualized from monthly excess returns over risk free rate (3-month treasury bill)
  • Stock market correlation is based on the correlation of monthly returns
  • Drawdown analysis is calculated based on monthly returns excluding cashflows
  • The results assume annual rebalancing of portfolio assets to match the specified allocation
  • Portfolio cashflows and rebalancing for quarterly and annual periods are aligned with calendar periods.
Annual returns for the configured portfolios
YearInflationReturnBalanceFidelity Freedom 2020 (FFFDX)
Portfolio 1Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 InvPortfolio 1Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Inv
2006-0.54%9.13%10.45%$10,913$11,0459.13%
20074.08%8.54%7.52%$11,846$11,8768.54%
20080.09%-32.12%-27.04%$8,040$8,665-32.12%
20092.72%28.86%23.10%$10,361$10,66628.86%
20101.50%12.93%13.12%$11,701$12,06612.93%
20112.96%-1.36%0.60%$11,542$12,139-1.36%
20121.74%11.77%12.35%$12,900$13,63811.77%
20131.50%13.22%15.85%$14,605$15,79913.22%
20140.76%5.34%7.11%$15,384$16,9235.34%
20150.73%-0.23%-0.68%$15,348$16,807-0.23%
20162.07%7.26%6.95%$16,461$17,9757.26%
20172.11%15.64%14.08%$19,037$20,50615.64%
20181.91%-5.20%-4.24%$18,046$19,637-5.20%
20192.29%17.98%17.63%$21,291$23,10017.98%
Annual returns for 2006 are based on partial year data
Monthly returns for the configured portfolios
YearMonthReturnBalanceFidelity Freedom 2020 (FFFDX)
Portfolio 1Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 InvPortfolio 1Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Inv
20067-0.27%0.44%$9,973$10,044-0.27%
200681.97%2.16%$10,169$10,2611.97%
200691.46%1.59%$10,318$10,4241.46%
2006102.76%2.74%$10,603$10,7102.76%
2006112.23%2.12%$10,840$10,9372.23%
2006120.68%0.99%$10,913$11,0450.68%
200711.35%1.17%$11,061$11,1741.35%
20072-0.32%-0.49%$11,026$11,120-0.32%
200730.96%1.07%$11,131$11,2390.96%
200743.41%3.01%$11,511$11,5773.41%
200752.48%2.32%$11,796$11,8462.48%
20076-0.68%-0.97%$11,716$11,731-0.68%
20077-1.92%-1.87%$11,492$11,513-1.92%
200780.57%1.12%$11,557$11,6420.57%
200793.76%3.16%$11,992$12,0103.76%
2007102.66%2.19%$12,310$12,2732.66%
200711-3.53%-2.71%$11,876$11,940-3.53%
200712-0.25%-0.54%$11,846$11,876-0.25%
20081-4.87%-4.18%$11,269$11,380-4.87%
20082-1.46%-1.65%$11,104$11,192-1.46%
20083-1.08%-0.32%$10,984$11,157-1.08%
200844.23%3.58%$11,448$11,5574.23%
200851.50%1.23%$11,620$11,6981.50%
20086-5.27%-5.97%$11,008$11,000-5.27%
20087-2.11%-0.92%$10,776$10,899-2.11%
20088-0.22%0.42%$10,753$10,945-0.22%
20089-8.65%-7.40%$9,823$10,135-8.65%
200810-15.30%-13.58%$8,320$8,759-15.30%
200811-6.42%-4.16%$7,786$8,394-6.42%
2008123.27%3.22%$8,040$8,6653.27%
20091-5.17%-6.46%$7,624$8,105-5.17%
20092-6.93%-7.29%$7,096$7,514-6.93%
200936.20%6.75%$7,536$8,0226.20%
200948.39%7.69%$8,168$8,6398.39%
200956.29%5.15%$8,682$9,0836.29%
200960.37%0.23%$8,714$9,1040.37%
200976.73%6.20%$9,301$9,6696.73%
200983.11%2.87%$9,590$9,9463.11%
200993.94%3.36%$9,968$10,2813.94%
200910-1.85%-1.48%$9,783$10,129-1.85%
2009113.86%4.03%$10,161$10,5373.86%
2009121.96%1.23%$10,361$10,6661.96%
20101-2.47%-2.10%$10,105$10,442-2.47%
201021.72%2.00%$10,278$10,6501.72%
201034.26%4.21%$10,716$11,0994.26%
201041.54%1.30%$10,881$11,2431.54%
20105-5.66%-5.51%$10,265$10,623-5.66%
20106-2.67%-2.67%$9,991$10,340-2.67%
201075.24%5.48%$10,515$10,9065.24%
20108-2.61%-2.55%$10,240$10,629-2.61%
201096.49%6.44%$10,905$11,3136.49%
2010103.13%2.69%$11,246$11,6173.13%
201011-0.74%-0.46%$11,163$11,564-0.74%
2010124.82%4.34%$11,701$12,0664.82%
201111.38%1.22%$11,862$12,2131.38%
201122.00%2.28%$12,099$12,4922.00%
201130.49%0.13%$12,159$12,5080.49%
201142.93%2.88%$12,515$12,8682.93%
20115-1.18%-0.68%$12,367$12,781-1.18%
20116-1.52%-1.20%$12,180$12,628-1.52%
20117-0.21%-0.73%$12,154$12,535-0.21%
20118-4.06%-3.83%$11,660$12,055-4.06%
20119-6.21%-5.66%$10,936$11,372-6.21%
2011106.70%7.30%$11,669$12,2026.70%
201111-1.17%-0.76%$11,532$12,110-1.17%
2011120.08%0.24%$11,542$12,1390.08%
201213.81%4.01%$11,982$12,6263.81%
201223.08%2.88%$12,351$12,9893.08%
201230.85%1.08%$12,457$13,1290.85%
201240.00%-0.26%$12,457$13,0960.00%
20125-4.46%-4.66%$11,901$12,486-4.46%
201262.67%2.91%$12,218$12,8492.67%
201271.52%1.05%$12,404$12,9841.52%
201281.56%1.72%$12,598$13,2081.56%
201291.75%1.86%$12,818$13,4541.75%
201210-0.89%-0.62%$12,704$13,370-0.89%
2012110.76%0.75%$12,801$13,4710.76%
2012120.77%1.24%$12,900$13,6380.77%
201312.52%2.81%$13,224$14,0212.52%
201320.14%0.53%$13,242$14,0960.14%
201331.70%1.91%$13,468$14,3651.70%
201341.34%1.75%$13,648$14,6161.34%
20135-0.21%-0.16%$13,619$14,593-0.21%
20136-2.07%-1.80%$13,338$14,330-2.07%
201373.06%3.31%$13,746$14,8053.06%
20138-1.25%-1.78%$13,574$14,542-1.25%
201392.87%3.35%$13,964$15,0282.87%
2013102.01%2.74%$14,245$15,4402.01%
2013111.15%1.19%$14,408$15,6241.15%
2013121.36%1.12%$14,605$15,7991.36%
20141-1.79%-1.66%$14,343$15,537-1.79%
201423.39%3.23%$14,829$16,0383.39%
20143-0.25%0.29%$14,792$16,085-0.25%
201440.19%0.54%$14,820$16,1720.19%
201451.69%1.66%$15,070$16,4401.69%
201461.55%1.49%$15,304$16,6851.55%
20147-1.47%-1.15%$15,079$16,493-1.47%
201482.33%2.44%$15,431$16,8952.33%
20149-2.02%-2.04%$15,118$16,551-2.02%
2014101.55%1.51%$15,353$16,8021.55%
2014111.08%1.28%$15,519$17,0171.08%
201412-0.87%-0.56%$15,384$16,923-0.87%
20151-0.39%-0.28%$15,324$16,875-0.39%
201523.46%3.00%$15,855$17,3813.46%
20153-0.44%-0.51%$15,785$17,291-0.44%
201541.02%0.96%$15,945$17,4581.02%
201550.57%0.14%$16,035$17,4820.57%
20156-1.40%-1.67%$15,810$17,190-1.40%
201570.71%0.83%$15,923$17,3330.71%
20158-4.24%-3.98%$15,248$16,643-4.24%
20159-2.21%-1.68%$14,910$16,364-2.21%
2015104.46%4.32%$15,575$17,0714.46%
2015110.00%-0.17%$15,575$17,0420.00%
201512-1.46%-1.38%$15,348$16,807-1.46%
20161-3.85%-2.65%$14,756$16,362-3.85%
20162-0.43%-0.23%$14,693$16,324-0.43%
201635.18%4.74%$15,454$17,0985.18%
201641.30%0.87%$15,654$17,2471.30%
201650.60%0.47%$15,748$17,3270.60%
201660.14%0.64%$15,769$17,4390.14%
201673.07%2.70%$16,254$17,9093.07%
201680.53%0.21%$16,340$17,9460.53%
201690.66%0.34%$16,447$18,0080.66%
201610-1.44%-1.55%$16,211$17,730-1.44%
2016110.46%0.14%$16,286$17,7540.46%
2016121.08%1.24%$16,461$17,9751.08%
201711.93%1.52%$16,780$18,2491.93%
201721.96%1.88%$17,109$18,5921.96%
201730.77%0.65%$17,241$18,7130.77%
201741.34%1.12%$17,472$18,9231.34%
201751.48%1.28%$17,731$19,1651.48%
201760.31%0.37%$17,786$19,2350.31%
201771.88%1.52%$18,121$19,5271.88%
201780.49%0.55%$18,210$19,6350.49%
201791.10%1.04%$18,411$19,8391.10%
2017101.21%1.25%$18,634$20,0871.21%
2017111.08%1.14%$18,835$20,3161.08%
2017121.07%0.94%$19,037$20,5061.07%
201813.26%2.52%$19,657$21,0223.26%
20182-2.86%-2.52%$19,094$20,493-2.86%
20183-0.66%-0.48%$18,968$20,395-0.66%
201840.12%0.06%$18,991$20,4080.12%
201850.58%0.67%$19,100$20,5450.58%
20186-0.12%-0.13%$19,076$20,519-0.12%
201871.23%1.59%$19,312$20,8461.23%
201880.85%0.82%$19,477$21,0160.85%
20189-0.18%-0.06%$19,442$21,003-0.18%
201810-4.72%-4.39%$18,523$20,081-4.72%
2018110.76%1.14%$18,664$20,3100.76%
201812-3.31%-3.31%$18,046$19,637-3.31%
201914.98%4.72%$18,944$20,5634.98%
201921.43%1.47%$19,214$20,8651.43%
201931.34%1.48%$19,473$21,1731.34%
201941.77%1.85%$19,817$21,5641.77%
20195-2.46%-2.48%$19,329$21,029-2.46%
201963.73%3.91%$20,050$21,8523.73%
201970.13%0.31%$20,075$21,9210.13%
20198-0.31%0.03%$20,012$21,928-0.31%
201990.69%0.84%$20,151$22,1130.69%
2019101.76%1.36%$20,505$22,4151.76%
2019111.60%1.32%$20,834$22,7101.60%
2019122.19%1.72%$21,291$23,1002.19%

Returns Based Style Analysis

Returns Based Style Analysis
Style CategoryPortfolio 1Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Inv
Large-cap Value10.11%18.56%
Large-cap Growth20.84%17.99%
Mid-cap Value0.48%1.55%
Mid-cap Growth12.69%7.37%
Small-cap Value0.00%0.02%
Small-cap Growth0.00%0.00%
Global ex-US Developed Markets14.09%14.08%
Emerging Markets8.17%5.53%
Corporate Bonds9.07%5.47%
Long-Term Treasuries0.00%0.70%
Intermediate-Term Treasuries0.00%9.79%
Short-Term Treasuries24.55%18.96%
R Squared97.27%98.68%
Style analysis is based on monthly returns from Jul 2006 to Dec 2019 and uses total portfolio return with monthly rebalancing. Returns based style analysis aims to explain the portfolio returns based on asset class exposures, it does not identify the actual portfolio holdings.

Holdings Based Style Analysis for Portfolio 1

Holdings Based Style Analysis for Portfolio 1
TickerNameCategoryWeightERP/EDurationReturn ContributionRisk Contribution
FFFDXFidelity Freedom 2020Target-Date 2020100.00%0.60%18.265.86$11,291100.00%

Asset Allocation

Equity Market Capitalization

Equity Sectors

Fixed Income Credit Quality

Fixed Income Maturity

Fund fundamentals data as of 09/28/2020. (c) 2020 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. The fund fundamentals information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.

Portfolio return and risk metrics
MetricPortfolio 1Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Inv
Arithmetic Mean (monthly)0.51%0.56%
Arithmetic Mean (annualized)6.35%6.92%
Geometric Mean (monthly)0.47%0.52%
Geometric Mean (annualized)5.76%6.40%
Volatility (monthly)3.04%2.86%
Volatility (annualized)10.53%9.91%
Downside Deviation (monthly)2.15%1.98%
Max. Drawdown-42.36%-38.78%
US Market Correlation0.960.97
Beta(*)1.051.00
Alpha (annualized)-0.89%-0.00%
R298.03%100.00%
Sharpe Ratio0.490.57
Sortino Ratio0.680.81
Treynor Ratio (%)4.875.66
Calmar Ratio1.091.32
Active Return-0.64%N/A
Tracking Error1.57%N/A
Information Ratio-0.41N/A
Skewness-1.11-1.00
Excess Kurtosis4.463.78
Historical Value-at-Risk (5%)-5.13%-4.62%
Analytical Value-at-Risk (5%)-4.48%-4.15%
Conditional Value-at-Risk (5%)-7.45%-7.07%
Upside Capture Ratio (%)101.89100.00
Downside Capture Ratio (%)108.57100.00
Safe Withdrawal Rate8.47%8.98%
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate3.64%4.20%
Positive Periods104 out of 162 (64.20%)108 out of 162 (66.67%)
Gain/Loss Ratio0.860.85
* Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Inv is used as the benchmark for calculations. Value-at-risk metrics are based on monthly values.

Drawdowns for Historical Market Stress Periods

Drawdowns for Historical Market Stress Periods
Stress PeriodStartEndPortfolio 1Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Inv
Subprime CrisisNov 2007Mar 2009-42.36%-38.78%

Drawdowns for Portfolio 1

Drawdowns for Portfolio 1 (worst 10)
RankStartEndLengthRecovery ByRecovery TimeUnderwater PeriodDrawdown
1Nov 2007Feb 20091 year 4 monthsApr 20112 years 2 months3 years 6 months-42.36%
2May 2011Sep 20115 monthsAug 201211 months1 year 4 months-12.62%
3Jun 2015Feb 20169 monthsJul 20165 months1 year 2 months-8.37%
4Feb 2018Dec 201811 monthsApr 20194 months1 year 3 months-8.20%
5Jun 2007Jul 20072 monthsSep 20072 months4 months-2.58%
6May 2019May 20191 monthJun 20191 month2 months-2.46%
7May 2013Jun 20132 monthsJul 20131 month3 months-2.27%
8Sep 2014Sep 20141 monthNov 20142 months3 months-2.02%
9Jan 2014Jan 20141 monthFeb 20141 month2 months-1.79%
10Jul 2014Jul 20141 monthAug 20141 month2 months-1.47%
Worst 10 drawdowns included above

Drawdowns for Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Inv

Drawdowns for Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Inv (worst 10)
RankStartEndLengthRecovery ByRecovery TimeUnderwater PeriodDrawdown
1Nov 2007Feb 20091 year 4 monthsFeb 20112 years3 years 4 months-38.78%
2May 2011Sep 20115 monthsFeb 20125 months10 months-11.62%
3Jun 2015Feb 20169 monthsJul 20165 months1 year 2 months-6.62%
4Feb 2018Dec 201811 monthsMar 20193 months1 year 2 months-6.59%
5Apr 2012May 20122 monthsAug 20123 months5 months-4.90%
6Jun 2007Jul 20072 monthsSep 20072 months4 months-2.81%
7May 2019May 20191 monthJun 20191 month2 months-2.48%
8Sep 2014Sep 20141 monthNov 20142 months3 months-2.04%
9May 2013Jun 20132 monthsJul 20131 month3 months-1.96%
10Aug 2013Aug 20131 monthSep 20131 month2 months-1.78%
Worst 10 drawdowns included above

Portfolio Assets

Performance statistics for portfolio components
TickerNameCAGRStdevBest YearWorst YearMax. DrawdownSharpe RatioSortino RatioUS Mkt Correlation
FFFDXFidelity Freedom 20205.76%10.53%28.86%-32.12%-42.36%0.490.680.96

Annual Asset Returns

Rolling returns summary
Roll PeriodPortfolio 1Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Inv
AverageHighLowAverageHighLow
1 year6.35%28.86%-32.12%6.64%23.10%-27.04%
3 years6.17%12.81%-1.72%6.65%11.89%-1.16%
5 years6.20%12.68%1.13%6.84%12.77%1.91%
7 years6.54%9.68%3.80%7.27%9.93%5.19%
10 years6.24%8.42%4.20%6.79%8.53%4.99%
Result statistics are based on annualized rolling returns over full calendar year periods