This portfolio backtesting tool allows you to construct one or more portfolios based on the selected asset class level allocations in order to analyze and backtest portfolio returns, risk characteristics, drawdowns, and rolling returns. You can compare up to three different portfolios against the selected benchmark, and you can also specify any periodic contribution or withdrawal cashflows and the preferred portfolio rebalancing strategy.
You can also use the portfolio backtesting tool to build and compare portfolios based on specific mutual funds, ETFs, and stocks.
Asset Class | Allocation |
---|---|
US Large Cap | 100.00% |
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Asset Class | Allocation |
---|---|
European Stocks | 100.00% |
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Asset Class | Allocation |
---|---|
Gold | 100.00% |
Save portfolio » |
Portfolio | Initial Balance | Final Balance | CAGR | Stdev | Best Year | Worst Year | Max. Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio | Sortino Ratio | Market Correlation |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US Large Cap | $1,000 | $4,926 | 7.89% | 15.17% | 32.18% | -37.02% | -50.97% | 0.50 | 0.72 | 1.00 |
European Stocks | $1,000 | $2,926 | 5.25% | 19.00% | 38.70% | -44.73% | -59.72% | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.88 |
Gold | $1,000 | $6,102 | 8.99% | 16.65% | 30.45% | -28.33% | -42.91% | 0.53 | 0.87 | 0.07 |
Vanguard 500 Index Investor | $1,000 | $4,925 | 7.89% | 15.17% | 32.18% | -37.02% | -50.97% | 0.50 | 0.72 | 1.00 |
Name | Total Return | Annualized Return | Annualized Standard Deviation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 Month | Year To Date | 1 year | 3 year | 5 year | 10 year | Full | 3 year | 5 year | |
US Large Cap | 7.52% | -18.23% | -18.23% | 7.52% | 9.28% | 12.41% | 7.89% | 21.17% | 18.69% |
European Stocks | 21.04% | -16.15% | -16.15% | 1.17% | 1.81% | 4.61% | 5.25% | 23.63% | 20.17% |
Gold | 9.68% | -0.77% | -0.77% | 5.88% | 6.53% | 0.46% | 8.99% | 15.04% | 13.55% |
Vanguard 500 Index Investor | 7.52% | -18.23% | -18.23% | 7.51% | 9.28% | 12.41% | 7.89% | 21.17% | 18.69% |
Trailing return and volatility are as of last calendar month ending December 2022 |
Market Type | Occurrences | Average Active Return | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above Benchmark | Below Benchmark | Total | % Above Benchmark | Above Benchmark | Below Benchmark | Total | |
Up Market | 116 | 51 | 167 | 69% | 0.00% | -0.00% | 0.00% |
Down Market | 50 | 35 | 85 | 59% | 0.00% | -0.00% | -0.00% |
Total | 166 | 86 | 252 | 66% | 0.00% | -0.00% | 0.00% |
Market Type | Occurrences | Average Active Return | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above Benchmark | Below Benchmark | Total | % Above Benchmark | Above Benchmark | Below Benchmark | Total | |
Up Market | 85 | 82 | 167 | 51% | 2.20% | -2.01% | 0.13% |
Down Market | 32 | 53 | 85 | 38% | 1.86% | -2.27% | -0.71% |
Total | 117 | 135 | 252 | 46% | 2.11% | -2.11% | -0.15% |
Market Type | Occurrences | Average Active Return | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above Benchmark | Below Benchmark | Total | % Above Benchmark | Above Benchmark | Below Benchmark | Total | |
Up Market | 55 | 112 | 167 | 33% | 3.29% | -5.05% | -2.30% |
Down Market | 67 | 18 | 85 | 79% | 6.82% | -2.56% | 4.83% |
Total | 122 | 130 | 252 | 48% | 5.23% | -4.71% | 0.10% |
Year | Inflation | US Large Cap | European Stocks | Gold | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | US Large Cap | European Stocks | Gold | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return | Balance | Return | Balance | Return | Balance | Return | Balance | |||||
2002 | 2.38% | -22.15% | $779 | -17.95% | $821 | 25.57% | $1,256 | -22.15% | $779 | -22.15% | -17.95% | 25.57% |
2003 | 1.88% | 28.50% | $1,000 | 38.70% | $1,138 | 19.89% | $1,505 | 28.50% | $1,000 | 28.50% | 38.70% | 19.89% |
2004 | 3.26% | 10.74% | $1,108 | 20.86% | $1,376 | 4.65% | $1,575 | 10.74% | $1,108 | 10.74% | 20.86% | 4.65% |
2005 | 3.42% | 4.77% | $1,161 | 9.26% | $1,503 | 17.76% | $1,855 | 4.77% | $1,161 | 4.77% | 9.26% | 17.76% |
2006 | 2.54% | 15.64% | $1,342 | 33.42% | $2,005 | 22.55% | $2,274 | 15.64% | $1,342 | 15.64% | 33.42% | 22.55% |
2007 | 4.08% | 5.39% | $1,415 | 13.82% | $2,282 | 30.45% | $2,966 | 5.39% | $1,415 | 5.39% | 13.82% | 30.45% |
2008 | 0.09% | -37.02% | $891 | -44.73% | $1,261 | 4.92% | $3,112 | -37.02% | $891 | -37.02% | -44.73% | 4.92% |
2009 | 2.72% | 26.49% | $1,127 | 31.91% | $1,664 | 24.03% | $3,860 | 26.49% | $1,127 | 26.49% | 31.91% | 24.03% |
2010 | 1.50% | 14.91% | $1,295 | 4.91% | $1,746 | 29.27% | $4,990 | 14.91% | $1,295 | 14.91% | 4.91% | 29.27% |
2011 | 2.96% | 1.97% | $1,320 | -11.60% | $1,543 | 9.57% | $5,467 | 1.97% | $1,320 | 1.97% | -11.60% | 9.57% |
2012 | 1.74% | 15.82% | $1,529 | 20.80% | $1,864 | 6.60% | $5,828 | 15.82% | $1,529 | 15.82% | 20.80% | 6.60% |
2013 | 1.50% | 32.18% | $2,022 | 24.70% | $2,325 | -28.33% | $4,177 | 32.18% | $2,022 | 32.18% | 24.70% | -28.33% |
2014 | 0.76% | 13.51% | $2,295 | -6.67% | $2,170 | -2.19% | $4,085 | 13.51% | $2,295 | 13.51% | -6.67% | -2.19% |
2015 | 0.73% | 1.25% | $2,323 | -2.00% | $2,126 | -10.67% | $3,649 | 1.25% | $2,323 | 1.25% | -2.00% | -10.67% |
2016 | 2.07% | 11.82% | $2,598 | -0.80% | $2,109 | 8.03% | $3,942 | 11.82% | $2,598 | 11.82% | -0.80% | 8.03% |
2017 | 2.11% | 21.67% | $3,161 | 26.82% | $2,675 | 12.81% | $4,447 | 21.67% | $3,161 | 21.67% | 26.82% | 12.81% |
2018 | 1.91% | -4.53% | $3,018 | -14.86% | $2,277 | -1.94% | $4,361 | -4.52% | $3,018 | -4.53% | -14.86% | -1.94% |
2019 | 2.29% | 31.33% | $3,963 | 24.06% | $2,825 | 17.86% | $5,140 | 31.33% | $3,963 | 31.33% | 24.06% | 17.86% |
2020 | 1.36% | 18.25% | $4,686 | 6.30% | $3,003 | 24.81% | $6,415 | 18.25% | $4,686 | 18.25% | 6.30% | 24.81% |
2021 | 7.04% | 28.55% | $6,024 | 16.19% | $3,489 | -4.15% | $6,149 | 28.53% | $6,023 | 28.55% | 16.19% | -4.15% |
2022 | 6.45% | -18.23% | $4,926 | -16.15% | $2,926 | -0.77% | $6,102 | -18.23% | $4,925 | -18.23% | -16.15% | -0.77% |
Metric | US Large Cap | European Stocks | Gold | Vanguard 500 Index Investor |
---|---|---|---|---|
Arithmetic Mean (monthly) | 0.73% | 0.58% | 0.83% | 0.73% |
Arithmetic Mean (annualized) | 9.14% | 7.18% | 10.49% | 9.14% |
Geometric Mean (monthly) | 0.63% | 0.43% | 0.72% | 0.63% |
Geometric Mean (annualized) | 7.89% | 5.25% | 8.99% | 7.89% |
Standard Deviation (monthly) | 4.38% | 5.49% | 4.81% | 4.38% |
Standard Deviation (annualized) | 15.17% | 19.00% | 16.65% | 15.17% |
Downside Deviation (monthly) | 2.99% | 3.78% | 2.89% | 2.99% |
Maximum Drawdown | -50.97% | -59.72% | -42.91% | -50.97% |
Stock Market Correlation | 1.00 | 0.88 | 0.07 | 1.00 |
Beta(*) | 1.00 | 1.10 | 0.07 | 1.00 |
Alpha (annualized) | 0.00% | -2.68% | 9.41% | 0.00% |
R2 | 100.00% | 76.67% | 0.40% | 100.00% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.53 | 0.50 |
Sortino Ratio | 0.72 | 0.43 | 0.87 | 0.72 |
Treynor Ratio (%) | 7.55 | 5.22 | 126.76 | 7.55 |
Calmar Ratio | 0.31 | 0.04 | 0.33 | 0.31 |
Active Return | 0.00% | -2.64% | 1.11% | N/A |
Tracking Error | 0.00% | 9.30% | 21.81% | N/A |
Information Ratio | 0.16 | -0.28 | 0.05 | N/A |
Skewness | -0.58 | -0.44 | 0.01 | -0.58 |
Excess Kurtosis | 1.14 | 1.42 | 0.24 | 1.14 |
Historical Value-at-Risk (5%) | 7.85% | 9.41% | 6.36% | 7.85% |
Analytical Value-at-Risk (5%) | 6.47% | 8.44% | 7.07% | 6.47% |
Conditional Value-at-Risk (5%) | 9.84% | 12.80% | 8.97% | 9.84% |
Upside Capture Ratio (%) | 100.00 | 105.27 | 21.14 | 100.00 |
Downside Capture Ratio (%) | 100.00 | 117.38 | -18.81 | 100.00 |
Safe Withdrawal Rate | 6.37% | 6.98% | 12.29% | 6.37% |
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate | 5.00% | 2.61% | 5.96% | 5.00% |
Positive Periods | 166 out of 252 (65.87%) | 143 out of 252 (56.75%) | 134 out of 252 (53.17%) | 166 out of 252 (65.87%) |
Gain/Loss Ratio | 0.79 | 0.99 | 1.37 | 0.79 |
* Vanguard 500 Index Investor is used as the benchmark for calculations. Value-at-risk metrics are monthly values. |
Stress Period | Start | End | US Large Cap | European Stocks | Gold | Vanguard 500 Index Investor |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Subprime Crisis | Nov 2007 | Mar 2009 | -50.97% | -59.72% | -25.83% | -50.97% |
COVID-19 Start | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | -19.63% | -25.69% | -0.86% | -19.63% |
Rank | Start | End | Length | Recovery By | Recovery Time | Underwater Period | Drawdown |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 1 year 4 months | Aug 2012 | 3 years 6 months | 4 years 10 months | -50.97% |
2 | Apr 2002 | Sep 2002 | 6 months | Jan 2004 | 1 year 4 months | 1 year 10 months | -28.34% |
3 | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 months | -23.95% | |||
4 | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 months | Jul 2020 | 4 months | 7 months | -19.63% |
5 | Oct 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 months | Apr 2019 | 4 months | 7 months | -13.55% |
6 | Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 2 months | May 2016 | 8 months | 10 months | -8.38% |
7 | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 months | Nov 2020 | 1 month | 3 months | -6.38% |
8 | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 month | Jun 2019 | 1 month | 2 months | -6.36% |
9 | Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 2 months | Jul 2018 | 4 months | 6 months | -6.16% |
10 | Jun 2007 | Jul 2007 | 2 months | Sep 2007 | 2 months | 4 months | -4.71% |
Worst 10 drawdowns included above |
Rank | Start | End | Length | Recovery By | Recovery Time | Underwater Period | Drawdown |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 1 year 4 months | Apr 2014 | 5 years 2 months | 6 years 6 months | -59.72% |
2 | Sep 2021 | Sep 2022 | 1 year 1 month | -30.89% | |||
3 | Apr 2002 | Sep 2002 | 6 months | Oct 2003 | 1 year 1 month | 1 year 7 months | -25.96% |
4 | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 months | Nov 2020 | 8 months | 11 months | -25.69% |
5 | Jun 2014 | Feb 2016 | 1 year 9 months | May 2017 | 1 year 3 months | 3 years | -20.77% |
6 | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 months | Dec 2019 | 1 year | 1 year 11 months | -19.31% |
7 | Jan 2002 | Jan 2002 | 1 month | Mar 2002 | 2 months | 3 months | -5.09% |
8 | Mar 2005 | May 2005 | 3 months | Jul 2005 | 2 months | 5 months | -4.49% |
9 | Mar 2004 | Apr 2004 | 2 months | Sep 2004 | 5 months | 7 months | -3.93% |
10 | Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 month | Dec 2005 | 2 months | 3 months | -3.23% |
Worst 10 drawdowns included above |
Rank | Start | End | Length | Recovery By | Recovery Time | Underwater Period | Drawdown |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sep 2011 | Dec 2015 | 4 years 4 months | Jul 2020 | 4 years 7 months | 8 years 11 months | -42.91% |
2 | Mar 2008 | Oct 2008 | 8 months | May 2009 | 7 months | 1 year 3 months | -25.83% |
3 | Aug 2020 | Oct 2022 | 2 years 3 months | -18.08% | |||
4 | Feb 2003 | Mar 2003 | 2 months | Aug 2003 | 5 months | 7 months | -8.88% |
5 | Dec 2004 | May 2005 | 6 months | Sep 2005 | 4 months | 10 months | -8.64% |
6 | May 2006 | Sep 2006 | 5 months | Feb 2007 | 5 months | 10 months | -8.63% |
7 | Dec 2009 | Jan 2010 | 2 months | May 2010 | 4 months | 6 months | -8.37% |
8 | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 month | Oct 2004 | 6 months | 7 months | -8.31% |
9 | Jun 2002 | Jul 2002 | 2 months | Dec 2002 | 5 months | 7 months | -6.72% |
10 | Jan 2011 | Jan 2011 | 1 month | Mar 2011 | 2 months | 3 months | -6.38% |
Worst 10 drawdowns included above |
Rank | Start | End | Length | Recovery By | Recovery Time | Underwater Period | Drawdown |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 1 year 4 months | Aug 2012 | 3 years 6 months | 4 years 10 months | -50.97% |
2 | Apr 2002 | Sep 2002 | 6 months | Jan 2004 | 1 year 4 months | 1 year 10 months | -28.34% |
3 | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 months | -23.95% | |||
4 | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 months | Jul 2020 | 4 months | 7 months | -19.63% |
5 | Oct 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 months | Apr 2019 | 4 months | 7 months | -13.55% |
6 | Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 2 months | May 2016 | 8 months | 10 months | -8.38% |
7 | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 months | Nov 2020 | 1 month | 3 months | -6.38% |
8 | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 month | Jun 2019 | 1 month | 2 months | -6.36% |
9 | Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 2 months | Jul 2018 | 4 months | 6 months | -6.16% |
10 | Jun 2007 | Jul 2007 | 2 months | Sep 2007 | 2 months | 4 months | -4.71% |
Worst 10 drawdowns included above |
Name | CAGR | Stdev | Best Year | Worst Year | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio | Sortino Ratio | Market Correlation |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US Large Cap | 7.89% | 15.17% | 32.18% | -37.02% | -50.97% | 0.50 | 0.72 | 1.00 |
European Stocks | 5.25% | 19.00% | 38.70% | -44.73% | -59.72% | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.88 |
Gold | 8.99% | 16.65% | 30.45% | -28.33% | -42.91% | 0.53 | 0.87 | 0.07 |
Name | Total Return | Annualized Return | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 Month | Year To Date | 1 year | 3 year | 5 year | 10 year | |
US Large Cap | 7.52% | -18.23% | -18.23% | 7.52% | 9.28% | 12.41% |
European Stocks | 21.04% | -16.15% | -16.15% | 1.17% | 1.81% | 4.61% |
Gold | 9.68% | -0.77% | -0.77% | 5.88% | 6.53% | 0.46% |
Trailing returns as of last calendar month ending December 2022 |
Name | US Large Cap | European Stocks | Gold | US Large Cap | European Stocks | Gold | Vanguard 500 Index Investor |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US Large Cap | 1.00 | 0.88 | 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 0.06 | 1.00 |
European Stocks | 0.88 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.88 |
Gold | 0.06 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.06 |
Name | US Large Cap | European Stocks | Gold |
---|---|---|---|
US Large Cap | $3,926 | ||
European Stocks | $1,926 | ||
Gold | $5,102 | ||
Return attribution decomposes portfolio gains into its constituent parts and identifies the contribution to returns by each of the assets. |
Name | US Large Cap | European Stocks | Gold |
---|---|---|---|
US Large Cap | 100.00% | ||
European Stocks | 100.00% | ||
Gold | 100.00% | ||
Risk attribution decomposes portfolio risk into its constituent parts and identifies the contribution to overall volatility by each of the assets. |
Roll Period | US Large Cap | European Stocks | Gold | Vanguard 500 Index Investor | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Average | High | Low | Average | High | Low | Average | High | Low | Average | High | Low | |
1 year | 10.56% | 56.19% | -43.32% | 8.19% | 58.49% | -52.92% | 9.98% | 54.21% | -28.33% | 10.56% | 56.19% | -43.32% |
3 years | 9.93% | 25.91% | -15.18% | 6.62% | 30.68% | -15.29% | 9.45% | 32.87% | -15.02% | 9.93% | 25.91% | -15.18% |
5 years | 9.47% | 22.85% | -6.73% | 5.67% | 25.49% | -8.16% | 8.70% | 23.37% | -8.06% | 9.47% | 22.85% | -6.73% |
7 years | 9.16% | 17.13% | -3.94% | 4.70% | 11.95% | -1.18% | 8.00% | 23.33% | -6.20% | 9.16% | 17.12% | -3.94% |
10 years | 9.88% | 16.52% | 2.82% | 5.18% | 9.90% | 0.31% | 7.00% | 19.55% | -1.05% | 9.88% | 16.52% | 2.82% |
15 years | 9.05% | 10.77% | 6.57% | 4.94% | 8.93% | 0.32% | 7.98% | 10.26% | 4.49% | 9.05% | 10.77% | 6.57% |